CPI data was originally scheduled to be released on October 15th, but was delayed due to the government shutdown, becoming the only major macro event this week.
The market's total market capitalization is now hovering around $3.8 trillion, with BTC stabilizing above $111K, and ETH fluctuating slightly around $4K. The overall atmosphere is 'cautiously optimistic'—risk appetite is warming up, but everyone is waiting for this 'bomb' to drop.
My core prediction: neutral probability is the highest, and the market has partially priced in 3.1%, so there won't be any big surprises. However, if it falls short of expectations, BTC could easily break $115K, starting the 'pre-heating rally' before next week's FOMC. On the contrary, hot data + shutdown noise may test the psychological barrier of $100K before the weekend—but don't panic, this is an opportunity to buy the dip.
Prepare to enter with light positions as it pulls back to expectations; before the data comes out tonight, don't FOMO; after it comes out, follow the liquidity—buy low, sell high, and set your stop-loss.
The market's total market capitalization is now hovering around $3.8 trillion, with BTC stabilizing above $111K, and ETH fluctuating slightly around $4K. The overall atmosphere is 'cautiously optimistic'—risk appetite is warming up, but everyone is waiting for this 'bomb' to drop.
My core prediction: neutral probability is the highest, and the market has partially priced in 3.1%, so there won't be any big surprises. However, if it falls short of expectations, BTC could easily break $115K, starting the 'pre-heating rally' before next week's FOMC. On the contrary, hot data + shutdown noise may test the psychological barrier of $100K before the weekend—but don't panic, this is an opportunity to buy the dip.
Prepare to enter with light positions as it pulls back to expectations; before the data comes out tonight, don't FOMO; after it comes out, follow the liquidity—buy low, sell high, and set your stop-loss.
