🌑 7:34 AM——24h trading volume crashed by -34%, DCA round 33, BNB hasn't bounced back to $600 in 6 hours.
BTC $63,597, down -1.42% in 24h.
ETH $1,765.
BNB $602.34—— has been stuck below $600 for 6 hours, hovering around $602.
ADA $0.181—— down -10.23%, the altcoins are hit the hardest today.
SOL $68.46, down -4.58%.
An hour ago, DCA round 32 was at $63,336.
An hour later, DCA round 33 is at $63,597.
In this hour, the price rebounded +0.4%.
📉 An overlooked data point: trading volume -34%
The entire crypto market's 24h trading volume has dropped by -34.67%.
This isn't a "crash"—it's an avalanche of shrinkage.
BTC $279 billion traded → dropped to $210 billion level.
ETH $115.4 billion → $75.2 billion.
SOL $34.3 billion → $22.4 billion.
The market is playing dead.
It's not that no one is losing; it's that no one is trading anymore.
Hodlers are waiting for a rebound.
Shorts are waiting for lower prices.
Both sides are stagnant.
— This is called a "liquidity vacuum".
⚡ Funding Rate at zero = leverage is dead
BTC 0.000138% — nearly zero.
ETH 0.004239% — extremely low.
BNB 0% — literally zero.
SOL -0.009178% — slightly negative, shorts are paying a little.
Among the four major coins, 3 funding rates are ≤ 0.005%.
To compare:
In March 2024, during normal market conditions, major funding was at 0.01%-0.03%.
In October 2025, at the peak, funding could reach 0.1%+.
Now the funding has dropped to "no returns on longs or shorts".
Meaning — leveraged traders have thrown in the towel.
Not liquidated, but proactively retreating.
Because there's no clear direction.
—— So, is Funding Rate at zero a "seed for a rebound"?
Or is it a "dying market's last gasp"?
Historically, every time major funding goes to zero:
In March 2020, BTC rebounded +50% two weeks later.
In November 2022, BTC rebounded +40% a month later.
In August 2023, it rebounded +15% immediately.
But there have been cases:
In December 2018, it took a month to find the bottom.
In June 2022, after funding hit zero, it continued to decline for 3 months.
—— So, which script will history replay this time?
🔁 ADA down -10%, the "final circle" for altcoins
ADA down 24h -10.23%.
DOGE -3.81%.
XRP -3.32%.
ADA is leading the decline, but its drop is 7 times greater than BTC's.
This indicates: BTC is in "risk-off" mode, while altcoins are in "clean-up" mode.
Smart money has long stopped playing with altcoins.
The top net inflows in BSC smart money over 24h is "shovel"—$3,891, from 4 addresses, amounts so small they're negligible.
The top in Solana smart money is SV151—$5,198, from 2 addresses, a 1.5M market cap meme.
— This isn't called "smart money inflow"; this is retail hype.
BTC dominance at 55.78%—a new 3-month high.
Funds are frantically hiding in BTC.
Altcoins are the first to be sacrificed.
But if BTC can't hold, altcoins will be halved from the start.
🌍 4 mountains + 1 countdown
- Iran/Hormuz: oil prices $94+
- Warsh 6/16: first FOMC, high hawkish probability
- Mt. Gox 10/31: creditor countdown
- Strategy 6/1: sold another 32 BTC
—— The 4 mountains are set.
But the Asia session opens at 9:30 AM in 2 hours.
BTC's flash crash low of $61,383 last night was hit during the 3 AM US-Asia crossover.
When the Asia market opens, will it take the last leg or pull a green candle?
We'll find out in 2 hours.
My DCA plan:
- BTC $60,000 → buy more by 6.3%
- BTC $55,000 → buy more by 13.7%
- BTC $50,000 → I'm not selling my house, but I need to tweet to calm down
In 7 hours, 5 DCA entries: $63,954 → $63,371 → $63,587 → $63,336 → $63,597.
Average cost $63,569.
I've already bought 5 times today.
All 5 were buys during the dip.
This is discipline.
❓ 5 questions for the comments:
1. Volume down -34%, is it "the calm before the storm" or is the "market dead"?
2. Will funding hitting zero historically replay the rebounds of 2020-3 / 2022-11, or the downtrends of 2018-12 / 2022-6?
3. BTC dominance at 55.78% new high, is it "risk-off" or "no one to catch altcoins"?
4. ADA down -10% is an "altcoin clean-up signal" or the "beginning of a panic sell"?
5. In the 2 hours before the Asia market opens at 9:30, would you dare to place an order?
I dare.
But what I place isn't an order, it's DCA.
