The cryptocurrency market in 2026 is undergoing a deep winter baptism after the retreat from the "$100,000 frenzy." As Bitcoin pulls back from last year's historical high of $126,000 to around $60,000, market sentiment has plunged into "extreme fear." In the current context where institutions dominate and ETF capital flows dictate survival, truly catching the bottom requires immense patience.

#何时抄底?

To capture the bottom in 2026, it's recommended to pay attention to the following three core signals:

Verification of technical support levels: The current key observation point is around $58,000 (near the 200-week moving average). If the price can consolidate in this area with reduced volume, forming a double bottom or rounded bottom structure, it will be the first step towards stabilization.

Turn in macro liquidity: 2026 is a "macro market," and the Federal Reserve's stance on balance sheet reduction and the implementation of policies by new officials is the "oxygen" for the market. When the funds flowing into U.S. spot ETFs shift from several months of net outflows to continuous and stable net inflows, it usually indicates that institutional funds are rebuilding positions.

Sentiment and "surrender-style" clearing: The true bottom is often accompanied by one last despairing crash, known as the "big washout." When the market shows no reaction to positive news and retail investors generally discuss exiting, that is the opportune moment for left-side positioning.

Catching the bottom is by no means "catching a falling knife"; rather, it's an art of step-by-step execution. Starting a regular investment when valuations return to the value zone is often wiser than gambling on that elusive "lowest point." The current market is in a painful period of deleveraging; remember: in the crypto sphere, patience is sometimes more precious than capital.

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