U.S. stock market speculation
The S&P opened more than 1.4% higher and then closed lower, which has happened twice in history. In April 2020 and April 2025, it started rising the next day.
Opening more than 1% higher and then closing lower has happened 7 times in history, with 5 rising and 2 falling the next day.
Yesterday was a new instance.
If we look back, the short-term situation in 2018 was quite tragic, and 2018 was also during Trump's term.
That December was the worst Christmas month, with trade wars + shutdowns + interest rate hike expectations + liquidity exhaustion, which is very similar to now. Let's review the continuous decline process at that time:
12/4: Yield curve inversion → market panic.
12/12–12/18: Repeated statements on the trade war, tech stocks plummeted.
12/19: Federal Reserve raises interest rates + Powell does not turn dovish → trigger point for the crash.
12/20–12/24: Continuous decline; on 12/24, Christmas Eve, the Dow dropped nearly 3%, creating the worst Christmas Eve in history.
The big rebound started on 12/26.
Several Federal Reserve officials turned dovish, and Powell turned dovish.
Later, the trade war eased and further rebounded.
If we take 2018 as a mirror, the U.S. stock market's wave of decline was to show Powell, perhaps the rebound point was also during the dovish turn.
$TNSR
$DYM
$BEAT
#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美股2026预测
The S&P opened more than 1.4% higher and then closed lower, which has happened twice in history. In April 2020 and April 2025, it started rising the next day.
Opening more than 1% higher and then closing lower has happened 7 times in history, with 5 rising and 2 falling the next day.
Yesterday was a new instance.
If we look back, the short-term situation in 2018 was quite tragic, and 2018 was also during Trump's term.
That December was the worst Christmas month, with trade wars + shutdowns + interest rate hike expectations + liquidity exhaustion, which is very similar to now. Let's review the continuous decline process at that time:
12/4: Yield curve inversion → market panic.
12/12–12/18: Repeated statements on the trade war, tech stocks plummeted.
12/19: Federal Reserve raises interest rates + Powell does not turn dovish → trigger point for the crash.
12/20–12/24: Continuous decline; on 12/24, Christmas Eve, the Dow dropped nearly 3%, creating the worst Christmas Eve in history.
The big rebound started on 12/26.
Several Federal Reserve officials turned dovish, and Powell turned dovish.
Later, the trade war eased and further rebounded.
If we take 2018 as a mirror, the U.S. stock market's wave of decline was to show Powell, perhaps the rebound point was also during the dovish turn.
$TNSR
$DYM
$BEAT
#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美股2026预测
