analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a turbulent February, with prices falling 22% amid a prolonged corrective phase. However, recent technical analysis suggests the bearish momentum may be subsiding, paving the way for a potential reversal or consolidation phase. Here’s a breakdown of the Elliott Wave structure and key levels to watch.

Elliott Wave Perspective: Corrective Phase Nears Completion

Bitcoin’s price action in February unfolded as part of a broader corrective pattern, labeled as Wave 4 in Elliott Wave Theory. This correction followed an all-time high of $108,364, achieved in early 2025, after which an ABC correction took hold. The decline, which included a sharp five-wave impulsive move to the downside, appears to have concluded near critical support at $94,780. A breach of this level could invalidate the bullish thesis, but holding above it strengthens the case for a Wave 5 breakout.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Support: The $94,780 level remains pivotal. A sustained close above this zone confirms the end of the correction and aligns with the descending channel breakout observed in mid-February.Resistance: If Bitcoin reclaims $100,000, it could signal the start of Wave 5, targeting new highs above $110,000.

Short-Term Outlook

While the long-term trend remains bullish, short-term volatility persists. Traders should monitor the 1-hour chart for signs of bullish momentum, particularly if prices stabilize above $98,000. A failure to hold this level could lead to retesting $94,780.

Historical Context and Projections

Bitcoin’s price history shows resilience, with a recovery to $84,373 by late February 2025 after a steep correction. This aligns with the Elliott Wave expectation of a corrective ABC structure completing before the next bullish impulse.
Conclusion

The February correction may finally be nearing its conclusion, setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next major move. Bulls need a decisive breakout above $100,000 to confirm Wave 5, while bears await a breakdown below $94,780 to challenge the bullish narrative. Traders should remain cautious but position for potential volatility ahead.

$BTC $ETH
#bitcoin #Binance #elliottwaves #analysis

Bitcoin ($BTC ) has rebounded following the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, boosting optimism that the broader economic outlook may improve next month.
On February 28th, Bitcoin dropped below the $80,000 mark, reaching a new low of $78,258 before recovering some losses. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $84,610, testing resistance around the $85,000 level. A sustained breakout above this resistance could indicate a trend reversal, but technical indicators remained mixed.
Technical Outlook: Bearish Sentiment Persists
Despite short-term rebounds, the overall trend remains downward. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 25.7, indicating neutral conditions, while the MACD remains in negative territory (-3.525), reinforcing selling pressure.
Although the stochastic oscillator and Commodity Channel Index (CCI) are temporarily showing positive signals, longer moving averages (MA) continue to point downward. The daily BTC chart shows that the price remains below key resistance zones ($85,000–$90,000), with strong selling volumes confirming bearish dominance.
Amidst intensifying bear pressure, the Fear and Greed Index plummeted to 10 points on February 27th, corresponding to the extreme panic zone. Such levels were last observed in June 2022, following Bitcoin's drop to $17,500 (-37% in a month).

At the time of writing, the indicator sits at 20, also signaling widespread panic among market participants.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
On the 4-hour chart, a moderate recovery followed the sell-off, but it has yet to develop into a sustained uptrend. The key resistance lies between $84,500 and $86,000, while support is found in the $78,000–$80,000 range.
If $BTC  manages to break above $85,000 with strong volume, it could trigger a rally toward the $90,000 level. However, without a confirmed breakout, the likelihood of another pullback and an extended downtrend remains high.
The Average Directional Index (ADX) at 44.7 confirms the prevailing bearish trend. If BTC fails to overcome key resistance levels, downward pressure may intensify further.
Conclusion
Despite the current rebound, most technical indicators suggest that the bearish momentum is still in play. The dominance of negative signals from moving averages, weak momentum, and a negative MACD suggest that this recovery might be a bull trap.
If $BTC  fails to establish support above $85,000, the probability of another downward wave remains high.
📢 If you're interested, check out my previous article, where I analyzed the key factors driving the market.
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#BTC #analysis #bitcoin #BitcoinForecast #MarketPullback

