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Fibonacci in Trading: How Smart Money Identifies High-Probability Entries
Fibonacci is not just lines on a chart it’s a framework used to pinpoint high-probability entry zones, take-profit levels, and risk boundaries based on recurring market behavior. In this video, you’ll learn why key levels like 0.382 – 0.5 – 0.618 consistently act as reaction zones, how to apply Fibonacci correctly within a trend, and how to combine it with market structure to avoid emotional trades. If you want a more disciplined, logic-driven trading approach this is essential.
#fibonacci #trading #TradingInsights
Fibonacci is not just lines on a chart it’s a framework used to pinpoint high-probability entry zones, take-profit levels, and risk boundaries based on recurring market behavior. In this video, you’ll learn why key levels like 0.382 – 0.5 – 0.618 consistently act as reaction zones, how to apply Fibonacci correctly within a trend, and how to combine it with market structure to avoid emotional trades. If you want a more disciplined, logic-driven trading approach this is essential.
#fibonacci #trading #TradingInsights
📉 $BTC Monthly Analysis – Key OTE & Golden Pocket Zone
On the BTCUSDT Monthly timeframe, price has completed a strong impulse and is now in a corrective phase.
🔍 Key confluence zone: $53,000 – $55,000
This area aligns with the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry)
Sits inside the Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib retracement)
Strong Monthly trendline support coming from previous cycle lows
Prior structure flip zone (resistance → support)
📊 RSI Insight
Monthly RSI is rolling over from high levels
Bearish divergence already printed at the top
Supports a deeper corrective move before continuation
📌 Bias
As long as BTC holds above the $53k region on a monthly close, this remains a high-probability long-term accumulation zone
Loss of this level would open the door for deeper retracements, but for now this is the most logical HTF reaction area
🧠 Plan
No FOMO chasing
Let price come into 53k–55k
Look for confirmation on lower timeframes before any entries
Higher timeframe > noise.
Patience pays in BTC.
#BTC #CryptoAnalysis #Fibonacci $BTC
On the BTCUSDT Monthly timeframe, price has completed a strong impulse and is now in a corrective phase.
🔍 Key confluence zone: $53,000 – $55,000
This area aligns with the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry)
Sits inside the Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib retracement)
Strong Monthly trendline support coming from previous cycle lows
Prior structure flip zone (resistance → support)
📊 RSI Insight
Monthly RSI is rolling over from high levels
Bearish divergence already printed at the top
Supports a deeper corrective move before continuation
📌 Bias
As long as BTC holds above the $53k region on a monthly close, this remains a high-probability long-term accumulation zone
Loss of this level would open the door for deeper retracements, but for now this is the most logical HTF reaction area
🧠 Plan
No FOMO chasing
Let price come into 53k–55k
Look for confirmation on lower timeframes before any entries
Higher timeframe > noise.
Patience pays in BTC.
#BTC #CryptoAnalysis #Fibonacci $BTC
Xfluenc Mvp:
Okay, so saylor can go F himself.
🚨 $BTC CONFLUENCE ALERT: MACRO LEVELS HIT 🚨
The 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extensions are stacking perfectly into a macro retracement zone. This aligns directly with the long-term trendline. That is REAL confluence, not noise.
When multiple models point to the same zone, probability skyrockets. This framework hinges on a local bounce top forming right here. Watch market behavior closely at these key decision zones.
#Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #Fibonacci #MacroView #Alpha 📈
The 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extensions are stacking perfectly into a macro retracement zone. This aligns directly with the long-term trendline. That is REAL confluence, not noise.
When multiple models point to the same zone, probability skyrockets. This framework hinges on a local bounce top forming right here. Watch market behavior closely at these key decision zones.
#Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #Fibonacci #MacroView #Alpha 📈
🚨 $BTC CONFLUENCE ALERT! MACRO LEVELS MATTER NOW 🚨
Fibonacci extensions lining up perfectly with higher timeframe structure on $BTC . This is NOT random noise.
The 1.272 and 1.414 extensions hit a macro retracement zone AND align with the long-term trendline. That is REAL confluence stacking up.
