Market Analysis Friday, October 4, 2024
BTC
The 60-day moving average is upward for the second day, breaking through the upper track of the falling wedge. The probability of good non-agricultural data in the evening is high, and a small rebound may be ushered in.
1. Daily line: The 30-day moving average (60737) remains upward, and the 60-day moving average (60190) is upward for the second day. This round of upward trend has not been broken. The MACD bar line still maintains a divergent shape below the zero axis, and there is no end signal for the callback; RSI remains upward below 50, and the volume has also recovered. There are signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing in the 60,000 area for the time being.
2. 1 hour: MACD, RSI and other indicators have a secondary bottom divergence, breaking through the upper track of the falling wedge. The moving average has not yet formed a long arrangement, but it may form the first golden cross, and the probability of a rebound is high.
[Prediction] Rebound. US stock index futures opened low and moved high in the morning. The probability of good non-agricultural data in the evening is high, and the big cake may usher in a small rebound. Rebound target: 62000~62500.
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