Rey佬
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Rey佬
重头来过
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Many people think it's a double-bottom and will reverse, but look—no matter how hard the bulls push at that bottom, the bears easily pull it back, so it's likely that support won't hold. It may start out strong, but toward the end it becomes weaker and weaker.
The bears don’t have much time left. Right now, it’s still before the head—it's only missing a right shoulder before a major pullback starts.
Price analysis: In the short term, it’s still mainly bearish, but the bearish move is also coming to an end. Now we’re waiting for the bulls’ entry point (which is also the take-profit point for short positions).
For the medium term, there’s still likely another wave of upward movement. A break above the previous high will probably be difficult, but around that previous high there may still be a chance.
Waiting for the short take-profit signal and the long entry signal...
$BTC #BTC走势分析
The bears don’t have much time left. Right now, it’s still before the head—it's only missing a right shoulder before a major pullback starts.
Price analysis: In the short term, it’s still mainly bearish, but the bearish move is also coming to an end. Now we’re waiting for the bulls’ entry point (which is also the take-profit point for short positions).
For the medium term, there’s still likely another wave of upward movement. A break above the previous high will probably be difficult, but around that previous high there may still be a chance.
Waiting for the short take-profit signal and the long entry signal...
$BTC #BTC走势分析
If someone asks me, “Can I still enter at the current price?”
I can only say, you can enter anytime. It’s just whether you accept taking stop-loss, and whether you can accept a very poor risk-reward ratio.
Some people say, “Why did you leave when you only made so little at the initial entry point?” That’s because the funding fee and trading commissions add up too expensively.
Also, the market has been ranging for too long. So I decided to exit first and wait for a signal before entering again. Earlier, I said that for the shorts to recover the trend, they would need a big bearish candle—and it really did drop hard. I immediately went short right under that move.
And once the price breaks the channel, it won’t bounce back that quickly.
Market analysis: After breaking the channel, we’re currently in the middle phase. Now we’re waiting for signals to see how far the shorts can push and where the take-profit levels are.
Meanwhile, the bulls are watching to see whether the previous low can hold as support. Both sides are waiting for a signal.
At the moment, the shorts are still dominating the market. My initial estimate is that if the bulls fail and then join the shorts, the price can reach 77,850—but we still need more signals to confirm.
$BTC #比特币走势分析 #bitcoin
I can only say, you can enter anytime. It’s just whether you accept taking stop-loss, and whether you can accept a very poor risk-reward ratio.
Some people say, “Why did you leave when you only made so little at the initial entry point?” That’s because the funding fee and trading commissions add up too expensively.
Also, the market has been ranging for too long. So I decided to exit first and wait for a signal before entering again. Earlier, I said that for the shorts to recover the trend, they would need a big bearish candle—and it really did drop hard. I immediately went short right under that move.
And once the price breaks the channel, it won’t bounce back that quickly.
Market analysis: After breaking the channel, we’re currently in the middle phase. Now we’re waiting for signals to see how far the shorts can push and where the take-profit levels are.
Meanwhile, the bulls are watching to see whether the previous low can hold as support. Both sides are waiting for a signal.
At the moment, the shorts are still dominating the market. My initial estimate is that if the bulls fail and then join the shorts, the price can reach 77,850—but we still need more signals to confirm.
$BTC #比特币走势分析 #bitcoin
77850 Look! The rising channel can’t hold anymore, a head-and-shoulders top has formed, and short positions are back in.
Although the rebound within this channel was slightly stronger than expected, the overall trend has not changed at all.
The daily-level EMA pullback demand is strong, and the 4-hour head-and-shoulders top structure is already clear.
This sideways move is just exhausting the last bit of rebound momentum from the bulls; once the lower boundary of the channel breaks, an accelerated drop can happen at any time.
Specific trade outlook:
Logic confluence: right-shoulder resistance of the head-and-shoulders top + daily EMA pullback attraction + expected break below the lower channel boundary
Take-profit target: ABCD structure target, with the first take-profit moved down to around 77,850
Risk control: if it breaks out with volume and holds above the upper channel line (around 80,550), the short-side logic is invalid
The daily pullback is inevitable$BTC
#BTC走势分析 #比特币
Although the rebound within this channel was slightly stronger than expected, the overall trend has not changed at all.