This framework suggests we are forming a local bounce top. Watch for market behavior in this key decision zone. Extensions alone mean nothing, but stacked with macro support? EXPLOSIVE.
#BTC #CryptoTrading #Confluence #Fibonacci #Alpha
📈
Fibonacci extensions lining up perfectly with higher timeframe structure on $BTC . This is NOT random noise.
The 1.272 and 1.414 extensions hit a macro retracement zone AND align with the long-term trendline. That is REAL confluence stacking up.
This framework suggests we are forming a local bounce top. Watch for market behavior in this key decision zone. Extensions alone mean nothing, but stacked with macro support? EXPLOSIVE.
#BTC #CryptoTrading #Confluence #Fibonacci #Alpha
📈
🚨 $XRP WICK WATCH ACTIVATED! 🚨
$XRP just kissed the 0.5 FIB retracement at $1.18! Remember 2017? Massive wick preceded the explosion. Are we setting up for history repeating? Too early to confirm the moonshot, but the signs are flashing.
All attention must pivot to $BTC immediately. Keep your powder dry.
#XRP #Crypto #Altseason #Fibonacci 🥶
$XRP just kissed the 0.5 FIB retracement at $1.18! Remember 2017? Massive wick preceded the explosion. Are we setting up for history repeating? Too early to confirm the moonshot, but the signs are flashing.
All attention must pivot to $BTC immediately. Keep your powder dry.
#XRP #Crypto #Altseason #Fibonacci 🥶
Critical technical position, trading near $688.86 following a steep 23% monthly decline. This correction has pushed the price below key #Fibonacci support levels, #officially shifting the daily chart structure to bearish. Despite underlying strength in the #opBNB ecosystem, price action now hinges on the bulls' ability to defend the immediate $687–$690 zone—a final support level. Failure to hold here, even with an oversold #RSI , could trigger a #deepe r sell-off toward the $600 region.$BNB
#tradingStrategy #Fibonacci #SmartMoney
#cryptoeducations
Title: Stop Buying at the Top! 🛑 Are You Overpaying? 📉
"In trading, just like in real life, you never want to pay the full price. You want a DISCOUNT. 🛍️💸
Most retail traders enter a trade as soon as they see a green candle, but the 'Whales' wait for the price to drop into the Discount Zone.
The 50% Rule (Fibonacci Equilibrium):
Premium Zone (Above 50%): This is the 'Expensive' area. We only look for SELL setups here. 🔴
Equilibrium (50%): The fair market value. ⚖️
Discount Zone (Below 50%): This is the 'Sale' area. We only look for BUY setups here. 🟢
Why is this a Game-Changer? By only buying in the Discount zone, you significantly increase your Risk-to-Reward ratio. You aren't just guessing; you are waiting for the market to give you a bargain before you jump in. 🧠🐺
Stop chasing green candles. Start waiting for the discount. 📉➡️🚀
Want to know how to draw these zones on your chart? Follow for the next breakdown! 💎
#cryptoeducations
Title: Stop Buying at the Top! 🛑 Are You Overpaying? 📉
"In trading, just like in real life, you never want to pay the full price. You want a DISCOUNT. 🛍️💸
Most retail traders enter a trade as soon as they see a green candle, but the 'Whales' wait for the price to drop into the Discount Zone.
The 50% Rule (Fibonacci Equilibrium):
Premium Zone (Above 50%): This is the 'Expensive' area. We only look for SELL setups here. 🔴
Equilibrium (50%): The fair market value. ⚖️
Discount Zone (Below 50%): This is the 'Sale' area. We only look for BUY setups here. 🟢
Why is this a Game-Changer? By only buying in the Discount zone, you significantly increase your Risk-to-Reward ratio. You aren't just guessing; you are waiting for the market to give you a bargain before you jump in. 🧠🐺
Stop chasing green candles. Start waiting for the discount. 📉➡️🚀
Want to know how to draw these zones on your chart? Follow for the next breakdown! 💎
$RIVER – DCA Zone & Long-Term Setup 🐸📈
Following my plan, I’m buying again with DCA in the $17.00 – $18.00 zone.
