Golos Baffeta

So that you don't relax and understand that this is just the beginning…
I will close all speculative deals that I provided here after the growth that I am currently awaiting.
Or I will close them at breakeven.
Because when we head to $BTC at 75000 or lower, the conditional $TON there will again be worth 0.8 $ or lower.
And so on down the list.
You have already been shown the real prices of your beloved altcoins, this wick gives an understanding of this weak market, in which 99% are random people who can officially be shaved and have their money taken away.
So don't fall into euphoria from the words of various clowns who here shout that magical prices are now.
Do I want such a drop later?
Yes and no.
No, because our psyche always works for growth. Yes, because there will be an opportunity to earn.
Can I be wrong?
I would be glad about that and would then buy based on the trend, but I think we will see this crash after the rebound.

Volatility always fades before the impulse.
What difference does it make which direction $BTC goes if you have a clear action plan?
But if you don’t have one, then you should think it through and understand what exactly YOU will do if the markets continue to rise, and also come up with a couple of options for the case of corrections—without forgetting about extreme scenarios like a black (read: reddish) swan $TRUMP .
There are a very, very many variables in the market, but unfortunately people here often can’t see beyond their own nose—or, more precisely… beyond their investment cRYpTo portfolio.
Only a few understand where they’ve ended up and how exactly they’ll need to get out of here; very few realize how all of this will end and, most importantly, with what…
Yes, growth will happen, but it’s not about it or about when—it’s about the fact that the absolute majority will lose their money even on the way up, because it’s greed that drives people here, who by nature always want too much.
A traditional business today would be happy to have 15% per year in currency, but the local tуземун hunters find that woefully insufficient—you give them 1000% and tell them what coins to buy, because they came to see the altseason.
Let the show begin…

The ideal set of new longs will be in the 70,000–58,000 area at $BTC
Of course, we can go further into the 88–90 area and get universal confidence and the feeling that “everything is only just beginning,” but I think this will be the final stage of the rally, and then in October we’ll move on to that same correction.
If this scenario plays out, don’t forget afterward to track how the market reacts—how, down there, everyone starts doubting again and very few people will want to buy alts.
Personally, this will be a reason for me to top up assets from our list and the individual coins we’ve discussed here with you.
I’m also adding to the list $XTZ and $LTC from the old-timers, plus a few more coins where volumes are visible.
No need to rush. We’ll watch 🤷🏻‍♂️

Learn how to take profits and you’ll be happy.
Most people here don’t even understand where we are in world history and they calmly accept events in the same Iran.
They don’t care about the oil price and the upcoming rapid rise in prices for all goods, even though, seemingly, «how much higher can it be?»
It’s as if they’re training all of us to believe that none of this affects the markets much.
So the next few months will be the most important in the context of the following several years.
Will a ceasefire be signed in the Russia–Ukraine conflict, or will everything drag on until 2030, but with NATO’s direct involvement?
Will Turkey declare war on Israel?
When will the India–Pakistan conflict begin?
In the end, will America use weapons of mass destruction to «cover up» essentially a losing operation in Iran?
Will the UAE, Qatar, and other countries be targeted again and close the skies, as one of the main hubs for passenger transport?
How will $BTC react to all of this?
Will the stock index update or will everything suddenly turn «good» and, after a correction, the uptrend will continue?
Here are your risks.
And as for us, with our longs, we’ve again done pretty well…
See you 🤷🏻‍♂️

A very bright and good example right in front of you. Once you remember it, you’ll start understanding how it works in the market.
How they manipulate you using news.
Think back to the AI topic—what hype was going on and how strongly they pushed this theme, hooking it into any coins, and then distributing those tokens to the “hamsters.” $AI
And now look at what they’ve started publishing every day in the news related to artificial intelligence. $TAO
Now it turns out that we’re all in danger and we’re practically standing at the brink of the apocalypse because of regular hacks.
What do I want to tell everyone with all of this?
Any trend is supported and inflated with paid articles, and at the peaks you always get the best and most unbelievable news.
And after unloading into the crowd by a large player, to break the trend, they do exactly the same thing—only in the opposite direction.
Well, on the local bottom they’ll tell you all the most terrible things.
And you can consider this in general for all crypto, because in order to pump an asset more easily, you need to make it so that nobody has it $QNT
Have a great day 😄🙋🏻‍♂️

