I hope that you have already read the post about assessing non-market risk. Because you can only think about investing if the asset fundamentally meets 3 parameters. A couple more important words about my investment strategy: I buy assets that grow in price over the long term: Nasdaq country indices, $PAXG (tokenized gold), $BTC , rare plant seeds and pieces from meteorites.📈 Growth potential in these assets: infinity ♾️📉 The potential for loss from one asset is “only” up to 100% (since this is spot, and I don’t trade futures). This is the base. But the potential for correction is always different and changes depending on what is happening in the world. In this article we will talk about assessing market risk, and this is a much more complex and interesting activity.▶️ For example, let’s take BTC. Now (and indeed always) there is risk of correction of different levels:1) up to 20% (corrective, standard haircut).2) -20-50% (crisis haircut).3) -50-80% (black swan haircut) 🦢💰 How to assess the probability of risk of each level ?This is where my work begins: analyzing the asset based on market indicators and market phase. I'll tell you about the basic level 1 indicator.The “technically easiest” indicator to use is the “Fear and Greed Index”, which I periodically write about on this channel. This is a complex indicator that includes: open interest, search queries, media sentiment, etc. And the indicator works very simply, the instructions are in just 4 words: 📈 Buy fear and sell greed 📉 This is enough to make money in the market in the short and medium term, but most people do the opposite, so they lose in the market 🤷‍♂️ Now the indicator is at 74 (greed ). I hope you understand that it is now better to do with positions in the short term :) I do not engage in trading and speculation, since trading robots cope with this task much better.🎨 My task in the market is more creative: to collect/rebalance medium- and long-term portfolios for myself and large clients .If you have large capital, I can provide consultation on your portfolio.📝 Risks of correction are always present - this is the very unknown (uncertainty) that scares all newcomers to the market. But I invest in assets that grow over the long term, so I and all my clients always have an investment position, which I rebalance according to the Fear and Greed index, as well as other higher-level indicators.⚠️ As you understand, this is a strategy that works for me, since I have many more indicators in my arsenal to accurately determine the breakdown of movements in the market. This is my profession and I make money from it. I will share different secrets, so if the post was useful, I recommend subscribing, I’m already preparing a pack of ideas with great growth potential 🚀#крипта #обучение #новичкам #прогноз #анализ

Has it ever happened to you that you trade on the news and seem to be doing everything right, but end up with a loss? If this has happened at least once, the article will be useful. Every time any big news comes out, any trader with or without a position has a desire to open the broker/exchange application to make money on it. But the irony is this: ⚡️ As soon as the news comes out, the price immediately plays out this event. Especially this refers to cryptocurrency, where $BTC can make +-10% on news about ETFs in just a couple of minutes. In alts, as a rule, the price jump occurs in a split second and this process accelerates every year. For example, Binance has trading robots that are written specifically for these purposes. They trade according to a strategy and it won’t turn out that “the robot missed the deal.” It makes no sense for a person to compete with trading robots. Robots/traders - 1:0💢 Fake news or stuffing. News is often manipulative. Large players can take positions early because they have access to information in advance. For example, stock exchange managers may know in advance about upcoming events in the country and may conduct a successful IPO and then watch with indifference the shares fall by -90%. As a result: the discarded shares at the IPO are bought by newcomers or traders. Insiders/traders 1:0🧿 Ordered news. If you think that news appears “just like that,” then you are very mistaken, since behind most news there is a customer. And oil prices are a very clear example of this. Almost always, the price is affected by some kind of OPEC meeting, which either reduces or increases production... how can an ordinary trader without insider forecast this? No way. Events since 2020 have shown that the price of oil can be from $0 to $130. That is, in fact, it can be anyone... The vector here is set by large players through the news, and their real plans are, alas, unknown to us 📰Whales/traders 1:0 In fact, we can continue as long as we can, but the fact remains a fact. Even the most experienced trader will not be able to beat the market for at least 5 years. And personally, I redirected my focus from trading to investing and my life has improved significantly. My training has been going on for 8 years and will continue as long as assets are traded on exchanges. I ignore market noise and this gives me the opportunity to make money over the long term.🫡 Dear readers, you should not try to make money on obvious negative news. In most cases, they are obvious to everyone and everyone is trying to open a short. As a result, at the slightest increase in price, a massive liquidation of shorers begins and the price flies upward 🆙I talk about how not to fall into the trap of emotions and how to create a long-term strategy for increasing capital on this channel. There is a pack of promising ideas ahead, subscribe 🚀#инвестиции #трейдинг #новичкам #новости 00 118067458