#BTC #BNB #30年DCA #DCA diary
BTC $63,597, down -1.42% in 24h.
ETH $1,765.
BNB $602.34—— has been stuck below $600 for 6 hours, hovering around $602.
ADA $0.181—— down -10.23%, the altcoins are hit the hardest today.
SOL $68.46, down -4.58%.
An hour ago, DCA round 32 was at $63,336.
An hour later, DCA round 33 is at $63,597.
In this hour, the price rebounded +0.4%.
📉 An overlooked data point: trading volume -34%
The entire crypto market's 24h trading volume has dropped by -34.67%.
This isn't a "crash"—it's an avalanche of shrinkage.
BTC $279 billion traded → dropped to $210 billion level.
ETH $115.4 billion → $75.2 billion.
SOL $34.3 billion → $22.4 billion.
The market is playing dead.
It's not that no one is losing; it's that no one is trading anymore.
Hodlers are waiting for a rebound.
Shorts are waiting for lower prices.
Both sides are stagnant.
— This is called a "liquidity vacuum".
⚡ Funding Rate at zero = leverage is dead
BTC 0.000138% — nearly zero.
ETH 0.004239% — extremely low.
BNB 0% — literally zero.
SOL -0.009178% — slightly negative, shorts are paying a little.
Among the four major coins, 3 funding rates are ≤ 0.005%.
To compare:
In March 2024, during normal market conditions, major funding was at 0.01%-0.03%.
In October 2025, at the peak, funding could reach 0.1%+.
Now the funding has dropped to "no returns on longs or shorts".
Meaning — leveraged traders have thrown in the towel.
Not liquidated, but proactively retreating.
Because there's no clear direction.
—— So, is Funding Rate at zero a "seed for a rebound"?
Or is it a "dying market's last gasp"?
Historically, every time major funding goes to zero:
In March 2020, BTC rebounded +50% two weeks later.
In November 2022, BTC rebounded +40% a month later.
In August 2023, it rebounded +15% immediately.
But there have been cases:
In December 2018, it took a month to find the bottom.
In June 2022, after funding hit zero, it continued to decline for 3 months.
—— So, which script will history replay this time?
🔁 ADA down -10%, the "final circle" for altcoins
ADA down 24h -10.23%.
DOGE -3.81%.
XRP -3.32%.
ADA is leading the decline, but its drop is 7 times greater than BTC's.
This indicates: BTC is in "risk-off" mode, while altcoins are in "clean-up" mode.
Smart money has long stopped playing with altcoins.
The top net inflows in BSC smart money over 24h is "shovel"—$3,891, from 4 addresses, amounts so small they're negligible.
The top in Solana smart money is SV151—$5,198, from 2 addresses, a 1.5M market cap meme.
— This isn't called "smart money inflow"; this is retail hype.
BTC dominance at 55.78%—a new 3-month high.
Funds are frantically hiding in BTC.
Altcoins are the first to be sacrificed.
But if BTC can't hold, altcoins will be halved from the start.
🌍 4 mountains + 1 countdown
- Iran/Hormuz: oil prices $94+
- Warsh 6/16: first FOMC, high hawkish probability
- Mt. Gox 10/31: creditor countdown
- Strategy 6/1: sold another 32 BTC
—— The 4 mountains are set.
But the Asia session opens at 9:30 AM in 2 hours.
BTC's flash crash low of $61,383 last night was hit during the 3 AM US-Asia crossover.
When the Asia market opens, will it take the last leg or pull a green candle?
We'll find out in 2 hours.
My DCA plan:
- BTC $60,000 → buy more by 6.3%
- BTC $55,000 → buy more by 13.7%
- BTC $50,000 → I'm not selling my house, but I need to tweet to calm down
In 7 hours, 5 DCA entries: $63,954 → $63,371 → $63,587 → $63,336 → $63,597.
Average cost $63,569.
I've already bought 5 times today.
All 5 were buys during the dip.
This is discipline.
❓ 5 questions for the comments:
1. Volume down -34%, is it "the calm before the storm" or is the "market dead"?
2. Will funding hitting zero historically replay the rebounds of 2020-3 / 2022-11, or the downtrends of 2018-12 / 2022-6?
3. BTC dominance at 55.78% new high, is it "risk-off" or "no one to catch altcoins"?
4. ADA down -10% is an "altcoin clean-up signal" or the "beginning of a panic sell"?
5. In the 2 hours before the Asia market opens at 9:30, would you dare to place an order?
I dare.
But what I place isn't an order, it's DCA.
#BTC #BNB #30年DCA #DCA diary