1. Cryptocurrency market briefing
1. Top trader Joshua
Updated on April 21 at 21:04 Beijing time:
Those currently watching the market are probably feeling a bit frustrated, and I feel the same way.
The US stock index has risen nearly 10% in just 10 days, but BTC is still around 75k, looking like it's standing still.
Currently, the account hasn't changed much, and it's not that the market is 'slow', but because there is fundamentally no reason for significant fluctuations this week.
There is no US inflation data this week.
The Federal Reserve meeting is next week.
The Bank of Japan's meeting is also next week.
That is to say, this is a 'quiet week' lacking macro events that can significantly change market sentiment.
In addition, STRC (MicroStrategy's financial product, funded for buying BTC), which has always supported BTC, will also be in a hiatus before the beginning of next month.
So I believe the structure looks more like:
Positive news can only slowly push prices higher.
But once negative news appears, the downside space is more likely to open up.
(Joshua believes BTC price has not been able to break up, positive factors are about to be exhausted, and the downside risk is increasing.)
2. Top trader RunnerXBT
Updated at 14:54 Beijing time on April 21:
I read here before that when BTC is strongly rising, 90% of the gains are usually completed within just a few weeks.
I am indeed thinking about whether this is exactly the phase now.
Every wave of rising prices in the past two years has basically been driven by the following factors:
• Large-scale buying of ETFs (at the level of tens of billions of dollars)
• Michael Saylor is buying heavily (also at the level of tens of billions of dollars)
• The macro environment and traditional finance (TradFi) are providing favorable winds.
(RunnerXBT believes that the recent large-scale buying of BTC by institutions is somewhat like the phase of the bull market starting.)
3. Trader White phoenix
Updated at 20:37 Beijing time on April 23:
The crude oil contract expires today (some brokers may have it expire last night), and Brent crude oil expires on April 30. In the next few days, there may be a large-scale short squeeze in crude oil, so be aware of the risks. At the same time, I expect other markets to show the opposite trend. I feel that 'Old Trump' can no longer suppress paper oil for too long.
That is to say, I will be taking swing short positions on BTC and focus on establishing and holding these swing shorts. In fact, I have been doing this before; I'm just more active now (laughs).
Based on last night's situation, if the opening shows a false rally, I will look for opportunities to short.
I really can't believe I missed that beautiful SFP pullback... that was one of my favorite patterns.
(White phoenix believes that oil prices will rise at the end of the month, while stocks and the crypto market will fall; he plans to short during false breakouts.)
4. Trader Vivian
(Vivian believes BTC has the possibility of breaking upwards; she is going long on SOL, and has not analyzed BTC so far today.)
5. Wave Theory Liu Yudong
BTC April 21, 2026
The third segment of the green line is undergoing a retracement. The price maintains above 7166.4 for more rises.
7962.1 is very important; if it can break through, it will strengthen. The entire adjustment must end before September 6. Then comes the rise.
(Liu Yudong believes BTC must break through 79621 to strengthen; the bear market will end before September 6.)
2. US stock market fast track
1. Wave Theory Liu Yudong
If I had to choose between #hood# and #coin#, I choose hood. #robinhood# is an internet stock trading platform aimed at young people. Missing out on hood in 2025. It has pulled back 61.8% this year and has started to rebound.
HOOD April 21, 2026
The red line is the driving wave, the black line is the platform shape; it has retraced 0.618 of the red line. The rise that started from 63.52 has formed a small level driving wave. There will be another rise of the same level in the future. Targets are 98 and 108.69.
2. ELITE team Brando
Updated at 20:53 Beijing time on April 21:
SPX maintains near yesterday's high, if it breaks through 7133, the next target looks at 7155.
QQQ maintains near yesterday's closing price, the tech stocks are slightly lagging.
AAPL holds 271, which is a good signal; there may be opportunities later this week.
CAT may look at 822 next.
MSFT is the strongest in MAG7 today.
CRWD has started to move; if it can break through 451, the next target looks at 488.
The overall market is currently consolidating sideways, with no obvious fluctuations, but overall support is decent.
If it can hold above 451, CRWD's 460C can be treated as a lottery ticket to participate.
The software sector is leading, and CRWD is one of the leaders.
PLTR's pullback has been bought up, currently holding above yesterday's low.
QQQ is about to break through yesterday's high.
If it can stabilize above yesterday's high, QQQ's 650C for 4/22 can be considered.
Focus on PLTR's 150C for 4/24.
QQQ has already regained yesterday's high, let's see if it can hold, the next step looks at 651.
PLTR's trend is a bit different; it dropped sharply in the morning but is now following IGV to regain strength.
MSFT here is also realizing profits.
PLTR, let's see if it can break through 149 this week, looking at 154.
Besides the software sector, I haven't seen many opportunities at the moment.
SPX and QQQ are still oscillating within a range.
If ARM breaks through 180, you can look at 185.
MRVL is also strong; the next step looks at 156.
AAPL, NVDA, AMD, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, META have not shown much performance.
3. Precious Metal Market Fast Track
1. Wave Theory Liu Yudong
Silver April 21, 2026
The rise indicated by the red dot is considered an adjustment from the blue dot to the red dot's decline. Breaking below 76.31 is a retracement.
Again approaching the rising trend line, today around 77.77.
Breaking below will weaken.
2. Bit肥
I waited for April 21 for a long time; after a week of weak first candlestick at a high position, I closed my eyes and went short, hoping to drop for a few weeks, and drop for a month next month.
(Bit肥 believes the gold daily line is bearish)
4. Summary
In the past half month, the performance has been quite strong; every pullback has not dropped to a lower low, the lows are rising, oscillating upwards along the trend line, the upward structure is good, and there are no signs of breaking the reversal trend. Additionally, the contract funding rate is negative, institutions are continuously buying; despite the war news reversing repeatedly, we still cannot short BTC heavily, especially at the current price level.
However, the funds of the institution are not unlimited. If it rises to around 80K in a few days, you can try shorting with a stop loss. It is also not suitable to chase long positions now, let's wait and see.
Statement:
The above information is for reference only, not trading advice; trading is high risk, participation requires caution.
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