Post

--Bullish

Many people ask me about cycle prices and I have calculated with my method and I get the following values for BTC, Nasdaq, and XRP for this cycle:

Nasdaq: I estimate the maximum peak at 26,759 points
BTC: I estimate the maximum peak at 139,952 dollars
XRP: I estimate the maximum peak at 4.35 dollars

I have also calculated the probability of a market Crash occurring in 2026, which has a probability of 85.4% of happening in 2026. Next year it is very likely that the Bear Market will begin.

As for Q4 of 2025, I estimate a probability of 72.7% of continuing to rise until the end of the year, regarding current prices. Because of this, I have made this post bullish for the coming months.

If I had to bet on two months in 2026 where we will most likely see that Crash next year, I would say March and/or September.

We will see the bottom of the Bear Market in Q2-Q3 2027.

As I always say, expect the best and prepare for the worst.

Regards to all.

Nebular

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--

Bearish

$BTC As I mentioned, this August, especially in the second half of this month, serious declines were going to occur. There are certain probabilities that these declines will extend into the first week of September. For now, let's focus on August and we will calculate September better later.

I regret to inform you that in the short term we will continue to decline; I have calculated the probability of continuing to decrease in the coming days, and it came out to 71% probability of continuing to drop. I expect BTC to reach 109-110k, which we will reach in the form of a wick in the coming days or weeks. Remember that we have strong support at 114-115k in BTC.

As for the medium term, looking several months ahead, the probability of an increase currently stands at 79%. That’s why I have high hopes to see significant recoveries and increases by the end of the year due to such high probabilities.
Because of this, I believe August could be a good month to buy and wait a few months to sell for a bit of profit.

I wouldn't expect much from 2026; I believe it will be around mid-2026 when we see the bear market.

Greetings to all.

Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No advice. Binance AI may be used without guarantee. See T&Cs.