The daily-level EMA pullback demand is strong, and the 4-hour head-and-shoulders top structure is already clear.
This sideways move is just exhausting the last bit of rebound momentum from the bulls; once the lower boundary of the channel breaks, an accelerated drop can happen at any time.
Specific trade outlook:
Logic confluence: right-shoulder resistance of the head-and-shoulders top + daily EMA pullback attraction + expected break below the lower channel boundary
Take-profit target: ABCD structure target, with the first take-profit moved down to around 77,850
Risk control: if it breaks out with volume and holds above the upper channel line (around 80,550), the short-side logic is invalid
The daily pullback is inevitable$BTC
#BTC走势分析 #比特币
Stopped out, couldn’t make even 1%, but it’s fine — strict stop-loss is necessary $BTC #比特币走势分析 #比特币
In the crypto market, it’s not about never losing; it’s about losing less and making more
The risks were already mentioned before. It has been consolidating for too long, and the bulls can very easily take over the market
Short term: the bears are very weak right now. If they want to restore the trend, a big bearish candle needs to appear to once again absorb all those gains, but that’s difficult because the price has already rejected further declines twice. The only advantage is that the price is still inside the channel right now (bear flag), so the bulls have a certain chance of failing
Long term: the top of the range is very hard to break through. Right now, it’s difficult even to test 82500. To break through, it must first hold above 82500, so later on it will most likely return below 70000
In the crypto market, it’s not about never losing; it’s about losing less and making more
The risks were already mentioned before. It has been consolidating for too long, and the bulls can very easily take over the market
Short term: the bears are very weak right now. If they want to restore the trend, a big bearish candle needs to appear to once again absorb all those gains, but that’s difficult because the price has already rejected further declines twice. The only advantage is that the price is still inside the channel right now (bear flag), so the bulls have a certain chance of failing
Long term: the top of the range is very hard to break through. Right now, it’s difficult even to test 82500. To break through, it must first hold above 82500, so later on it will most likely return below 70000
At present, it looks increasingly difficult for Bitcoin to drop directly to 76500.
My original expectation was: after a large bearish candle dumped the price, there would be a small rebound, followed by bears quickly stepping in again to continue testing the key support below. $BTC #比特币走势分析 #比特币 #bitcoin
But the problem now is that the sideways movement has lasted too long.
Originally, bears could have used the momentum created by that large bearish candle to make a decisive move to test the support below, but now the downward momentum is being gradually diluted by time.
So for the current structure, I am more inclined to see it shift from the original V-shaped decline into an ABCD structure.
And the area around 77500 will be a very critical level in this structure.
This is not only a potential take-profit zone for the ABCD pattern, but also the previous launch point; combined with overhead trapped positions and technical resistance, the pressure around 77500 will not be small.
So what truly deserves attention next is whether the first stop-loss at 80200 is not broken, and the second stop-loss at 80500 (if it is tested, then the downward trend is gone).
The 80800 entry point previously given is still in profit so far...
My original expectation was: after a large bearish candle dumped the price, there would be a small rebound, followed by bears quickly stepping in again to continue testing the key support below. $BTC #比特币走势分析 #比特币 #bitcoin
But the problem now is that the sideways movement has lasted too long.
Originally, bears could have used the momentum created by that large bearish candle to make a decisive move to test the support below, but now the downward momentum is being gradually diluted by time.
So for the current structure, I am more inclined to see it shift from the original V-shaped decline into an ABCD structure.
And the area around 77500 will be a very critical level in this structure.
This is not only a potential take-profit zone for the ABCD pattern, but also the previous launch point; combined with overhead trapped positions and technical resistance, the pressure around 77500 will not be small.
So what truly deserves attention next is whether the first stop-loss at 80200 is not broken, and the second stop-loss at 80500 (if it is tested, then the downward trend is gone).
The 80800 entry point previously given is still in profit so far...
