10.13 Total

吴峰论市 · 2023-10-13T13:41:22.000Z

In the past, there was no external capital intervention such as Wall Street in the currency circle. Every time there was a war, everything would rise sharply, and it had a risk-averse attribute! But now that these resources are involved too much, if there is a fight, be the first to run! It’s not that they want to run away, but that the mainstream stock market will fall if it fights. These capitals are withdrawing funds to maintain liquidity elsewhere, which also eliminates the hedging attribute of the currency circle... Review of today The idea has always been a bearish one, going low and long, and the goods are full. Yesterday, the short order was placed at 1567 early, and it won 45 points at the turning point. There was also a long order placed at 26656 in the evening, and the Ether was placed at 1531 points. They all landed successfully. Won 280 points from the pie, and 20 points from Ethereum Synchrony. From yesterday's trend, we can see some details: First: each variety's strong bull position against the US dollar shows different forms; because, we should pay attention to the linkage here, and do not think that the linkage is the same as the linkage. Rise and fall at the same time, that’s for sure! The U.S. dollar is strong, but the euro will still rebound when it needs to rebound; and when the pound rebounds, it will still rebound! Second: For retail investors, following the trend is still the easiest way to make money, and it is still the most effective way to make profits! For example, when the market weakened to 1521 yesterday evening, it was typical to follow the trend with long orders. These are typical suppressions, so short selling is profitable. Third: Quotes are the only way to test analysts and traders! Through this trend, we can test our level! As an analyst or trader, if you can't even judge the basic trend, do you think you can survive the market's life cycle for more than a few months? This is unrealistic. So, again, following the right people and the right trends is more effective than any "hybrid"; don't be a "sophisticated" person in the market who has no concept of trends, no respect for trends, and no respect for pragmatism. No idea! Looking at the 4-hour composition of the pie, the decline has temporarily stopped below the dividing line of 26900, forming a rebound. Although the decline has temporarily stopped and rebounded, the continuation is hard to say; it is expected to go lower again during the day, with shocks testing 26600- 26700 support here. The indicator is in a passivated state and is not clear enough for the time being;However, compared with the previous wave of downward momentum, what is interesting is that it is not as strong as before; in the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to die cross downward, which is the main bearish signal. As long as the die cross is still there, it will continue to follow the bearish direction of the die cross. It runs downward; the pressure position of the central axis, the position of top-bottom transition is around 27150; therefore, the main focus is on the position of 27150 during the day; from around 26700, rebounding around 26960, stabilizing and regaining the position of 27150, then the bulls still have a little bit of trouble. , otherwise it will just be short-term control and a bearish downward movement; to sum up: In the short term during the day, continue to follow the suppression of 27150, and the game short orders will fall. Today's overall idea is to continue to choose the high-short idea, get stuck at three pressure positions, and just open the drop opening. , there was a change in the market, and Wu Feng was mainly following up offline during the market! In the evening, it is recommended that BTC: be short around 27100-27300, and look at around 26700-26500. ETH: short around 1560-1570, look at around 1530-1510.

In the past, the cryptocurrency market did not have the involvement of external capital such as Wall Street. Whenever there was a war, the market would rise sharply, which was a safe-haven property! But now these capitals are involved too much, and when there is a war, they are the first to run! It’s not that they want to run, but the mainstream stock market will fall when there is a war. These capitals withdraw funds to maintain liquidity in other places, which also eliminates the safe-haven property of the cryptocurrency market... ​​​
Looking back today, the idea has always been to be bearish, and the low-long has been carried out, and the harvest is also full. Yesterday, the short order at 1567 was arranged early, and 45 points were won at the turning point. There was also a long position at 26656 in the evening, and the order of 1531 points of Ethereum was successfully closed. The big cake won 280 points, and the Ethereum won 20 points of space at the same time.
From yesterday's trend, we can see some details:
First: The strong bullishness of each variety against the US dollar is shown in different forms; because here, we should pay attention to the linkage, and do not think that the linkage will rise and fall together! The US dollar is strong, but the euro will rebound when it should rebound; the pound will rebound when it rebounds!
Second: For retail investors, following the trend is still the easiest way to make money, and it is still the most effective way to make a profit! For example, when the price weakened to 1521 last night, it was a typical trend-following long order. These are typical suppressions, so short selling is profitable.
Third: Market conditions are the only way to test analysts and traders! Through this trend, we can test our level! If an analyst or trader cannot even judge the basic trend, do you think you can survive in the market for more than a few months? This is unrealistic. So, as I said before, following the right person and the right trend is more effective than anything "exaggerated"; don't become a "veteran" in the market, with no concept of trends, no respect for business trends, and no idea of ​​being pragmatic!
Judging from the 4-hour composition of Bitcoin, it has temporarily stopped falling above the dividing line of 26,900 and rebounded. Although it has temporarily stopped falling and rebounded, it is hard to say how long it will continue. It is expected to fall again during the day and oscillate downward to test the support of 26,600-26,700. The indicator is in a blunt state and is not clear enough for the time being; but compared with the previous wave of downward momentum, it is interesting that it is not as strong as before; in the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross downward, the main short signal, as long as the cross is still there, it will continue to move downward according to the cross bearish; the pressure position of the central axis, the top and bottom conversion position is around 27150; therefore, the main focus during the day is still on 27150; from around 26700, it rebounded to around 26960, stabilized and recovered the position of 27150, then the bulls still have something to do, otherwise it is just short-term control of the market and moving bearishly downward; in summary: in the short term during the day, continue to follow the suppression of 27150 and bet on the decline of short orders. Today's overall idea is to continue to choose the idea of ​​shorting at highs, block three pressure positions, and open a decline to deal with it. There are changes in the market, and Wu Feng is mainly following up offline during the session!
Evening Tips
BTC: short around 27100-27300, watch around 26700-26500.
ETH: short around 1560-1570, watch around 1530-1510.