๐ Key Points from the Federal Reserve's March Interest Rate Meeting
1. Timeline:
1. Rate decision announcement at 2:00 AM on the 20th (99% expectation that rates will remain unchanged.)
2. Powell's press conference at 2:30 AM on the 20th (market sentiment indicator)
2. Key Observational Indicators
Rate dot plot forecast:
โข 3 rate cuts: Bullish for stocks/crypto
โข Maintaining 1 rate cut: May trigger a sell-off
โข Compromise with 2 rate cuts: Market reaction neutral
3. QT Tapering Process: Highly likely to announce a halt to tapering, releasing liquidity benefits
4. BTC Market
1. Technical Analysis:
Benchmark target: 84.5K-85K
Breakthrough resistance: Looking up to 90K
Pullback support: 80K-81K
2. Z-factor impact
Dovish signals: Bullish for crypto
Hawkish stance: Facing short-term downward pressure
Halting tapering: Medium to long-term liquidity injection benefits
The market expects a 99% probability that there will be no rate cut this time. Powell's speech and economic forecast summary will become key signals for potential future rate cuts. #็พ่ๅจ3ๆๅฉ็ๅณ่ฎฎ
1. Timeline:
1. Rate decision announcement at 2:00 AM on the 20th (99% expectation that rates will remain unchanged.)
2. Powell's press conference at 2:30 AM on the 20th (market sentiment indicator)
2. Key Observational Indicators
Rate dot plot forecast:
โข 3 rate cuts: Bullish for stocks/crypto
โข Maintaining 1 rate cut: May trigger a sell-off
โข Compromise with 2 rate cuts: Market reaction neutral
3. QT Tapering Process: Highly likely to announce a halt to tapering, releasing liquidity benefits
4. BTC Market
1. Technical Analysis:
Benchmark target: 84.5K-85K
Breakthrough resistance: Looking up to 90K
Pullback support: 80K-81K
2. Z-factor impact
Dovish signals: Bullish for crypto
Hawkish stance: Facing short-term downward pressure
Halting tapering: Medium to long-term liquidity injection benefits
The market expects a 99% probability that there will be no rate cut this time. Powell's speech and economic forecast summary will become key signals for potential future rate cuts. #็พ่ๅจ3ๆๅฉ็ๅณ่ฎฎ