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🔥Recently studied the history of government shutdowns in the United States and found an interesting phenomenon: since 1976, the U.S. government has shut down 21 times, with an average duration of 6 days each time. I carefully reviewed several more severe shutdowns and noticed a clear pattern—during shutdowns, the market often behaves flat or even declines, but once the shutdown ends, the market seems to be pressed like a start button, generally experiencing a surge.
In simple terms: although the market often experiences fluctuations during government shutdowns, the historical trends are quite consistent—each time a shutdown ends, the market almost always sees a significant rise. Whether it was during the shutdowns of 1995-1996, 2013, or the major shutdowns in 2018-2019, this pattern has repeatedly proven true, almost like a "hidden rule" of the market.
Therefore, if the upcoming U.S. government shutdown ends, it is likely to trigger a wave of market activity. It might be better to prepare in advance and wait for the right moment
#牛市 #山寨季 #poocoin #Wonky
In simple terms: although the market often experiences fluctuations during government shutdowns, the historical trends are quite consistent—each time a shutdown ends, the market almost always sees a significant rise. Whether it was during the shutdowns of 1995-1996, 2013, or the major shutdowns in 2018-2019, this pattern has repeatedly proven true, almost like a "hidden rule" of the market.
Therefore, if the upcoming U.S. government shutdown ends, it is likely to trigger a wave of market activity. It might be better to prepare in advance and wait for the right moment
#牛市 #山寨季 #poocoin #Wonky
The explosion of altcoin ETFs: completing a decade-long journey of Bitcoin in just half a year: structural changes are happening in the crypto market
The Bitcoin ETF took nearly a decade to be approved, while altcoins only took half a year.
In November 2025, something incredible happened on Wall Street. Solana, XRP, Dogecoin—these altcoins, which were once considered 'speculative toys' by mainstream finance, suddenly landed on the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ in just a few weeks, transforming into regulated ETF products.
Even more magical is that these ETFs were not individually approved by the SEC, but instead utilized a brand new 'general listing standard' and a little-known '8(a) clause' fast track, almost automatically coming into effect with the tacit approval of the regulatory body.
In November 2025, something incredible happened on Wall Street. Solana, XRP, Dogecoin—these altcoins, which were once considered 'speculative toys' by mainstream finance, suddenly landed on the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ in just a few weeks, transforming into regulated ETF products.
Even more magical is that these ETFs were not individually approved by the SEC, but instead utilized a brand new 'general listing standard' and a little-known '8(a) clause' fast track, almost automatically coming into effect with the tacit approval of the regulatory body.
Is the bull market still there? What do you think?
If we look at the macro interest rate cut cycle, there are expectations for two cuts this year, and this macro expectation still exists, so there are two mainstream views:
The first market consensus is optimistic about the fourth quarter, believing that after the fourth quarter ends, there will be a transition to a bear market in 2026.
The second situation is that the market consensus believes that 2026 will still be a bull market, lasting until the mid-term, because this is the time for the U.S. mid-term elections, along with the term of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell coming to an end.
Of course, there are also some who believe that the entire year of 2026 and Trump's term will be a bull market, because with Powell's term ending and the mid-term elections stimulating the entire year of 2026, after Powell's term, the new Federal Reserve chairman will accelerate interest rate cuts according to Trump's wishes, continuing to stimulate the market's momentum.
#Wonky #加密市场反弹 #加密ETF十月决战
If we look at the macro interest rate cut cycle, there are expectations for two cuts this year, and this macro expectation still exists, so there are two mainstream views:
The first market consensus is optimistic about the fourth quarter, believing that after the fourth quarter ends, there will be a transition to a bear market in 2026.
The second situation is that the market consensus believes that 2026 will still be a bull market, lasting until the mid-term, because this is the time for the U.S. mid-term elections, along with the term of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell coming to an end.
Of course, there are also some who believe that the entire year of 2026 and Trump's term will be a bull market, because with Powell's term ending and the mid-term elections stimulating the entire year of 2026, after Powell's term, the new Federal Reserve chairman will accelerate interest rate cuts according to Trump's wishes, continuing to stimulate the market's momentum.
#Wonky #加密市场反弹 #加密ETF十月决战
When Stablecoins Are No Longer Stable
If you stand on the streets of Buenos Aires or in the electronic market of Lagos, you will observe a peculiar phenomenon: the local people's trust in their currency has plummeted, and the app on their phones displaying their 'USDT' or 'USDC' balance has become their last line of defense for asset safety.
Meanwhile, financial elites around the world are staring at the thrilling candlestick charts on their screens—not the dramatic rise and fall of Bitcoin, but the stablecoin that claims to be 'always equal to 1 dollar' dropping to zero in an instant.
This is the true portrayal of the stablecoin market in 2025: extreme prosperity coexists with extreme fragility.
Meanwhile, financial elites around the world are staring at the thrilling candlestick charts on their screens—not the dramatic rise and fall of Bitcoin, but the stablecoin that claims to be 'always equal to 1 dollar' dropping to zero in an instant.
This is the true portrayal of the stablecoin market in 2025: extreme prosperity coexists with extreme fragility.
Very soon everyone will be able to welcome this round of the real crazy altcoin season. Altcoin number 10 has completed its final testing and ultimate leverage clearing, after the 10th there are direct fixes, and some continue to oscillate at the bottom due to the market decline, but it is evident that especially in the past few days, they have not followed, pessimistic people believe there will be a need to catch up with the decline, whereas in reality it truly cannot drop any further. The upcoming rhythm is that the market drops while altcoins do not follow much; as the market stabilizes, more and more altcoins will rise; when the market rises slightly, altcoins will soar; when the market rises significantly, altcoins will go wild. Overall, it is a season of altcoins that everyone is looking forward to and that makes you feel comfortable. The altcoins can really multiply tenfold faster than you think; sometimes it's just a matter of a week. Also, whether it will take a long time to see the market come, I believe it won't. This time it is truly different. This downturn was actually the last test before takeoff, and is different from the past deep pullbacks, as those often require a long time to oscillate and recover after a violent drop, but this time it is not; instead, it will quickly initiate a surge in the market. The second half of November is a good start, and I hope everyone can seize this wave
#山寨季來了？ #poocoin #Wonky #加密市场回调
#山寨季來了？ #poocoin #Wonky #加密市场回调
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