ipcbreakdown

BlockBeats news, October 14: According to TradingBeats monitoring, despite widespread market expectations that rate hikes will be paused in October, cross-market trader greater-fools continues to increase bets on BTC falling. Since yesterday, the account has invested approximately $4,381 in total, adding two new downside predictions on the prediction market:
- “BTC falls to $65,000 before year-end” — Yes: added approximately 11,000 shares, investing approximately $2,639. Current total position: approximately 136,100 shares; implied probability: approximately 22.5%; position value: approximately $30,600.
- “BTC falls to $70,000 before year-end” — Yes: added 4,510 shares, investing approximately $1,742. Current total position: approximately 55,800 shares; implied probability: approximately 35.5%; position value: approximately $19,800.

Meanwhile, the account still holds a 26.97 BTC short position on Hyperliquid, with a notional value of approximately $2.2528 million and an average entry price of approximately $69,962. It is currently showing an unrealized loss of approximately $365,200.

After tonight’s release of the US September CPI data, higher-than-expected inflation could prompt the market to reprice the rate-hiking path and become a source of short-term pressure on BTC.