$BTC theo history states that whenever the monthly MACD crosses, it confirms the next trend, but why am I not shorting? Why is there the word "doubt"? After the crash late on 10/10, I shared twice the reasons for the price increase, the reasons mentioning the shortest Dow in history. 1 the US government reopened, 2 the trade war cooled down, 3 interest rates lowered and quantitative tightening abandoned, 4 the situation of the war cooled down. These are the 4 main reasons that significantly impact the macroeconomic situation. Many opinions suggest that the cycle has changed, and I also agree and shared a lot back in August, predicting the peak would be around 130-133 because the market has not entered a state of extreme greed. However, when facing the unknown, we will feel fear, so I am not optimistic at all. Also because of this mentality, I never attempt to find the peak or the bottom; being close is enough. With my strategy, a difference of 5-7k in price has no effect. Even being 100% sure, I would never go all in. In times of going all in, it hasn't really been all in because my reserve capital is much larger than the capital I invested. Even if the reserve capital is exhausted, I can still mobilize additional funds because I diversify my investments. The key is to hold losses without affecting finances, so everyone should stay alert and not be overly confident, risking everything and borrowing in various ways. Don't be greedy, have a clear strategy, and don't bet everything you have to survive in this volatile market. Don't hold onto hopes with shit coins, and don't dream of x100 x1000 like in the early days of BTC. I have capital, but I didn't participate because of the fear of the unknown; this has nothing to do with vision. Those who held from the early days were lucky, accounting for 99.99%. Stay alert, everyone.