Polymarket has launched a market: Will Bitcoin (BTC) hit $150,000 before June 30, 2026? This market has a 24-hour trading volume of $5,821,653 and liquidity of $19,823. Current odds show that Yes is at 1.4% and No at 98.7%. The market's end date is July 1, 2026.
The rules state: If, before 11:59 PM ET on the specified date, any 1-minute candlestick for BTC/USDT on Binance has a final High price that is equal to or above the price mentioned in the title, this market will immediately settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No. The settlement source for this market is Binance, specifically referring to the High price of BTC/USDT using 1-minute candlesticks.
For prediction market users, the key to this type of market lies in the very specific settlement criteria, which are directly tied to Binance's minute-level market data. Therefore, whether the price reaches the target and the timing of that trigger will be core variables for the final outcome.
The rules state: If, before 11:59 PM ET on the specified date, any 1-minute candlestick for BTC/USDT on Binance has a final High price that is equal to or above the price mentioned in the title, this market will immediately settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No. The settlement source for this market is Binance, specifically referring to the High price of BTC/USDT using 1-minute candlesticks.
For prediction market users, the key to this type of market lies in the very specific settlement criteria, which are directly tied to Binance's minute-level market data. Therefore, whether the price reaches the target and the timing of that trigger will be core variables for the final outcome.