The latest market on Polymarket for Bitcoin is trading on the question: "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?". This market has a 24-hour trading volume of $5,821,653 and liquidity of $19,823; current odds show Yes at 1.4% and No at 98.7%. The market closes on 2026-07-01.
The settlement rules for this market state that if, before 11:59PM ET on the specified date, any 1-minute K candlestick on Binance for BTC/USDT hits a final High price that reaches or exceeds the price stated in the title, it will immediately settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No. The settlement source is clearly pointed to Binance, using the High price of BTC/USDT, and requires the chart to switch to 1m one-minute K candlesticks.
For prediction market users, the key to this type of contract is not just whether Bitcoin goes up, but that it uses Binance's 1-minute High price as the settlement basis, making the timing and price reference very specific, which means market trading will directly revolve around this rule.
The settlement rules for this market state that if, before 11:59PM ET on the specified date, any 1-minute K candlestick on Binance for BTC/USDT hits a final High price that reaches or exceeds the price stated in the title, it will immediately settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No. The settlement source is clearly pointed to Binance, using the High price of BTC/USDT, and requires the chart to switch to 1m one-minute K candlesticks.
For prediction market users, the key to this type of contract is not just whether Bitcoin goes up, but that it uses Binance's 1-minute High price as the settlement basis, making the timing and price reference very specific, which means market trading will directly revolve around this rule.