Bitcoin is currently hovering around 79,800. Originally, I thought it would go straight down, but now it looks like it wants to consolidate. $BTC #比特币走势分析 #比特币
There are currently two directions: either challenge 76,550-77,000 or test the resistance above again (I’m leaning toward the downside)
Why?
First, because of the momentum of that large K-line, the bulls were unable to challenge, break through, or engulf that big bearish candle.
Second, it is possible to prove that the bears are weak, but there is a gap at 80,500 unless this rebound can test it.
Third, after the big bearish candle, there has been a lot of consolidation, which is a typical bear flag.
Key levels to watch: 80,500 is the level for filling the gap, 81,500 is where the bulls take control of the market, and 76,550 is an important support level (also the take-profit point)
There are currently two directions: either challenge 76,550-77,000 or test the resistance above again (I’m leaning toward the downside)
Why?
First, because of the momentum of that large K-line, the bulls were unable to challenge, break through, or engulf that big bearish candle.
Second, it is possible to prove that the bears are weak, but there is a gap at 80,500 unless this rebound can test it.
Third, after the big bearish candle, there has been a lot of consolidation, which is a typical bear flag.
Key levels to watch: 80,500 is the level for filling the gap, 81,500 is where the bulls take control of the market, and 76,550 is an important support level (also the take-profit point)
Rey佬
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BearishThe double top has already formed. The most important level right now is a break below 80800. If it breaks below and closes below it, then most likely it will be dumped downwards for #比特币 #BTC走势分析
This is what I mentioned earlier: the double top is testing resistance (I suspect it will fail).
Some people will say that with a candle this big, it looks like it must be bullish. But I’m saying that “up” is possible only if it can reclaim and hold above 82500; otherwise it’s hard.
Right now, if it breaks below 80800, it will go test the breakout starting point. If it fails to break, then the trend is likely to push up toward 83000. But if it holds above, then hitting 100,000 is easy.
I plan to short around below 80850, with a stop loss placed above the high point.
This is what I mentioned earlier: the double top is testing resistance (I suspect it will fail).
Some people will say that with a candle this big, it looks like it must be bullish. But I’m saying that “up” is possible only if it can reclaim and hold above 82500; otherwise it’s hard.
Right now, if it breaks below 80800, it will go test the breakout starting point. If it fails to break, then the trend is likely to push up toward 83000. But if it holds above, then hitting 100,000 is easy.
I plan to short around below 80850, with a stop loss placed above the high point.
The double top has already formed. The most important level right now is a break below 80800. If it breaks below and closes below it, then most likely it will be dumped downwards for #比特币 #BTC走势分析
This is what I mentioned earlier: the double top is testing resistance (I suspect it will fail).
Some people will say that with a candle this big, it looks like it must be bullish. But I’m saying that “up” is possible only if it can reclaim and hold above 82500; otherwise it’s hard.
Right now, if it breaks below 80800, it will go test the breakout starting point. If it fails to break, then the trend is likely to push up toward 83000. But if it holds above, then hitting 100,000 is easy.
I plan to short around below 80850, with a stop loss placed above the high point.
This is what I mentioned earlier: the double top is testing resistance (I suspect it will fail).
Some people will say that with a candle this big, it looks like it must be bullish. But I’m saying that “up” is possible only if it can reclaim and hold above 82500; otherwise it’s hard.
Right now, if it breaks below 80800, it will go test the breakout starting point. If it fails to break, then the trend is likely to push up toward 83000. But if it holds above, then hitting 100,000 is easy.
I plan to short around below 80850, with a stop loss placed above the high point.
Bitcoin may now want to challenge the breakout again, but the resistance above is too strong, so the chances of a breakout are low.
Unless it can get above 82500
I hope it can test it and form a double top...
Unless it can get above 82500
I hope it can test it and form a double top...
This K-line is currently in a breakout mode: #BTC走势分析
Some people will say, “Even a fool can see it.” They’ll argue that since there are such strong, consecutive bullish candles, no matter how you look at it, it should keep rising—but that’s not the case.
