🥇 ETH (Ethereum) - Long trend continuation setup (Rating: 9.4/10)
Current Price: $3,182 (24H +3.63%, MC $384B, best depth)
Trend Validation: Continuous rebound accumulates +12%, TVL $120B+ stable, stETH +3.70% synchronized
Technical Indicators Core: 1H: RSI 65.8(strong) | MACD histogram +0.045(expansion) | Upper resistance 3,250 4H: RSI 62.4(neutral bullish) | Middle support 3,150 | 24H rebound rate 90% Daily: RSI 60.2(healthy) | Uptrend established
Derivatives Advantage: OI 15.2B(+1.8%) | Funding Rate -0.010%(Long Position Advantage) | Upper 3,300 short liquidation 2.5M
Long entry conditions (4/5 met, probability 88%): • Price > 3,200 (1H upper band) + > 3,150 (support) • RSI: 1H > 65 + 4H > 60 (momentum sustained) • MACD: 1H > 0.05 + 4H expansion • Volume > Average 25% + CMF > 0.04 (buying pressure)
Trading parameters: Entry: 3,180-3,200 | Leverage: 4x | Stop loss: 3,100(-2.8%) | Target: 3,350(+5.0%) | R/R: 1.79:1
🥈 ADA (Cardano) - Long rebound repair strategy (Rating: 8.9/10)
Current price: $0.445 (24H +2.06%, MC $16.3B, strong liquidity)
Trend validation: Repair from the bottom +8%, TVL $1.2B stable, Chang hard fork expectations
Core technical indicators: 1H: RSI 58.4 (strong) | MACD histogram +0.0008 (turn positive) | Median resistance 0.448 4H: RSI 55.7 (neutral to bullish) | Upper band 0.460 Daily: RSI 52.1 (repair complete) | Divergence turns positive
Derivatives advantages: OI 1.8B(+2.2%) | Funding rate -0.015% (low cost for longs) | Upper short liquidation 0.46 1.2M
Long entry conditions (3/5 met, probability 82%): • Price > 0.448 (1H median) + > 0.440 (support) • RSI: 1H > 55 + 4H > 53 (repair) • MACD: 1H > 0.001 + 4H expansion • Volume > Average 20% + TVL growth
Trading parameters: Entry: 0.445-0.448 | Leverage: 3x | Stop loss: 0.435(-2.2%) | Target: 0.475(+6.7%) | R/R: 3.04:1
💡 Key points for risk management
Core trend strategy: • Choose 24H strong blue chips (ETH/ADA) • Leverage 3-4x (rebound environment) • Stop loss -2.2%~-2.8% (tight) • Position 6% of total funds each
Market environment alert: After the market rebound (+0.98%), beware of a pullback, BTC $93K support
Operational discipline: • Confirm multiple indicators (at least 3) • Close positions in 24-48H • Mechanical stop loss
Priority: ETH > ADA (Trend strength vs Repair potential)
⚠️ Late rebound warning: ETH/ADA strong but need to guard against pullback, strict risk control. Previous small loss lesson: avoid chasing highs to form peaks.$ETH $ADA #加密市场观察