If I’m right, the long-term bottom may already be in on $RIVER
📊 Daily Ichimoku SSB test looks promising.
A successful retest of the 0.702 – 0.786 Fibonacci zone, with volume, could trigger another 30–50% bullish wave —classic FOMO correction potential 🚀
⚠️ Important:
This asset is highly volatile — not for beginners and definitely not for high-leverage players.
Not financial advice.
Just sharing pure market & trading experience.
#RİVER #crypto #Fibonacci #altcoins #DYOR
Following my plan, I’m buying again with DCA in the $17.00 – $18.00 zone.
If I’m right, the long-term bottom may already be in on $RIVER
📊 Daily Ichimoku SSB test looks promising.
A successful retest of the 0.702 – 0.786 Fibonacci zone, with volume, could trigger another 30–50% bullish wave —classic FOMO correction potential 🚀
⚠️ Important:
This asset is highly volatile — not for beginners and definitely not for high-leverage players.
Not financial advice.
Just sharing pure market & trading experience.
#RİVER #crypto #Fibonacci #altcoins #DYOR
$BTC / Gold Ratio: Key Fibonacci Level Reached 📊
The BTC/Gold ratio has recently hit the critical 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This is a significant technical milestone.
Historically, this precise level has often coincided with relative bottoms during past market cycles. It's a point where attention typically sharpens for potential shifts.
While a trend shift could begin from this zone, remember that definitive market bottoms usually take time to fully form and consolidate. Patience is key.
#Binance #squarecreator #BTC #Gold #MarketAnalysis #Fibonacci
The BTC/Gold ratio has recently hit the critical 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This is a significant technical milestone.
Historically, this precise level has often coincided with relative bottoms during past market cycles. It's a point where attention typically sharpens for potential shifts.
While a trend shift could begin from this zone, remember that definitive market bottoms usually take time to fully form and consolidate. Patience is key.
#Binance #squarecreator #BTC #Gold #MarketAnalysis #Fibonacci
Tonisha Tumlin Xm7x:
Du jamais vu Tout est dans le ROUGE
SILVER CORRECTION BEFORE MOONSHOT! 🚨
Entry: ~$100 📉
Target: $250 🚀
Stop Loss: $700 🛑
Ascending wedge needs to blow off steam first. That $1000X zone is the golden pocket (.618 Fib). Do not miss the silver rocket like you missed gold. We load up heavy at $100. Get ready for $250!
#SilverPrice #Investing #Fibonacci #Bullish 🚀
Entry: ~$100 📉
Target: $250 🚀
Stop Loss: $700 🛑
Ascending wedge needs to blow off steam first. That $1000X zone is the golden pocket (.618 Fib). Do not miss the silver rocket like you missed gold. We load up heavy at $100. Get ready for $250!
#SilverPrice #Investing #Fibonacci #Bullish 🚀
SILVER SETUP IS LIVE! WHERE ARE THE BAGS? 🤯
Entry: ~$100 📉
Target: $250 - $700 🚀
Clear correction signal detected before the moon mission. Ascending wedge needs release. Do not miss the $1000X zone entry. If you missed gold cheap, you are NOT making that mistake with $XAG. Load up big!
#SilverPrice #Investing #Fibonacci #Bullish 💯
Entry: ~$100 📉
Target: $250 - $700 🚀
Clear correction signal detected before the moon mission. Ascending wedge needs release. Do not miss the $1000X zone entry. If you missed gold cheap, you are NOT making that mistake with $XAG. Load up big!
#SilverPrice #Investing #Fibonacci #Bullish 💯
$BTC DEFENDER MODE ACTIVATED! CRITICAL LEVEL IN PLAY!