People can’t get used to the rise—everyone shorts and doesn’t trust the market. Any pump is seen by them as an opportunity to enter a counter-trade against the trend.
Remember those posts about psychology?
Here it is, right in front of you—the thing described there.
A bearish market has trained all of us to look down so well that today you won’t see the euphoria that, it seems, should already be starting.
And during major corrections, it also doesn’t start on moves like these. The market maker will do everything nicely: first they’ll wipe out all the awakened bears, and only then will they start cutting the longs of those who suddenly decide to change direction—after first losing money on shorts.
It shouldn’t surprise you how the absolute majority, who waited here for the altseason for a few years, now is losing deposits on the opposite move? 😉
Now it’s just a matter of convincing everyone that it won’t go lower—then completely flip the crowd, which will be joined by an army of new passengers who will bring their money here with complete confidence in wealth and unprecedented “x’s”…
When will they show up?
Well, according to the classics: $BTC will break the round number at 100,000, the news feeds will pick up another hype, and Michael Saylor will say we’re going to 500,000.
But not all at once—watch…

How I act with speculative positions—I’ll explain my strategy specifically for these kinds of trades.
An asset $ENA that gives 100%: I partially lock in profits, and then I transfer part of the money from the profit (for example, 50%) into another one that hasn’t shown growth yet—in my case, that’s $1INCH .
This way, the possibility of compounding (compound interest) appears, and the only risk will be your portion of the profit from the trade you took earlier.
If there are more winning plus trades (specifically speculative) than $UNI , then by taking profit from them as well, I increase the number of new trades.
Here it’s important to understand the market at the moment, and on new trades you can set break-even after going through some path, protecting your money.
Now about the market: at the top, a seller is waiting—there is a layer of sell orders on Bitcoin.
The entire range 81–92 will become a serious obstacle, and in any case somewhere we’ll feel a “hit” from the seller.
And then the most interesting part comes, because at the bottom the zone 70–42 will remain, and it’s not yet clear how they will play out all of this.
Be careful and remember that algorithms are working against you.
Growth isn’t forever, just like any declines—and the market will give opportunities more than once to find the right trade.

I would once again, finally, make the breakout at $BTC to the 82 area +- and then I would go test the 70-66-54 zone.
And from there, I’d already unfold all of this upward.
Let them raise their bets over there; if they don’t accept clarity, it doesn’t concern me—I’d still like to see a correction in the stock market. I’d check how and where crypto will come with it, and that’s enough for me.
The main thing now is not to fuss. The medium-term goal of 100–120 thousand I told you about—stick with it for now, and then we’ll look further.
So it doesn’t matter where we go with the correction—down to 40 (which is already very unlikely) or anywhere else—you should have a clear plan and an understanding of where you’re making purchases and for what amount.
That’s basically it; you don’t need to do anything else afterward.
Just wait for the medium-term targets and withdraw your money on time.
I can write different posts and discuss some local things $LSK , but you must clearly understand the main forecast and just keep it in your head, relying on it specifically.
I hope I explained everything clearly 🤝

Here is a clear example of how “bad” news is used to cloud your mind.
They appear, note this, not during growth, but specifically before corrections or in the moments after major liquidations—so as to “explain” to you why you lost money.
Or else stories of this kind are planted so that the crowd starts shorting actively.
This news, of course, does have some real facts behind it.
But an ordinary person usually doesn’t understand many things in the market and perceives any such planted narrative on an emotional level—and that directly affects psychology.
Fear, hope, and euphoria control markets; these are the three main rules.
If you step away from this news, we will get to what I’ve written here more than once—inflation is the simplest way to siphon off your money. So by raising prices on everything, from bread in the store to airplane tickets, you’ll become poorer, while more money will be in the system, and globally for us everything will only get worse—that’s a fact.
As for news, they will never tell you in advance about a crash or a collapse…

News:

JPMorgan has just published a frightening chart of global oil reserves. Reserves are falling rapidly, and if this line reaches the 6.8 mark, the global economy will collapse.

