The latest polls by US media show that Trump has a high probability of being elected.
Trump's public approval rating is 48%, and his Electoral College approval rating is as high as 68%.
One month from now, if Trump is elected, the following results may occur.
1. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the Israeli-Lebanese conflict will end. Israel will lose the support of the United States and will not be able to continue the war.
2. The Russian-Ukrainian war ends. Trump’s America First policy will not spend money to support Ukraine. Instead, he may oppress and control Ukraine by asking for war loans.
3. Sino-US relations further deteriorate. The United States will divert its attention from the Middle East and Ukraine and focus more on dealing with China.
4. Global trade barriers have intensified. Trump believes in trade protectionism and will withdraw from various international organizations, leading to the rise of global trade protectionism.
5. Disintegration of NATO. Trump may even withdraw from NATO, which will lead to its disintegration.
6. European politics are turbulent, Russian-German relations are restored, and the Nord Stream natural gas pipeline is put into use.
7. The UN framework is challenged.
8. Global warming is intensifying. Fossil energy is on the rise again. Trump does not acknowledge global warming and does not like new energy.
9. Trump is assassinated again. He may even die in an assassination.
10. Trump was re-elected.
