📉 JPMorgan expects an imminent cut in interest rates — is the Federal Reserve starting a loosening cycle?
In light of a clear slowdown in the labor market and rising political pressures, JPMorgan's Chief Economist, Michael Feroli, expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.0% – 4.25% during its next meeting.
🔍 Key forecasts:
🔻 Two or three committee members may call for additional cuts
🔻 No member is expected to support keeping current rates
📊 The dot plot may indicate new cuts after 2025
📌 This shift comes after weak labor market data, increasing recession probabilities, along with President Trump's nomination of Stephen Miran to the Federal Reserve Board, which may deepen the divide within the committee.
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