Entry:
Target:
Stop Loss: $86,933 🛑
$BTC is sitting on a major support zone for an ABC pullback structure. Holding the 78.6% Fib retracement at $86,933 is the KEY to maintaining model integrity. If this level breaks, expect major downside. Watch this level like a hawk! 🦅
#BTC走势分析 #CryptoTrading #SupportLevel #Fibonacci #Alpha
Entry:
Target:
Stop Loss: $86,933 🛑
$BTC is sitting on a major support zone for an ABC pullback structure. Holding the 78.6% Fib retracement at $86,933 is the KEY to maintaining model integrity. If this level breaks, expect major downside. Watch this level like a hawk! 🦅
#BTC走势分析 #CryptoTrading #SupportLevel #Fibonacci #Alpha
SILVER STRATEGY WHERE "BUCKETS"? 🤯
I see a clear signal for a correction before the flight to the Moon. The ascending wedge requires a release💯💯💯💯
Buy zone: ~$100 (golden ratio .618 according to Fibonacci).☠️☠️☠️
$XAG
First target: $250 (a light walk).🔥🔥🔥
Final boss: $700. If you missed gold at a low price, don't make the same mistake with silver. Waiting for $100 and going in big! 😊😊😊😊
#SilverPrice #Investing #Fibonacci #Bullish #CommodityTrading
I see a clear signal for a correction before the flight to the Moon. The ascending wedge requires a release💯💯💯💯
Buy zone: ~$100 (golden ratio .618 according to Fibonacci).☠️☠️☠️
$XAG
First target: $250 (a light walk).🔥🔥🔥
Final boss: $700. If you missed gold at a low price, don't make the same mistake with silver. Waiting for $100 and going in big! 😊😊😊😊
#SilverPrice #Investing #Fibonacci #Bullish #CommodityTrading
📊 Trading with Fibonacci & RSI – Bullish Setup
This strategy helps identify high-probability entries during strong uptrends.
🔹 Wait for price to retrace near 61.8% Fibonacci
🔹 Confirm with RSI in oversold zone
🔹 Enter on bullish confirmation
🔹 Always use proper stop-loss
Discipline + Risk Management = Long-term Success 🚀
$BNB $RIVER
#Crypto #BinanceSquare #TradingStrategy #Fibonacci #RSI
This strategy helps identify high-probability entries during strong uptrends.
🔹 Wait for price to retrace near 61.8% Fibonacci
🔹 Confirm with RSI in oversold zone
🔹 Enter on bullish confirmation
🔹 Always use proper stop-loss
Discipline + Risk Management = Long-term Success 🚀
$BNB $RIVER
#Crypto #BinanceSquare #TradingStrategy #Fibonacci #RSI
🚨 BTCUSDT (Bitcoin) Trading Signal — 15-Minute Chart 🚨
A fresh buy signal has appeared on Bitcoin!
Traders can look for long entries now or near $109,110.
📈 Entry: 109,110
🛑 Stop-Loss: 107,800
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 112,350
TP2: 114,200
TP3: 116,700
This setup is based on classic technical analysis, combining price action, candlestick patterns, and Fibonacci levels — supported by RSI, moving averages, Ichimoku Cloud, and Bollinger Bands confirmations.
#BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fibonacci #RSI #Ichimoku #BollingerBands #CryptoSignals #BitcoinTrading
🚨 Ethereum Faces Breakdown Risk — Price Could Drop Below $3,400 After Key Rejection! ⚠️🔥
Ethereum has once again failed to hold above $4,000, and technicals are flashing bearish warning signs after rejection from the critical 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
📉 Bearish Momentum Building:
Rejection from $4,200 created a lower high on the 4-hour chart — a classic signal of increasing sell pressure.
Volume data shows heavy distribution, as traders offload $ETH after failed breakouts.
$ETH is struggling to hold the $3,900 support, showing fading bullish strength.
💬 Analyst Insight — The Alchemist Trader:
“Ethereum’s inability to sustain momentum signals growing bearish pressure across lower timeframes.”
If $3,900 gives way, the next major support sits at $3,385, which could be the final line of defense before a deeper correction unfolds.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: $4,000 → $4,200 (Fibonacci rejection zone)
⚠️ Support: $3,900 → $3,385 (potential drop zone)
🐂 Bullish Scenario Still Possible:
If ETH reclaims $3,900 with volume and strength, bulls could invalidate this bearish setup — opening the path back above $4,200 and reigniting the uptrend.