Of the potentially interesting trades beyond the list of selected coins, I also took another $FET and added $LDO .
Also, I noticed something interesting on coin $ILV , which I haven’t bought yet, but I think I’ll look to pick it up in the second half of September.
Some kind of game, and it would seem there’s nothing new, but the company claims profits and strong turnover, confirming it with figures and reports for investors.
Let’s see what comes of it.
Actually, everything is pretty simple: the minimum goal is to achieve at least X3 on your main capital.
And there’s no doubt that I’ll do it—what’s needed is discipline and strict adherence to the rules.
When the crowd starts screaming about the alt season and squealing with joy, that’s when I’ll begin selling little by little.
All that’s left is to wait, because the market wears you out most of all with time.
Wishing everyone great vibes 🙋🏻‍♂️

There’s an awful lot of shorting in the market.
Let’s hope it doesn’t end with a dump being pushed somewhere near 3100 from $ETH .
Speculators all of a sudden started expecting a correction right here and now, and that usually ends with liquidations.
People still don’t believe in growth and are betting against it with their money.
A big player will never carry a load of extra leverage behind them, and of course the crowd will get shaved.
Let’s see, we’ll watch—maybe something changes, but just now the indicator signaled a serious imbalance toward shorts in the market and I wrote here right away.
Maybe it’ll help someone.
Today I shorted only $STORJ (closed the trade) and I’m also going to do the same in the end with $LSK .
The rest is still not interesting.
I’m still holding all positions in spot.
Nothing changes.

It’s worth saying separately to those people who don’t really understand much about the market yet, and therefore from their mouths you often hear phrases like “well, it’s clear—either up, or down”…
The point is that the market is a story about probabilities that are supported by charts and historical levels, where sellers and buyers are reflected, as well as about your level of knowledge that you use in a simple formula for calculating risk-to-profit.
So you should keep several possible scenarios in mind and understand exactly what you will do in each case.
Here’s an example of today’s reality: where, for instance, $BTC suddenly put in the bottom and won’t update it.
Then we may assume that at the top we have targets of 161.000 thousand and then 207.000.
In all this movement, as you understand, there will be corrections, and so on.
And there’s another scenario, where we update the low on some serious data, and then we still go on to break the highs.
But there’s also one more—because we have experience with Covid; there are nuclear threats today; the U.S. has debt; there was September 11, and so on.
What numbers might we see under such conditions?
Now it’s clear how professionals in the market work, and why traders like that always say, “either up, or down”? $VTHO

I always look at the DXY U.S. Dollar Index. To remind you, when this index goes down, markets go up.
In simple terms, the dollar gets cheaper and money runs into assets, chasing the depreciation.
This time again, the price has approached an important level that could send the index into a bullish rally.
And as soon as that happened, the U.S. Treasury immediately entered the debt market.
The stated reason was something like maintaining liquidity in older, less actively traded issues and buying back Treasuries.
Yesterday, it said that on September 10 it will conduct a buyback of up to $6 billion in bonds with maturities of 10–20 years.
But previously the standard maximum volume of such operations was only about $2 billion.
In effect, they’re trying to ease the imbalance: they buy back part of the old long bonds, supporting liquidity and reducing the pressure of supply on the market.
Sometimes you look at this and you see that it all works in manual mode for them.
As soon as they reached an important level, the right news was dropped immediately, and they arranged a long liquidation.
This is in response to the question of why I don’t read the news—I always watch only the chart instead of wasting time on someone’s crazy posts about how the whales showed up and started a correction $BTC
The market will provide opportunities to buy 🤝

Good evening everyone 🙋🏻‍♂️
While some altcoins are trying to emerge from accumulation, our old Bitcoin $BTC has paused.
Right now, all of this looks like a classic squeeze before the continuation of growth.
There are a lot of shorts on the market, everyone is looking for entry points for shorting, and most are expecting a sharp decline, plus the flying morons are still trying to short.
What does this mean?
People do not believe in the market.
Well, it would make sense to see the market surprise everyone again $RAY
Simply put, if we see a further push in price upward, then we have a global target above.
100-105 thousand…
This scenario will break down if the price goes below 69 thousand and consolidates there.
So for now everything is good and overall the market is pleasing me, the only question is why anonymous coins are being pumped up $ZEC , so that they can later be declared illegal at the market peaks or for the exit of large capital?
We’ll see, everything has its time 🤝

