Conclusion: Maelstrom has fully closed its directional book. In a public statement on October 24, Arthur Hayes confirmed that all directional positions had been closed, citing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty and saying he would step aside and wait for a signal.
1. Scale: According to Lookonchain’s October 24 figures, the seven tokens totaled approximately $22.28 million. This is the estimated value of the tokens transferred, not realized profit; Hayes has not disclosed the purchase prices or actual returns.
2. Composition: The largest position was 6,400
$ETH , worth approximately $15.2 million—nearly 70% of the total. Next were 14 million
$ENA , worth approximately $2.76 million, and 323,000
$UNI , worth approximately $2.24 million. Together, the three accounted for about 90% of the total.
3. Remaining positions: The four smaller positions in ETHFI, AERO, PENDLE, and ZAMA totaled approximately $2.09 million. Some tokens were transferred to market makers and over-the-counter channels, pointing to actual sales rather than internal transfers.
4. Scope: Only the directional book was closed; this does not mean Maelstrom has liquidated all its holdings. Other hedging and private investment positions have not been disclosed, and Hayes has given no timeline or conditions for re-entry.
My take: What stands out is the timing. Just nine days earlier, Hayes had publicly expressed a bullish outlook; on the 24th, he reversed course and stepped aside—not because anything had gone wrong with a particular coin, but because of the broader macro environment. The departure of directional capital is a more noteworthy signal than the price movement of any single coin: when even the directional book chooses to stay flat and wait, what the market lacks in the short term is not assets, but a reason to enter. The next thing to watch is when the all-clear signal Hayes mentioned appears. Until then, staying flat is itself a statement.
Personal opinion only; this does not constitute investment advice.
#Maelstrom #MacroRisk