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wenz
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10-13 First order 😄
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11-5 今天研究一天山寨有种模糊的判断.. 很多山寨可能会迎来大跌… btc也降破日中线，eth跌破周线，持仓量均高，有黑天鹅的潜力…
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11-5 小仓做空goat0.5，0.55补仓，降了回调20%加仓长拿。
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10-4 btc币安合约持仓量65亿降到56亿，暴力洗盘.. 感觉回调差不多到位 但eth上个月币安合约持仓量20亿到30亿，现在31亿，贪婪恐惧指数也高，多空比也高，降破周线会很恐怖。eth汇率拉垮，eth生态也就那样，前景堪忧。 大部分山寨合约持仓量没降，太多多单被套，山寨应该还有较大降幅。 冰火两重天，还是山寨带崩btc大跌，我觉得这两种概率都很大，山寨可能有黑天鹅，btc概率不那么大，但也可能有.. 空单今天选了rdnt，0.403我的小仓空单。降幅90%+，但持仓量很高，都超底，多空比高。
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11-3 有点黑天鹅前奏的感觉.. 1btc持仓量高，恐惧指数高，fomo情绪严重.. 抄底多空比由极低转为正常….. 2eth拉垮，系数极低.. 3btc占比新高 4在选择山寨的时候，山寨持仓量大部分都高，抄底严重，多空比高…虽然山寨价格很低，但这很恐怖.. 我都是小仓空单，全平了 观望..
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11-2 山寨涨点套娃就跌.. 形势有点不妙啊…
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