💭 Market Question:
Is Ethereum preparing for a deeper correction toward $3,385, or will bulls stage a surprise comeback from the $3,900 support?
👇 Drop your predictions below — is $ETH heading for a breakdown or breakout?
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoNews #Fibonacci #PriceAnalysis
Ethereum has once again failed to hold above $4,000, and technicals are flashing bearish warning signs after rejection from the critical 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
📉 Bearish Momentum Building:
Rejection from $4,200 created a lower high on the 4-hour chart — a classic signal of increasing sell pressure.
Volume data shows heavy distribution, as traders offload $ETH after failed breakouts.
$ETH is struggling to hold the $3,900 support, showing fading bullish strength.
💬 Analyst Insight — The Alchemist Trader:
“Ethereum’s inability to sustain momentum signals growing bearish pressure across lower timeframes.”
If $3,900 gives way, the next major support sits at $3,385, which could be the final line of defense before a deeper correction unfolds.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: $4,000 → $4,200 (Fibonacci rejection zone)
⚠️ Support: $3,900 → $3,385 (potential drop zone)
🐂 Bullish Scenario Still Possible:
If ETH reclaims $3,900 with volume and strength, bulls could invalidate this bearish setup — opening the path back above $4,200 and reigniting the uptrend.
💭 Market Question:
Is Ethereum preparing for a deeper correction toward $3,385, or will bulls stage a surprise comeback from the $3,900 support?
👇 Drop your predictions below — is $ETH heading for a breakdown or breakout?
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoNews #Fibonacci #PriceAnalysis
Here are some indicators that can help with technical analysis on TradingView:
#FVG
#BOLLINGER
#AWVAP
#Fibonacci
#analysis
#FVG
#BOLLINGER
#AWVAP
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#analysis
$XRP — The Fib Levels Don’t Lie, But Emotions Do
Before you panic-sell or start shouting “manipulation” again, take a breath and look at the chart carefully.
That massive wick everyone’s talking about? It didn’t just appear out of nowhere — it changed the short-term structure completely.
Like most traders, I was bullish too. But that sudden spike flipped the sentiment, and now the market’s showing something deeper — we’re still missing the 0.70 Fibonacci retracement.
If I’m wrong, then yes, that wick was one of the biggest fakeouts in recent XRP history.
But if I’m right — it’s the signal before the setup.
🧭 What the Chart Is Really Saying
We’ve been building pressure for weeks.
That 0.70 retracement zone is the reset the market needs before the next big push.
This move doesn’t scream “collapse” — it whispers “accumulation.”
The wick may have shaken weak hands, but structure-wise, XRP still sits within a long-term bullish framework.
So, for patient traders — this might just be the buy-the-dip opportunity before the rebound.
🎯 My Targets
$9 → Conservative target (strong Fib confluence zone)
$40 → Full extension “Hopium top” for those who can wait through volatility
I’m still long-term bullish.
Fibonacci never lies — it just reveals what emotion tries to hide.
Stay patient. Stay sharp. The next few weeks could define XRP’s future. ⚡
#Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #CryptoCommunity
$XRP
That massive wick everyone’s talking about? It didn’t just appear out of nowhere — it changed the short-term structure completely.
Like most traders, I was bullish too. But that sudden spike flipped the sentiment, and now the market’s showing something deeper — we’re still missing the 0.70 Fibonacci retracement.
If I’m wrong, then yes, that wick was one of the biggest fakeouts in recent XRP history.
But if I’m right — it’s the signal before the setup.
🧭 What the Chart Is Really Saying
We’ve been building pressure for weeks.
That 0.70 retracement zone is the reset the market needs before the next big push.
This move doesn’t scream “collapse” — it whispers “accumulation.”
The wick may have shaken weak hands, but structure-wise, XRP still sits within a long-term bullish framework.
So, for patient traders — this might just be the buy-the-dip opportunity before the rebound.
