Do you like trying out macro short messages? If you do, please leave a comment, like, and follow me. Tonight, I will share the trading ideas I have drafted under this macro background for everyone's reference.
1) The Federal Reserve has recently shifted to a dovish stance, increasing the likelihood of interest rate cuts and balance sheet reduction, seemingly reflecting their concerns about the job market;
2) The characteristics of 24-hour trading in the cryptocurrency market often lead to overselling, especially during sudden events like in April (for example, the trade war);
3) The market volatility triggered by Trump recently primarily stems from the uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-China trade negotiations, particularly the APEC meeting on October 31 and the negotiation point on November 1. Referring to the situation in April, there are still two weeks left now, so blindly betting that Trump will ultimately ease the situation is not very reliable, unless substantial progress is made at the last moment. Therefore, I have not chosen to buy at low prices recently, nor will I increase my positions to bet on market sentiment at this point.
The Federal Reserve's meeting on October 30 could trigger significant fluctuations, and changes in premiums in the options and futures markets surrounding the APEC meeting on October 31 and the negotiation date on November 1 will also reflect a strong hedging demand, which is worth close attention.
What do you think will be the main driving force in the market over the next two weeks? Leave a comment, like, and follow me. Tonight, I will share the trading ideas I have drafted under this macro background for everyone's reference.
#美国加征关税 #鲍威尔发言
$BTC $ETH $SOL
1) The Federal Reserve has recently shifted to a dovish stance, increasing the likelihood of interest rate cuts and balance sheet reduction, seemingly reflecting their concerns about the job market;
2) The characteristics of 24-hour trading in the cryptocurrency market often lead to overselling, especially during sudden events like in April (for example, the trade war);
3) The market volatility triggered by Trump recently primarily stems from the uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-China trade negotiations, particularly the APEC meeting on October 31 and the negotiation point on November 1. Referring to the situation in April, there are still two weeks left now, so blindly betting that Trump will ultimately ease the situation is not very reliable, unless substantial progress is made at the last moment. Therefore, I have not chosen to buy at low prices recently, nor will I increase my positions to bet on market sentiment at this point.
The Federal Reserve's meeting on October 30 could trigger significant fluctuations, and changes in premiums in the options and futures markets surrounding the APEC meeting on October 31 and the negotiation date on November 1 will also reflect a strong hedging demand, which is worth close attention.
What do you think will be the main driving force in the market over the next two weeks? Leave a comment, like, and follow me. Tonight, I will share the trading ideas I have drafted under this macro background for everyone's reference.
#美国加征关税 #鲍威尔发言
$BTC $ETH $SOL