What most people miss before U.S. elections?
Crypto doesn't always move because of crypto. Sometimes it's liquidity, expectations and uncertainty.
๐ In past U.S. presidential cycles,
$BTC showed weakness in the months before the election, then strong moves after. (The Block)
๐บ๐ธ Next date to watch: November 3, 2026, the U.S. midterms. All 435 House seats and a third of the Senate are up for grabs. (Bipartisan Policy Center)
A study of the 2024 election found negative returns in policy-sensitive crypto categories before Election Day, followed by sharp reversals around and after it. (IDEAS/RePEc)
So what should you watch?
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Uncertainty โ volatility
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Expectations โ positioning
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Regulation headlines โ crypto narratives
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After the event โ possible repricing
The lesson isn't "buy because elections are coming."
It's: don't watch the election. Watch what the market is pricing in before it.
I'm following this cycle closely. What about you?
#UsaElections #S&P500 #BTC