The impact of the Supreme Court's ruling on Bitcoin and silver
#Xaug Based on the current context (January 2026) and the market's reaction to recent tariff news, if the U.S. court overturns tariff policies (e.g., global tariffs or tariffs related to Greenland that the Trump administration is pushing), the most likely scenario for Bitcoin is a strong price increase (relief rally).
Here is a detailed analysis of what will happen and why:
1. Immediate reaction: Strong price increase (Risk-On)
Market sentiment: Currently, Bitcoin is trading similarly to risk assets (like tech stocks) rather than a "safe haven". Previous tariff news had caused Bitcoin to decline (due to concerns about trade wars causing economic instability). Therefore, the court's dismissal of tariffs would eliminate this threat, triggering a "Risk-On" sentiment (risk acceptance), causing money to flow back into assets like Bitcoin.
Real data: News about the Supreme Court delaying the tariff ruling has previously caused the price of Bitcoin and altcoins to surge. A complete ruling against the tariffs would be a much stronger catalyst.
2. Pressure on the USD decreases -> Bitcoin benefits
Mechanism: When trade tensions escalate (due to tariffs), investors often flock to the USD as a safe haven, causing the USD to strengthen and Bitcoin (priced in USD) to weaken.
Outcome: If tariffs are overturned, the USD could weaken, paving the way for Bitcoin to increase in relative value.