🎯 My Targets
$9 → Conservative target (strong Fib confluence zone)
$40 → Full extension “Hopium top” for those who can wait through volatility
I’m still long-term bullish.
Fibonacci never lies — it just reveals what emotion tries to hide.
Stay patient. Stay sharp. The next few weeks could define XRP’s future. ⚡
#Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #CryptoCommunity
$XRP
$SPK
at key zone – Trading at $0.0600
📊 Technical analysis:
• EMA50: price just below, bounce likely if it reclaims $0.062
• Fibonacci: 61.8% retracement from last rally, golden zone at $0.058–$0.060
• Smart Money: silent accumulation spotted in top wallets and spot volume
🔍 Narrative: $SPK is compressing. If it breaks above EMA with volume, targets $0.072–$0.075 are in play.
Current setup favors early entry before breakout.
💬 Are you watching it?
🔁 Follow me and I’ll follow back for more real-time setups
#spk🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀 #BinanceSquareFamily #Write2Earn #smartmoney y #Fibonacci
$ETH
at key zone – Trading at $0.0600
📊 Technical analysis:
• EMA50: price just below, bounce likely if it reclaims $0.062
• Fibonacci: 61.8% retracement from last rally, golden zone at $0.058–$0.060
• Smart Money: silent accumulation spotted in top wallets and spot volume
🔍 Narrative: $SPK is compressing. If it breaks above EMA with volume, targets $0.072–$0.075 are in play.
Current setup favors early entry before breakout.
💬 Are you watching it?
🔁 Follow me and I’ll follow back for more real-time setups
#spk🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀 #BinanceSquareFamily #Write2Earn #smartmoney y #Fibonacci
$ETH
BTC/USDC – Candle Times – August 14, 2025
$BTC near $121,900 – Will the bulls set new highs or is consolidation next?
1) Yesterday’s Recap – August 13, 2025
1H Timeframe
Yesterday’s session ranged between $119,900 – $124,200, with buyers regaining control in the second half of the day. After an initial dip to the $120,000 support zone, $BTC gradually recovered to test local resistance.
RSI stayed in the 53–58 range – buyers had the upper hand without entering overbought territory.MACD remained positive, but the histogram stayed mostly flat, signaling no strong acceleration in trend.Volume spiked during the first $124,200 test, but weakened afterward, suggesting partial profit-taking.
4H Timeframe
The medium-term structure remains bullish – the defense of $120,000 confirmed it as a strong support. Volume expansion on breakouts from consolidation indicated institutional activity.
RSI around 61 – sustained bullish pressure.MACD in the positive zone, lines still diverging, showing potential for further upside.
Fibonacci (swing Aug 13: $119,900 → $124,200):
38.2%: $122,15050.0%: $122,05061.8%: $121,8501.618 ext: $127,000
2) Current Market – August 14, 2025
Price: Around $121,900, near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, with today’s range so far between $119,900 and $124,200.
1H Timeframe
RSI ~57 – buyers in control without market overheating.MACD positive, but histogram declining – short-term consolidation possible.Volume moderate – no decisive morning impulse.
4H Timeframe
Price holds above $121,850 – key support respected.RSI ~62 – bullish zone maintained.MACD in positive territory, sideways-to-upward structure.No clear reversal patterns – bulls retain technical advantage.
Daily (D1) Timeframe Context
$BTC has been printing higher lows and higher highs for over two weeks. Nearest daily resistance sits in the $125,000–$127,000 area (1.618 Fibo from the last impulse).
3) Volume Analysis
Rising volume occurred mainly on tests above $124,000, suggesting fresh buy orders entering on breakout attempts.Lower volume during pullbacks confirms sellers are not pressing aggressively – no signs of panic selling.Compared to Aug 12, today’s volume is ~8% higher, possibly indicating gradual institutional accumulation.
4) Forecast
Bullish Scenario:
Holding above $121,850 and breaking $124,200 may open the way toward $125,500, then $127,000 (1.618 Fibo), and potentially $130,000 if momentum continues.A surge in volume above the 20-period H1 average will confirm long entries.
