Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a deep corrective phase, trading near $71,144 as of February 6, 2026, after hitting a fresh 15-month low earlier this week. Technical analysts and market forecasts suggest the following rebound timelines:
Short-Term Stabilization (February 2026): BTC is attempting to build a support base between $66,000 and $72,000. A relief bounce toward $75,000–$82,000 is projected by mid-February, though substantial resistance remains near $86,000.
Q2 2026 Breakout: Many analysts anticipate a more significant recovery starting in March or April 2026. Targets for this period range from $93,000 to $113,000, contingent on reclaiming major moving averages and improved global liquidity.
Long-Term Recovery (Late 2026): Year-end targets remain broadly bullish, with institutional forecasts from Standard Chartered and JPMorgan clustering between $120,000 and $170,000.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
To confirm a sustainable rebound, Bitcoin must clear several "layered resistance zones" currently capping its price:
Immediate Hurdle: Reclaiming the $86,000 (20-day EMA) level is required to slow the current bearish momentum.
Trend Reversal: A decisive close above the $89,000–$93,000 zone is seen as the primary signal that a stronger recovery has begun.
Critical Support: If the current $66,000–$70,000 floor fails, analysts warn of a potential deeper slide toward $50,000–$58,000 before a final bottom is formed.
Rebound Catalysts
The eventual rebound is expected to be driven by a shift from "mechanical" liquidations to structural demand:
Macro Relief: Expected Federal Reserve rate cuts in early 2026 are cited as a primary driver for a return to "risk-on" assets.
Institutional Anchoring: Spot ETFs now hold over 1.1 million BTC (~5.5% of supply), providing a baseline bid that historically limits the duration of deep drawdowns.
Supply Scarcity: Post-2024 halving dynamics have left exchange reserves at their lowest levels since 2018, potentially leading to a "supply shock" once buyer demand returns.
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