What will we see first with $BTC ?
90,000 or 65,000?
Such is the phase in the market…

You need to remember that corrections are always about healthy market relationships, and therefore they should be treated calmly.
There is no endless growth; at certain levels we always encounter sellers who either got stuck in positions earlier or bought the asset on a dip and believe it is time to sell.
That is why the price stops.
Some want to buy because they did not manage to do it lower, while others want to sell because prices may not go any higher. Psychology again 🤷🏻‍♂️
That is how the buyer and seller meet, and it is worth adding that there is always a guide in the market who leads the price into the range he needs.
All these mechanisms work together with the market maker, who is essentially hired for certain projects.
For example, at $XLM and $XRP , a high-precision algorithm is working in this place, and it is practically impossible to make a large profit using leverage.
Or the classic story: as soon as you enter a trade, it starts moving against you.
This big mechanism needs to be studied and learned to be viewed from the outside; in the end, this will give you a different perspective on the market.
A test of 70,000 on $BTC would be interesting to see, of course 😆

I noticed that when I started talking about how, in the mid-term and on the bounce, you can already buy coins, the feeling inside me was doubtful.
I wrote about my indicators, that they all are shouting about the start of some kind of reversal, but concerns remained.
And look…
This is about me and about market psychology—about the fact that it’s not just you who can get confused. Especially if you also read the news.
Back then, I identified the market peak $BTC easily; plus, the people who entered the market shouting “alt season” helped.
But buying in August was harder—the market was really made more difficult so that everyone would sit in fear.
Now, about the alts market for today.
I’m orienting myself to #TOTALCAP , and if the price goes below 2.4 trillion, then you can still go test zone 1.58 trillion, which will allow adding some more coins $XRP
If they give such an opportunity, I’m almost sure it will become the final bottom of the alts market.
Only the right coins matter, and don’t forget about #CLARITYAct
If we go straight from here, I won’t be disappointed either, but purely from a technical standpoint, I’d like to update the lows.
But for the market, our “wants” mean absolutely nothing—this is exactly why traders often end up late and don’t come on time to the next trend shift.

Good luck to everyone 🤝

Nothing interesting yet—we're approaching serious levels at $BTC .
Let's see how the market reacts.
For now, I'm taking a break from all this fuss, and I wish the same for you ✌🏻
Sitting in front of a computer or phone, watching prices—keep in mind that this is something that beginners should take into account. If you’re one of those people who constantly monitor quotes, then you should pay attention to it and learn not to do that.
In general, the best mid-term trading approach among professionals is: chart review → enter the trade → set stop-losses → close the computer.
Think back to how, as kids, we all dreamed of looking grown-up—and now, as adults, we all want to go back to childhood. Why?
Back then there was no responsibility or money, and there was no anxiety about tomorrow.
Today you have both responsibility and money, plus constant anxiety from the news (which is better not to read). So treat these things today with respect and don’t devalue your experience, no matter what it is.
You can calmly not only adjust your time or your trades, but also change your overall attitude toward everyday routine.
It all starts and ends in our heads. If there’s a will.
On the line 🤝

Very important post…
If my data is confirmed, then in September we will finally see some kind of a downside squeeze on $BTC and correspondingly also on alts.
Next there will be another bounce somewhere, and then until December there will be one more dump around 50–55.
If this scenario plays out, then right now they will start actively getting everyone into alts, promising BTC at 200, and of course insisting that this was the bottom…
In such a setup, when the price is driven down and then they give another bounce, people will talk even more about “the bottom,” meaning that the movement after the bounce going even lower will cause panic and confusion.
And then, at the update of the lows, everyone will say that we’re going to 30 and that they’ve simply all been tricking us, remember market psychology.
I dare to suggest that December–January will then become the starting point for better purchases.
For now, I’ll set break-even on my positions everywhere and simply start watching…
Just food for thought for you.
If this is confirmed, then they decided to play even more cunningly.
So right now maybe they’re just tossing coins around, depending on how retail reacts.
I shake everyone’s hand 🤝