Bearish Scenario:
Dropping below $121,850 with a 1H close and rising sell volume could trigger a move toward $120,500, then $119,000.Stronger declines could occur if sell volume exceeds recent highs from Aug 12.
5) LONG Setup
Entry: After a confirmed H1 close above $124,200Stop Loss: $121,850TP1: $125,500TP2: $127,000 (1.618 ext)TP3: $130,000
Rationale: Trade with the trend, enter after confirmed breakout, SL below key support.
6) SHORT Setup
Entry: After a confirmed H1 close below $121,850Stop Loss: $124,200TP1: $120,500TP2: $119,000TP3: $118,000
Rationale: Enter if 61.8% Fibo support is lost, aiming for lower demand zones.
#BTCUSDC #CandleTimes #Fibonacci #CryptoTrading #BreakoutWatch
💬 If you enjoyed this analysis, leave a 👍 and follow Candle Times for daily crypto market insights.
🗨 In the comments, tell us what additional data or indicators you’d like to see in future daily reports.
1) Yesterday’s Recap – August 13, 2025
1H Timeframe
Yesterday’s session ranged between $119,900 – $124,200, with buyers regaining control in the second half of the day. After an initial dip to the $120,000 support zone, $BTC gradually recovered to test local resistance.
RSI stayed in the 53–58 range – buyers had the upper hand without entering overbought territory.MACD remained positive, but the histogram stayed mostly flat, signaling no strong acceleration in trend.Volume spiked during the first $124,200 test, but weakened afterward, suggesting partial profit-taking.
4H Timeframe
The medium-term structure remains bullish – the defense of $120,000 confirmed it as a strong support. Volume expansion on breakouts from consolidation indicated institutional activity.
RSI around 61 – sustained bullish pressure.MACD in the positive zone, lines still diverging, showing potential for further upside.
Fibonacci (swing Aug 13: $119,900 → $124,200):
38.2%: $122,15050.0%: $122,05061.8%: $121,8501.618 ext: $127,000
2) Current Market – August 14, 2025
Price: Around $121,900, near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, with today’s range so far between $119,900 and $124,200.
1H Timeframe
RSI ~57 – buyers in control without market overheating.MACD positive, but histogram declining – short-term consolidation possible.Volume moderate – no decisive morning impulse.
4H Timeframe
Price holds above $121,850 – key support respected.RSI ~62 – bullish zone maintained.MACD in positive territory, sideways-to-upward structure.No clear reversal patterns – bulls retain technical advantage.
Daily (D1) Timeframe Context
$BTC has been printing higher lows and higher highs for over two weeks. Nearest daily resistance sits in the $125,000–$127,000 area (1.618 Fibo from the last impulse).
3) Volume Analysis
Rising volume occurred mainly on tests above $124,000, suggesting fresh buy orders entering on breakout attempts.Lower volume during pullbacks confirms sellers are not pressing aggressively – no signs of panic selling.Compared to Aug 12, today’s volume is ~8% higher, possibly indicating gradual institutional accumulation.
4) Forecast
Bullish Scenario:
Holding above $121,850 and breaking $124,200 may open the way toward $125,500, then $127,000 (1.618 Fibo), and potentially $130,000 if momentum continues.A surge in volume above the 20-period H1 average will confirm long entries.
Bearish Scenario:
Dropping below $121,850 with a 1H close and rising sell volume could trigger a move toward $120,500, then $119,000.Stronger declines could occur if sell volume exceeds recent highs from Aug 12.
5) LONG Setup
Entry: After a confirmed H1 close above $124,200Stop Loss: $121,850TP1: $125,500TP2: $127,000 (1.618 ext)TP3: $130,000
Rationale: Trade with the trend, enter after confirmed breakout, SL below key support.
6) SHORT Setup
Entry: After a confirmed H1 close below $121,850Stop Loss: $124,200TP1: $120,500TP2: $119,000TP3: $118,000
Rationale: Enter if 61.8% Fibo support is lost, aiming for lower demand zones.
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