Live record analysis: Bitcoin hasn't hit bottom yet, could drop for up to 6 months:
1. The US will release CPI data on June 10, which will directly impact whether the Fed will cut rates in September. If the data is significantly bearish and delays the rate cut, BTC might not see its bottom until November this year. If the data is bearish, we could see BTC finalize its bottom and kick off a bull market after the summer in September. This is based on the macro news from Sam's six-sided strategy. #BTC
2. ETH's bull market also won't surge dramatically. In 2027, BTC will rise independently while other coins, including ETH, will only see slight increases and may even drop. Therefore, reallocating all funds in the crypto space to bottom-fish BTC should be the first choice, and only after BTC declines can we shift to ETH. Back in 2025, we went all in on ETH at 1588U and called for a top at 4888. Now, with ETH at 1388U, I'm hesitant; I might even consider buying in at 900U. #ETH
3. Last time we predicted SOL would start dropping at 100U, and it ended up peaking at 99U, just 1U off. Currently, we can only say that the extreme point is around 22U, while 52U can be considered a support top but not a very solid high-quality point. #SOL
1. The US will release CPI data on June 10, which will directly impact whether the Fed will cut rates in September. If the data is significantly bearish and delays the rate cut, BTC might not see its bottom until November this year. If the data is bearish, we could see BTC finalize its bottom and kick off a bull market after the summer in September. This is based on the macro news from Sam's six-sided strategy. #BTC
2. ETH's bull market also won't surge dramatically. In 2027, BTC will rise independently while other coins, including ETH, will only see slight increases and may even drop. Therefore, reallocating all funds in the crypto space to bottom-fish BTC should be the first choice, and only after BTC declines can we shift to ETH. Back in 2025, we went all in on ETH at 1588U and called for a top at 4888. Now, with ETH at 1388U, I'm hesitant; I might even consider buying in at 900U. #ETH
3. Last time we predicted SOL would start dropping at 100U, and it ended up peaking at 99U, just 1U off. Currently, we can only say that the extreme point is around 22U, while 52U can be considered a support top but not a very solid high-quality point. #SOL