Hey Binance community! 👋 Let's break down Solana ($SOL ) and see if we can spot a good trading opportunity! 🕵️‍♀️
Here's the chart breakdown:
* Current Price: SOL is sitting pretty at $141.61, with a sweet +8.05% gain in the last 24 hours! 💪
* Support Level: Looks like $125.66 is acting as a solid support level, with SOL bouncing back nicely from there recently. 🧱
* Moving Averages: The EMA(200) is still above us, so that's a potential resistance to keep in mind. 🤨 But, the EMA(50) and EMA(20) are looking cozy with the current price, hinting at a possible short-term upswing! 📈
* RSI: The RSI(6) is chillin' at 33.95, meaning SOL isn't overheated and has room to run! 💨
* MACD: The MACD is teasing us with a potential bullish crossover, which could mean things are about to get exciting! 🤩
* Volume: Volume is picking up! This could fuel the current upward momentum. 🚀
Thinking about a trade? 🤔 Here's an idea:
* Bounce Play: With that recent bounce off support and the bullish vibes from the RSI and MACD, a bounce play could be a good move! ⛹️‍♀️
* Entry Point: Jump in now around $141.61 or wait for a little dip to confirm that support is holding strong. 🚶‍♀️
* Stop-Loss: Protect yourself by setting a stop-loss below the recent low of $125.66. 🛑
* Target: Aim for the EMA(200) around $150.77 or even the previous high of $180.58 if you're feeling bold! 🎯
Important Reminders:
* The crypto market can be wild! 🎢 Always be cautious and use proper risk management.
* Don't forget your stop-loss orders! 🛑 They're your best friend in this game.
* Stay in the loop with Solana news and updates! 📰
What do you think about SOL? 🤔
#SOL #Solana #Analysis

The cryptocurrency market is once again experiencing sharp price swings. Bitcoin ($BTC ) has dropped below the psychological threshold of $80,000, declining 18.5% over the past week and 6.8% just today (at the time of writing), reaching a low of $78,258. Other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum ($ETH ), XRP, and Solana, are also under pressure and at risk of breaking key support levels.
To understand the situation, we need to answer three key questions:
Why did the market drop so sharply?Where is the bottom that could stop the sell-off?What can we expect next?
What’s Behind the Drop?
Several factors contributed to the sharp decline in digital asset prices:
Overall decline in financial markets. Leading stock indices in the U.S. and Europe are in a downward trend, causing capital to flow out of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.Increasing trade tensions. The introduction of new import tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China has heightened investor concerns and increased uncertainty in global markets.Inflationary pressure and Fed policy. Expectations regarding future Federal Reserve decisions are leading investors to reduce Bitcoin holdings amid a potentially stronger dollar and possible interest rate hikes.
Three Key Support Levels
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) signals oversold conditions, with a 14-day reading of 21, down from 45 a week ago. While this could suggest a short-term rebound, uncertainty remains.
$80,000 — broken, with a low of $78,258. A temporary bounce is underway, but Bitcoin ($BTC ) must hold above $85,500 to confirm a potential reversal. $75,000 — this is a potential consolidation area that could become a reversal point if the decline continues.$70,000 – $69,000 — key support. This level aligns with the 2021 all-time high and could act as a major reversal point. A drop to this range would mark a 36.6% correction from the peak, which could be seen as a healthy pullback within an ongoing bull trend.
However, a decline to is unlikely unless there is significant panic or worsening macroeconomic conditions. One factor to watch is the March 4 implementation of a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with an additional 10% levy on Chinese goods.
What’s Next?
The scenarios for further development remain open. Current levels could become the starting point for a corrective rally, but if key psychological and technical barriers fail to hold, the market may retest its lows.
In times of high volatility, it's crucial to stay calm and focus on facts, not emotions. History shows that markets can recover, and each cycle brings new opportunities.
Moreover, the current decline does not indicate a change in the global trend. Rather, the market is going through a phase of finding stable levels before the next move. Cyclicity remains a key feature of cryptocurrencies, and each pullback can open up new opportunities for long-term investors.
To stay up-to-date with developments, follow my updates.
#BTC #analysis #EconomicAlert #bitcoin #BitcoinForecast

