Today is the Lantern Festival. Let’s not talk about the market today; let’s talk about the Iran-US war. Many brothers say that the Iran-US war has nothing to do with me, a handsome guy with a monthly salary of 3000?
Brother, you don’t say it really has something to do with you. I just want to ask: the electric bike you ride to work every day, the bus you take, the takeout you order, the gas you fill up, which one is not related to oil?
Just because your monthly salary is 3000 does not mean you can live in a vacuum. International politics may seem distant usually, but when it really comes down to it, it’s ordinary people's livelihoods that get hit.
First, make sure to clear the accounts and don’t be led astray by others.
We need to consume 762 million tons of oil a year, of which 546 million tons rely on imports, leading to a 70% dependence on foreign sources.
Out of nearly 10 barrels of oil, 7 barrels are brought back from outside.
In this context, the Middle East accounts for 42% of our imported oil.
The most critical route for Middle Eastern oil to go abroad is the Strait of Hormuz.
Who is guarding this gateway?
Iran.
Iran as a country, putting aside other things, the most practical point for us ordinary people is: it really dares to confront the big beauty head-on; it is one of the few roles in the Middle East that can put foreign devils on the grill.
Do you think that the big beauty stares at Iran every day because it dislikes it? It's because they're eyeing this strait.
As long as Iran exists, the big beauty does not dare to casually close the strait, casually inspect ships, or casually block oil.
Once Iran collapses, the whole Middle East will have no competitors for the big beauty.
At that time, the situation will change:
The Strait of Hormuz has directly turned into a 'private toll booth' for the United States and Israel.
Have you thought about what happens if such a situation arises: paying money, undergoing inspections, watching faces, obeying orders?
We have so many oil tankers passing through there every day. If they really detain a few for months under the pretext of 'security checks', the consequences are obvious.
What will happen in the country if the oil is cut off?
Factories halt production, logistics paralyze, transportation grinds to a halt, and prices soar. Trucks cannot operate, deliveries stop, vegetable prices rise, meat prices rise, and oil prices soar.
With a monthly salary of 3000, it is already tight, and maintaining a normal life will become difficult.
Some people say: haven't we already laid out our plans?
That's right, in these twenty years, the East has been desperately trying to change the pattern.
The dependence on Middle Eastern oil has been reduced from 50% to 42%; shipping routes have decreased from 100% to 90%. All possible oil sources from Russia, South America, and Central Asia are being utilized. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and land pipelines are all being constructed.
However, ideals are abundant, while reality is stark: Russia is caught in its own war, and at critical moments, price increases are mild; what various conditions will you accept?
South America has already become the backyard of the big beauty; the Panama Canal is in their hands. If they really turn against you, they might not give you a drop of oil.
Some brothers might say, don't we have land pipelines?
Hehe, brother, let’s not talk about limited capacity and long routes; just a few of their stealth planes can cut you off, and you won't have time to make up for it.
To put it simply: Iran is a firewall for our energy security.
It is not just fighting for itself; it is helping the entire Middle East and us to maintain a baseline that cannot be easily manipulated.
This is not some grand narrative; this is the most basic logic of survival. Iran cannot afford to lose.
If it loses, it is not just a tragedy for one country. It rewrites the global landscape, chokes our energy lifeline, and every ordinary person's cost of living, job opportunities, and space for survival will be controlled.
With a monthly salary of 3000, you must understand this: great power competition has never been news from far away.
It determines whether you can afford oil, whether you can afford vegetables, whether there is a stable job available; do not think that it does not concern you!
Today you watch the excitement, tomorrow the cost might fall on you. Well, today I've had a couple of drinks, and I will present the market situation to everyone tomorrow. Wishing everyone a safe Lantern Festival!#美国撤离中东公民 #X移除加密禁令 #贵金原油价格飙升 #伊朗证实哈梅内伊已死