R3NAX3L

Enjoying the sunset as #BTC falls 🌊🍀🌅

I’m already craving some meat 🥩🥲 , I hope this week that’s about to start falls soon 🤞🏻🍀

September has historically been considered the worst month for returns in #BTC , and despite all the negativity happening in this 2026, it still surprised everyone by ending positive. And if it closes above 84k, it would be considered in the top 3 best Septembers there have ever been throughout history…

September 2011 = 21.95%
September 2024 = 8.19%
September 2026 = 7% (closing at 84k)

October is coming. Historically, it’s a bullish month and is considered one of the best months to achieve returns. Most users are already expecting BTC to break upward, targeting 100k as the next objective, but the question is…

Will October be bullish again despite all the negative events worldwide?

Or will it surprise us with the opposite, just like September, and become a top 3 of the worst Octobers in all of history…

October 2011: -34.79%
October 2012: -11.10%
October 2014: -12.67%
October 2026: ?

We’ll know very soon…. ⏳

Keep falling, I want some tacos 🌮

Officially for me the bearish market has ended with this rise in BTC; a strong pullback has to come to regain momentum. At that moment I’ll go long. The detail is knowing how far the reversal will go—up to 86k was the last zone with the most liquidations. Let’s see how far it keeps pulling 🥶

I keep dreaming that it’s going to rise to $5 🥲😂

I have faith that in a few years it will rise to at least 200x 🍀, as long as it keeps falling, I'll keep buying

#NIKE appears to be an excellent buying opportunity 🍀💯

So they come out for some tacos and 2 beers 😅

🧐

🐊

The highest probability is that today the Clarity law is NOT approved and that tomorrow interest rates rise….

Add oil above 100 usd and DXY trying to break above 100 points 👀….

Among other things that are lining up so that, in theory, BTC starts to plummet again ☠️.

Goals this week: 74k-70k…

I hope I’m not wrong 🥶

⏳🤞🏻🍀

Will the possible rise that many expect come to liquidate 83k-86k? 🧐

From September 16 onward, I believe a strong drop is coming. These next 48 hours will decide whether it goes up or down. A strong move is on the way… ⏳🤞🏻🍀

This bullish manipulation in BTC is something 😅. I'm staying patient and focused on the idea that this month of September there will be a strong drop, and probably in early October it will continue…

If it reaches my entry price, I’ll exit at break-even (BE) and then re-enter higher. I CAN’T go long yet until the market proves to me that the trend has changed from bearish to bullish, and I’ll adapt to that change on a pullback of at least 15%. It’s not good to enter with FOMO by buying BTC at +80k

-Ley clarity won’t be approved.
- oil above 100 USD.
- 87% probability of increasing interest rates.
- the war continues.
- the global economy is in shambles.
- 10-year bonds at very high levels.
- the BTC floor “was seen” in less than 9 months—something historic, since for more than 12 years it has always taken, on average, 1 year for the bear market.
- DXY rebounding upward

In the end, I can’t turn bullish this month 🧐

I didn’t know this electric car company; I looked into it a bit. It sounds interesting for a long-term bet (3–5 years)…

If it keeps falling below my entry price, I’ll keep buying. This is not investment advice—do your own research.

You’re going to see how from September 16 BTC will start to sink. I feel like something similar to a black swan is coming, and it won’t just be that the crypto sector sinks—there are several negative data points that have been simmering for a while and are frightening ☠️. I completely rule out that this month or next it will go straight to 100k. I hope I’m wrong.

Just remember that the 69k level is the key—if it breaks, we’re going at least to 62k 👀

Next levels to keep selling…

108
114
120

Let's see how high it goes 🛢️☠️

Be careful about throwing all your capital into a highly leveraged short on BTC, thinking it’s no longer going to rise, because it could still surprise to the upside… there are still major liquidations up to 86k…

That doesn’t mean it’s 100% certain that the price has to rise because of them, but the probability increases as long as it stays in the 79k zone and above.

If it breaks 83k and you haven’t closed the short and still have capital, the whole 83k-86k area is for averaging in (that’s what I’ll do if that happens) or starting a new short, with an SL above 86,500 and looking for a drop from the top of at least 15% to join the bullish move…

Why do I say a 15% drop? Currently it’s on a streak of 94 days without correcting by at least 15% from one daily candle close to the next, and historically most of the time it corrects that percentage before 100 days, I’m leaving you a photo…

Suppose it rises to 86k and wipes out all the area shown in the photo, we subtract 15% and that gives us a price of 73k….

From 73k-69k, that would be the moment to enter long, because the most likely scenario is that the trend from bearish to bullish is about to begin…

But if we don’t see a break of 83k, the probability of going at least to 70k-69k (which represents 15%) is huge; at that point it will be decided whether it bounces or breaks that key level. Below 68k, I consider that we are still in a bear market and that it can still go after 62k-60k and even new lows.

This is my plan, let’s see what happens in the coming days, good vibes to everyone… 🍀🤞🏻

Futures trading is like a casino, most people lose and very few end up in the green….. since the house NEVER loses, what do you think BTC will do this month and next, taking into account that if it rises to 97k-100k it liquidates approximately 13 billion USDT…. But if it falls to 53k-50k it liquidates approximately 27 billion USDT (double)….

126,200 was BTC's all-time high in October last year, if it drops -60% from the peak, BTC would be at 50,500….

A -60% drop is something that could still really happen, taking into account that in ALL bearish cycles it has fallen a MINIMUM of -77%, don’t forget that 🧐 so a -60% would be something completely NORMAL….

And another thing, they had NEVER seen the lows of a bearish cycle so quickly (it was less than 9 months), generally the timing is around 1 year and each time bearish cycles last longer, for example the last one in 2022 lasted 1 year and 12 days….

This year many are already shouting bull run and saying the bottom is already in, if that ends up being true, the bottom would have come more than 3 months early and would have only had a 54% drop from its peak, it would be something HISTORIC NEVER SEEN BEFORE!!! Despite wars, a bad economy in many countries, high inflation in the U.S. without being able to lower rates (soon they want to raise them), U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds at their highest level since January 2025, etc…

The question many of us ask: has the bottom really already been in? Have BTC cycles that had been respected for more than 12 years broken?

I’m still unsure 🤨 and if they put a gun to my head to give an answer, I would tell you that as long as it doesn’t break 83k, the bottom hasn’t arrived…..

We’ll see it in these next 2 months, September and October are the key for the market to decide whether it goes to +90k or falls to -57k….

What do you think? Good vibes to everyone 🤞🏻🍀

Good morning 🌊☀️, hopefully btc drops this week 🙃