I have a vague sense that $BONK shows signs of stabilizing around 0.000003, but that feeling needs a few conditions to be verified: first, the trading volume can’t shrink any further. Now it’s down to 28M per day, which is already 70% lower than the peak at the start of the month—sideways action on reduced volume could be a bottom, or it could be a pause in the downtrend. Second, the price can’t break down effectively below the integer level of 0.000003. Over the past week, it has formed four bottoms here, but each rebound has come without enough volume.
In the last 30 days it fell 31.5%, dropping from 0.000005. Along the way, the huge bullish candle on July 7 (110M) was proven to be a false breakout, followed by a steady grind down. Now the market cap is 258 million, ranked #139, still 95% away from the ATH. At this point, calling it “cheap” is easy—but for meme coins, what they fear most isn’t the price itself, it’s liquidity. If no one is willing to pick up the slack, then 0.000003 and 0.000001 are only psychological distances.
What I care about more is that after the surge in volume on July 21 (106M), trading volume quickly shrank again, suggesting that smart money hasn’t continued to absorb the float. What really needs confirmation isn’t whether the price is steady, but whether new money is willing to rebuild positions at this level.
If, over the next three days, the trading volume continues to contract and the price breaks below 0.0000029, then the stabilization hypothesis won’t hold. Feel free to bring data to test it—not just listen to my gut feeling.