MKR today is walking a tightrope: the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is heating up, and a breakout from the triangle is imminent!
Today, MKR is stuck between $1450-$1494, playing 'dancing on the edge of a knife'. The four-hour chart is pushing against the upper Bollinger Band, while the MA5/MA10 moving averages are aggressively pointing upwards. It seems like the bulls still have ammunition, but the MACD's red bars have shrunk to toothpicks, and the DIF and DEA are sticking closely together—this is clearly a divergence! The market is putting on a dramatic show: the $1494 resistance has been a 'coffin lid' that hasn't been broken for three months, while the $1450 support is as thick as a bulletproof vest. The trading volume exploded from $12,000 to $22,000 and then fizzled out, with the 'fake breakout, real burial' tactics of the whales firmly locked in on the candlestick chart. On-chain whales are even more ruthless, trading 8,000 MKR back and forth between $1460-$1480, a tactic reminiscent of the pre-washout play in February.

News is pouring fuel on the fire: the positive news of MakerDAO increasing its holdings in US Treasuries has been used by whales as a smokescreen to offload, with prices shooting up only to be smashed down, clearly aiming to harvest retail investors. But don’t rush to short— the IOMAP indicator shows a significant amount of capital at $1220-$1258, totaling $299 million, and if this level holds, it will signal the bulls to charge. The symmetrical triangle pattern has been squeezed to the extreme, and a breakout above $1494 could directly target the $1800 level, with a 41% profit margin not being a dream!
Whales' double-edged trap:
Contract players are fixated on the triangle breakout: if it breaks out with volume above $1494, chase the long position, but ensure to set a stop-loss to prevent a fake breakout; if it drops below $1450, directly look at the $1400 iron bottom, where there are bloodied chips everywhere, but be careful of catching falling knives.

Spot traders are placing orders to ambush at $1430: the whale support area + weekly demand resonance, this position is even lower than the whales' cost.
Derivatives alert: open interest has soared to $87.8 million, and the funding rate has risen to 0.0088%, indicating that the bulls are still holding on, but the spot market has $1.2 million in profit-taking pressure, making this market a meat grinder for both bulls and bears!

The longer this position remains sideways, the higher the liquidation volume stacks up. DeFi blue chips are collectively impotent; those in profit should take it quickly and not wait until the whales 'draw the door and kill' before crying for help!

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