$BTC Is the giant whale bottom fishing? A surprising bottom divergence appears on the 30-minute chart, is $94,000 a trap or a golden pit!
The bulls and bears are tugging back and forth around $94,000, not falling much but also not rising decisively—right now it feels like the rain has just stopped, the water on the road is still deep, but a glimmer of light can be seen through the clouds.
1. Latest technical analysis!
1. In terms of trading volume, the actual transaction volume is about 1.208 million, with the deep estimated volume slightly higher at 1.225 million, suggesting that there may be large orders positioned in dark pools or off-exchange.
2. The average volume MA5 (1.121 million) is higher than MA10 (1.036 million), indicating that the rebound is accompanied by moderate volume, and it is not merely a volume-less breakout.
3. Regarding MACD: Although the yellow and white lines are still below the zero axis, the MACD bars have turned positive, forming a short-term bottom divergence structure—when prices hit new lows, the downward momentum weakens, usually indicating that a rebound may be near.
4. The Bitcoin 30-minute chart has made a “deep V test,” quickly pulling back from the low of 83,786 to 94,185, indicating that there are funds willing to support below.
2. Latest on-chain news!
1. The US Bitcoin ETF has seen a slight net inflow for two consecutive days, halting the previous outflow trend.
2. An ancient Bitcoin address that has been dormant for over six months has shown slight activity in the last 24 hours, possibly indicating that long-term holders are testing the market, without forming obvious selling pressure.
3. The USDT premium in the Asian market has slightly rebounded, showing that local buying sentiment has improved, and this information resonates with the 30-minute bottom divergence, indicating that panic selling may have temporarily subsided.
I personally believe:
I think there is a high probability that we are entering a consolidation phase at the bottom, and a direct strong reversal requires macro or institutional buying as a catalyst, which is currently insufficient.
It's more likely to repeatedly consolidate around the new range of 88,000–95,000, using time to gain space, gradually repairing short-term moving averages.
If the 30-minute DIF stabilizes above the zero axis and drives a 4-hour MACD golden cross, then the rebound is expected to target the 98,000–102,000 area.
Remember! During the bottom grinding phase, some are busy placing orders to ambush, while others insist on waiting for a right-side breakout.
I am Gao Ge, top technical support, only serving those with vision and ambition!
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