⚠️ Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issues a strong statement! The US and Israel have taken concrete actions against Iran, and the cryptocurrency market's risk-averse trend has officially begun.
1. On February 28, Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs officially stated: the United States and Israel have really taken action against Iran, launching military strikes.
2. Iran is now demanding that the United Nations quickly intervene to stop this act of aggression.
3. At the same time, they made a strong statement: they will definitely make the US and Israel pay a 'painful price', meaning that Iran will certainly retaliate, and the flames of war in the Middle East are about to escalate.
2. Analysis of the impact on the cryptocurrency market
1. Short-term trend (1-3 days)
- Risk-averse assets lead the rise: Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are expected to see a certain increase, with gains possibly exceeding 10%, as funds will rush into safe havens.
- High-risk assets plummet: altcoins and MEME coins will be heavily sold off, with funds flowing from high-risk sectors to mainstream coins and stablecoins, leading to a very noticeable market divergence.
- Contract risk reminder: bulls currently have the upper hand, but beware of a quick pullback after the news of Iran's retaliation lands, as it may result in 'good news being fully priced in', leverage must be reduced.
2. Medium to long-term trend (more than 1 week)
- Expectations of an energy crisis: If Iran retaliates and blocks the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices will skyrocket, further increasing the demand for cryptocurrencies as a safe haven, and a bull market may start earlier than expected.
- Policy uncertainties: Geopolitical conflicts may disrupt the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut plans, which will suppress the market in the short term, but in the long term, the war will lead more people to convert their assets into cryptocurrencies for preservation.
- Operational advice: Hold mainstream coin positions steadily in spot trading, do not easily cut losses; gradually accumulate BTC, ETH at lower prices, avoiding high-risk small coins; for contract players, strict leverage control is essential, and stop-loss measures must be implemented.