Uncle's retail investment experience:
1. Technical analysis based on K-line has no reference significance for most of the smaller market capitalization or the entire crypto market.
2. Policies and macroeconomic indicators will have a long-term impact on the industry cycle and development or trigger black swan events;
3. The stock and capital volume of the exchange are objective data facts, but the data you see are usually the results, because a large number of pull-ups and smash-ups occur in a short period of time.
4. This market is mainly driven by emotions, and price fluctuations of 20-30% are within the normal range. There are only two types of people who make money in this market. One is the person who is one step ahead of others in the news and can accurately capture market sentiment. The other is the long-term holder of value coins.
5. Is value investment practical in the currency circle? Of course, from a historical perspective, Bitcoin and Ethereum belong to value investment because they have practical value in real life. For example, many multinational companies pay wages through cryptocurrency, which is a normal demand today. The essence of blockchain is to optimize production relations, and the more closed the economy, the greater the demand. The actual application value can give the currency price a strong repair power. Even if the price fluctuates greatly, it is growing upward overall.
6. The best way for retail investors to invest is to have a deep understanding of a project, and fundamentally judge the application value of the project, and then hold it for a long time and wait for it to bear fruit. Pay less attention to the gossip and inflammatory analysis in the community.
7. The best way to understand a project is to use it, or even participate in its development. Generally speaking, if you can rely on a project to think of a bunch of scenarios that can make money, and there is no other competitor that can replace this type of scenario, then congratulations, you have found a treasure among thousands of gravels.
8. This is also the reason why I have been brainless and bullish on $AR . Many conclusions are based on deep experience and deep thinking. Maybe my original intention of investment is different from that of many people. I am not concerned about whether the coins issued by a project can make money, but whether this project can help me make money.