🚩Bulls believe this is last dip before altszn
.
🎩Bears think bull run is over
I spent 10+ hours analyzing all the data: here are all the possible scenarios and when market will turn around
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Before we start...
We put a lot of research and work FOR FREE into this thread before reading it.
🚨 Very Important :
🚨 Please follow @Mrhow and ❤️ Like + Comment and ➡️ Share this post 🙏 #MarketDownturn #Binance
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Basically, the cycle is broken, making it really hard to figure out what’s next.
There are three possible scenarios (imo):
• This is the final dip before altseason begins (Thrill)
• This is the beginning of the end (Anxiety)
• The cycle is already over (Anger)
🌟
We are currently between Anger and Depression stages or at Belief/Thrill stage, imo (which is almost the same)
✧ While for many, this becomes the phase of exiting the market, for me, it's a phase of opportunities
✧ Here's my thesis:
I can't say that retail is fully trapped yet, and I think bullish sentiment is still strong, so I don't see why MM would make this dip the start of a bear market.
It's important to understand that the market maker's goal is to extract as much money from retail (us) as possible.
To do that, the most likely scenario, in my view, is a slow decline over a month or more - just enough to make believers lose hope, but not enough to stop them from FOMOing back into alts later.
That’s why I’m slowly starting to build positions, since I believe there’s still plenty of time and prices will likely go even lower.
Here are all the key factors affecting the market rn and why I think this way:
2/➮ Disbelief in Altseason
✧ The prolonged absence of an obvious and straightforward altseason has negatively affected retail investors
✧ Now, it feels like no one believes in altseason anymore
✧ Most have moved to the meme casino, while the rest have simply given up on alts
✧ This has led to a loss of hope, sentiment, and attention
3/➮ An excess of scams
✧ Never in any cycle has there been so much scam activity, and so openly at that
✧ Every third celebrity without money is talking about crypto and launching a token on SOL
✧ At the same time, they rug it by -99% within a few days, doing it blatantly
✧ Such events negatively impact sentiment
4/➮ Trump - ProCrypto President
✧ Trump gave us huge expectations: bullish on crypto, never sell your Bitcoin, BTC reserve
✧ But in reality, he has now stepped away from crypto and hardly mentions it anymore
✧ This has also negatively affected the market at the moment
✧ However, we remember that the U.S. BTC reserve has already been confirmed
5/➮ Bybit's Hack
✧ The biggest hack in crypto history that dumped ETH
✧ Bybit was hacked, and $1.5B in ETH was stolen, which is a huge amount
✧ Hacks always negatively impact both overall sentiment and the market itself
6/➮ BTC as a Macro Asset
✧ Everyone still believes that if BTC pumped like this, alts will pump somewhere soon too—but no
✧ BTC has now partly become a macro asset, globally recognized
✧ That's why it can grow, but crypto itself doesn't necessarily follow
✧ On the other hand, when BTC drops, alts drop too
✧ This is due to an oversupply of alts on the market, so it’s crucial to finally understand: alts will pump, BUT definitely not all of them, it's not 2021 anymore. Choose wisely.
7/➮ Stablecoin Index
✧ On the other hand, we have the stablecoin index, which is still far from reaching levels seen in previous cycles
✧ This index indicates new capital entering the crypto market
✧ And at the moment, it is only starting to grow
8/➮ Global Net Liquidity Index
✧ There's also an indicator that tracks major central banks' assets and FED reserves
✧ Right now, we are witnessing its reversal, which accordingly signals a possible market reversal as well
✧ For now, it’s in correction too
9/➮ FTX Payouts
✧ Let’s also remember the FTX payouts, which have already started
✧ In the next couple of weeks, about ~$7B will be paid out, and these will also be reinvested into the market
✧ This will also give a nice boost to the market's growth
10/➮ Leading Market Players
✧ The most bullish factor remains that leading market players are actively accumulating
✧ WorldLiberty, Michael Saylor, BlackRock - these leading companies are massively building positions
✧ They are clearly not doing this without a strategy and just for no reason
11/➮ Conclusion
✧ Considering all factors and the overall picture, things aren’t as bad as they seem, but the fact remains:
We are currently in the disbelief stage
✧ It's exactly these moments that create the best opportunities
✧ Learn new skills and develop yourself, before the market pump, and find yourself among the winners at the end of this cycle
➮ Liked this thread? I write educational threads daily, so don't forget to:
We put a lot of research and work FOR FREE into this thread before reading it.
🚨 Very Important :
🚨 Please follow @Mrhow and ❤️ Like + Comment and ➡️ Share this post 🙏
 #MarketDownturn #Binance #BTCDipOrRebound #MarketAnalysis #analysis

The recent correction in the cryptocurrency market has generated fear among investors. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to $80,000, while Ethereum (ETH) fell to $2,100. And SUI? The layer 1 token, which shone at the end of 2024, suffered a 38% retracement, dropping from its all-time high of $5.36 to the current level around $2.81.
Like this post if you want to be prepared for SUI's next big move!
But what if this drop is just the harbinger of a new rally? A technical analysis reveals that the $SUI may be replicating the same bullish pattern that propelled Solana (SOL) during the 2021 bull run. Are we facing a new opportunity?

Robert Kiyosaki, author of the book 'Rich Dad Poor Dad', updated his forecast in January 2025, expecting the price of Bitcoin to reach between $175,000 and $350,000 within a year. 🤔
Investment company VanEck in November 2024 suggested that Bitcoin could reach $180,000 by mid-2025, 👈 based on current market trends and institutional interest.