📉 $BTC（2025-11-07 08:26）｜Long and Short Trend Index：27 / 100（Weak Downtrend, Bears in Control）
BTC currently priced at approximately 100,891 USD, down -1.9% in the past 24 hours, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of declines, maintaining an overall weak downtrend. The market structure shows that short-term bullish rebounds have repeatedly faced resistance at the 102,000 USD range, with bearish momentum continuously strengthening. If BTC breaks below the psychological support level of 100,000 USD, there is a risk of further decline to 97,800~98,200 USD; if a short-term strong rebound breaks through 102,600 USD, only then can we confirm a stage bottoming out.
🔹 Multi-period K-line Trend Judgment：
15-Minute Chart: MA7, MA25, MA99 are in a bearish arrangement, with prices repeatedly pressured without breaking; MACD has formed a golden cross but with weak momentum; RSI ~40.5, slightly weak in the short term but showing signs of oversold recovery.
1-Hour Chart: MA7 crosses below MA25, MA99, the bearish trend structure is complete; MACD death cross continues, green bars are expanding; RSI ~38.0, momentum is in a weak zone.
4-Hour Chart: MA7 and MA25 maintain a downtrend, far from MA99; MACD double lines are deeply entrenched in the negative range; RSI ~30.5, continuously on the edge of being oversold.
Daily Chart: MA7 presses down on MA25 and increases the angle; MACD green bars accelerate in volume, indicating strong downward momentum; RSI ~34.0, the short to medium-term trend has clearly turned weak.
Weekly Chart: MA7 is still above MA25 but turning downwards; MACD red bars are significantly shrinking, the fast line approaches a death cross; RSI ~44.0, showing long-term momentum weakening but not collapsing.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis：
MACD: All periods (15m daily) are in a death cross structure, green bars continue to expand, bearish momentum dominates the market; weekly red bars are rapidly shortening, indicating signs of long-term momentum decline.
RSI: Various periods RSI distribution is in the 30-44 range, near the edge of the oversold area in the short to medium term, there is technical rebound space but no trend reversal signals.
Moving Average System: Bearish arrangement is obvious, MA99 (approximately 104,000 USD) has become a strong short-term resistance level, must break through to restore structural repair.
Trading Volume: Increased by approximately 18% compared to the previous trading day, indicating a decline accompanied by increased volume, with bears controlling the dominant rhythm.
🌐 Macroeconomic News (Last 48 Hours):
1.【Federal Reserve Board Hawkish Remarks】implying "if inflation rises, will reconsider interest rate hikes", the dollar index returns to 106.8, and risk assets are generally under pressure.
BTC currently priced at approximately 100,891 USD, down -1.9% in the past 24 hours, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of declines, maintaining an overall weak downtrend. The market structure shows that short-term bullish rebounds have repeatedly faced resistance at the 102,000 USD range, with bearish momentum continuously strengthening. If BTC breaks below the psychological support level of 100,000 USD, there is a risk of further decline to 97,800~98,200 USD; if a short-term strong rebound breaks through 102,600 USD, only then can we confirm a stage bottoming out.
🔹 Multi-period K-line Trend Judgment：
15-Minute Chart: MA7, MA25, MA99 are in a bearish arrangement, with prices repeatedly pressured without breaking; MACD has formed a golden cross but with weak momentum; RSI ~40.5, slightly weak in the short term but showing signs of oversold recovery.
1-Hour Chart: MA7 crosses below MA25, MA99, the bearish trend structure is complete; MACD death cross continues, green bars are expanding; RSI ~38.0, momentum is in a weak zone.
4-Hour Chart: MA7 and MA25 maintain a downtrend, far from MA99; MACD double lines are deeply entrenched in the negative range; RSI ~30.5, continuously on the edge of being oversold.
Daily Chart: MA7 presses down on MA25 and increases the angle; MACD green bars accelerate in volume, indicating strong downward momentum; RSI ~34.0, the short to medium-term trend has clearly turned weak.
Weekly Chart: MA7 is still above MA25 but turning downwards; MACD red bars are significantly shrinking, the fast line approaches a death cross; RSI ~44.0, showing long-term momentum weakening but not collapsing.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis：
MACD: All periods (15m daily) are in a death cross structure, green bars continue to expand, bearish momentum dominates the market; weekly red bars are rapidly shortening, indicating signs of long-term momentum decline.
RSI: Various periods RSI distribution is in the 30-44 range, near the edge of the oversold area in the short to medium term, there is technical rebound space but no trend reversal signals.
Moving Average System: Bearish arrangement is obvious, MA99 (approximately 104,000 USD) has become a strong short-term resistance level, must break through to restore structural repair.
Trading Volume: Increased by approximately 18% compared to the previous trading day, indicating a decline accompanied by increased volume, with bears controlling the dominant rhythm.
🌐 Macroeconomic News (Last 48 Hours):
1.【Federal Reserve Board Hawkish Remarks】implying "if inflation rises, will reconsider interest rate hikes", the dollar index returns to 106.8, and risk assets are generally under pressure.