Polymarket has launched a new market: Will Trump kiss Xi Jinping during the summit? The market has a 24-hour trading volume of $1,394,949 and liquidity of $256,434; current odds show Yes at 0.4% and No at 99.7%. The market's settlement date is 2026-05-15.
The description states that Donald Trump is expected to visit China around May 14-15, 2026, for a summit with Xi Jinping. If Trump and Xi share a kiss at any point during this summit, the market will settle as 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle as 'No'. Additionally, the kiss must be supported by video or photo evidence within the market's timeframe. The description also defines a kiss as the moment when one person's lips touch the other in a face-to-face greeting or action.
For prediction market users, the highlights of such markets lie in the specific event definitions, evidence requirements, and clear cutoff times, all of which directly impact the settlement path; meanwhile, the current odds and trading volume reflect the market's pricing and interest in this event.
The description states that Donald Trump is expected to visit China around May 14-15, 2026, for a summit with Xi Jinping. If Trump and Xi share a kiss at any point during this summit, the market will settle as 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle as 'No'. Additionally, the kiss must be supported by video or photo evidence within the market's timeframe. The description also defines a kiss as the moment when one person's lips touch the other in a face-to-face greeting or action.
For prediction market users, the highlights of such markets lie in the specific event definitions, evidence requirements, and clear cutoff times, all of which directly impact the settlement path; meanwhile, the current odds and trading volume reflect the market's pricing and interest in this event.