The issue of interest rate cuts has returned to the table in December, but this time the market reactions were more cautious.
What I see is: although everyone is talking about the cut as if it is "certain," the language of the Federal Reserve remains soft but not guaranteed.
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The critical point is that the data that came in recent weeks has reduced inflation. If this schedule does not change, the last meeting of the year could be a real turning point. Because market psychology quickly prices in the expectation "if it starts once, it will continue."
When it comes to the encrypted side...
I find that this period is usually turbulent but full of opportunities. Historically, the process of pricing interest cuts does not explode on the first day; first, a wavelength is formed, then the real movement comes. Especially if the pressure on the BTC and ETH sides is resolved, the December - January period could be more vibrant than expected......
The main question is: if the cut comes, how early will it be priced in, and if it does not come, how sharp will the reaction be?
Sometimes the whole matter is about asking the right question at the right time.
What I see is: although everyone is talking about the cut as if it is "certain," the language of the Federal Reserve remains soft but not guaranteed.
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
The critical point is that the data that came in recent weeks has reduced inflation. If this schedule does not change, the last meeting of the year could be a real turning point. Because market psychology quickly prices in the expectation "if it starts once, it will continue."
When it comes to the encrypted side...
I find that this period is usually turbulent but full of opportunities. Historically, the process of pricing interest cuts does not explode on the first day; first, a wavelength is formed, then the real movement comes. Especially if the pressure on the BTC and ETH sides is resolved, the December - January period could be more vibrant than expected......
The main question is: if the cut comes, how early will it be priced in, and if it does not come, how sharp will the reaction be?
Sometimes the whole matter is about asking the right question at the right time.