First of all, we’re currently in a trading range, and specifically at the top of that range. The main problem now is whether it will break out of the range or pull back to the bottom. You need to know that if it breaks out, it’s aiming to go toward the 100,000 threshold. And this trading range is only the second top—above it, the 83,000 resistance is very strong. Also, the weekly chart has given the signal “rejecting the doji”...
My view is that it will pull back to the bottom, but the possibility of making a fresh low is relatively small. Still, 63,000 is possible. The main reason is that this trading range is likely to form a head-and-shoulders bottom, and this big push is essentially wave—an inducement to lure traders.
Key signal: “If within 1 week it can strongly close below 76,000, then falling to around 63,000 is basically set. If the price can break above 82,500 and close there, then 100,000 should be reached quite easily.”
But the current signal is a breakout mode, while the weekly chart gives me a pullback signal—so personally, I’m leaning more toward a downside move.
Some people will say, “Even a fool can see it.” They’ll argue that since there are such strong, consecutive bullish candles, no matter how you look at it, it should keep rising—but that’s not the case.
First of all, we’re currently in a trading range, and specifically at the top of that range. The main problem now is whether it will break out of the range or pull back to the bottom. You need to know that if it breaks out, it’s aiming to go toward the 100,000 threshold. And this trading range is only the second top—above it, the 83,000 resistance is very strong. Also, the weekly chart has given the signal “rejecting the doji”...
My view is that it will pull back to the bottom, but the possibility of making a fresh low is relatively small. Still, 63,000 is possible. The main reason is that this trading range is likely to form a head-and-shoulders bottom, and this big push is essentially wave—an inducement to lure traders.
Key signal: “If within 1 week it can strongly close below 76,000, then falling to around 63,000 is basically set. If the price can break above 82,500 and close there, then 100,000 should be reached quite easily.”
But the current signal is a breakout mode, while the weekly chart gives me a pullback signal—so personally, I’m leaning more toward a downside move.
Damn, if you can play the game like this...
That’s enough—don’t ask. Keep going and look ahead.
That’s enough—don’t ask. Keep going and look ahead.
The liquidation of that $300 million should be enough.
Now we have the final correction ahead of us, and if this time it stays above 60,900, we could be entering a real bull market. Although, honestly, I prefer it to go down to 55,000. (If today's close stays above 65,100, there may be another small pull before then.)
#BTCUptober
$BTC
Now we have the final correction ahead of us, and if this time it stays above 60,900, we could be entering a real bull market. Although, honestly, I prefer it to go down to 55,000. (If today's close stays above 65,100, there may be another small pull before then.)
#BTCUptober
$BTC
I know you're going to upload, but I never thought it would be so early. For me, that upload has to be around November 6th, but oh well 😮💨
$BTC
#btc70k
$BTC
#btc70k
Don't be fooled by appearances!#BTC☀ #bitcoin☀️
Trend reversal? Not happening for now.
If you look at the weekly chart, the RSI makes it pretty clear. I'm going to place an order at 55,000.
$BTC
Trend reversal? Not happening for now.
If you look at the weekly chart, the RSI makes it pretty clear. I'm going to place an order at 55,000.
$BTC
In the short term, with the changes in Fed policy and the release of inflation data, the market may experience some volatility. But overall, expectations of rate cuts will continue to support the market.
In the medium to long term, with the expansion of DeFi (such as Uniswap's UNICHAIN), the success of new financing (such as PiP World), and the expansion of global platforms complying with regulations (such as OKX in Dubai), the market still has a lot of growth potential.
Especially with the rise of new investments and technological innovation, some major cryptos (such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, UNI, etc.) are expected to continue to rise steadily.
#Bitcoin❗
$BTC
In the medium to long term, with the expansion of DeFi (such as Uniswap's UNICHAIN), the success of new financing (such as PiP World), and the expansion of global platforms complying with regulations (such as OKX in Dubai), the market still has a lot of growth potential.
Especially with the rise of new investments and technological innovation, some major cryptos (such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, UNI, etc.) are expected to continue to rise steadily.
#Bitcoin❗
$BTC
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