Timeframe is the minimum time interval for grouping price quotes. Any textbook on technical analysis will tell you that the older the timeframe, the more important it is. But most people are more concerned about what is happening here and now. I have already told you more than once how important the topic of psychology is in investing. Today we’ll talk about time frames at $BTC . And why do most traders who trade Bitcoin and alts on daily time frames lose money? According to official statistics from brokers, 80% of people lose on the market. In the crypto market this figure is even higher. And this is normal, because the basic principle of the market is that in every trade there is a winner and a loser. After all, if everyone won, and everyone were winners in transactions, then this market could not exist in principle. The majority must lose in transactions; we figured it out. And judging by how unevenly wealth is distributed, the remaining 20% ​​would benefit from a situation where this gap increases.🙋🏼‍♂️ How to join this minority? First of all, give up margin and margin trading (may Binance forgive me). By its nature, leverage works as an income multiplier (booster). What is it for? To maximize profits. Why maximize it? Because greed dictates so. The same snake that also recommends using a larger deposit for a “verified insider”, because of it stops are not set in transactions, because you can always have time to “quickly” sell at “breakeven”🐍Since greed is a vice that exists in every person , then over time everything worked out so that greed led to poverty. But greed is not always scary, since it’s just a person’s psychological state, which can be changed even on your own if it’s not in an advanced form. It’s scary when poverty leads to debt (margin trading) or to “well, now the market will definitely go down/ up. I’m ready to bet on it even with my leverage.” Debts lead to all sorts of troubles, why do you need it? Experienced traders can cope with fear through the right approach to risk management. But greed overcomes even great traders and the recent case with old Michael is an example of this. Therefore, it is important to have an investment position and take profits periodically. But more on this in a separate article. Now there is a medium-term and long-term growing trend. But you need to trade and sail with a tailwind, that is, with the trend. Don’t let fear and greed take over your mind, the news will be the most negative for everyone now.🔎 If we open the monthly timeframe for BTC, the RSI indicator is M1 (month): 58 - neutralH1 (week): 78 - there is overheating (fixing a little profit) D1 (day): 61 - neutral H4: 58 - neutral ❇️ Result: It is important to work according to your long-term strategy and not give in to emotions. Therefore, you should always be in an emotionally stable state (without a marginal position) and the money factor should not put pressure on you in principle. In this blog, I share my personal experience and how I control risks in client accounts. I talk about how not to fall into the trap of emotions and how to create a long-term strategy for increasing capital. I talk about a pack of promising ideas ahead, subscribe 🚀#анализ #прогноз #новичкам #биткоин

As you can see for yourself, now it’s mainly BTC and ETH that are growing, and the rest of the coins are hanging around + - at the same levels. Why is this? If you, like me, are gaining medium-term positions in alts, then you don’t have to worry because in % alts will ultimately bring more profit than simply buying Bitcoin, but it is important to enter positions in time. Therefore, you need to buy them now, and not after they grow by another +200+300%. But paired with BTC, any altcoin will lose in the long term and this is a fact.❓ Why do alts lag behind Bitcoin? In fact, this is a fairly common phenomenon and in every bull cycle the same thing happens... And this is not a feature of the crypto market, everything happens the same way in the fund.❇️ First of all, large capital buys the most reliable assets, since they have much less risk. And only then, when all the major players have entered the flagship position (BTC on crypto or Apple on the fund), the flow of capital into less liquid shares and alts begins. As a rule, the following scheme operates in the crypto market: First there is a growth of BTC -> then a growth of ETH -> other coins from the TOP 10 -> alts from the TOP 100, etc.❗️ Of course, there are exceptions and some alts are growing stronger than the entire market, but this is only due to the fact that such alts have very low capitalization and in such coins they simply no sellers.Sooner or later, there comes a time when liquidity from Bitcoin begins to flow into alts. As a rule, at such moments Bitcoin goes sideways, and alts begin to shoot by hundreds of%. At this moment, usually a crowd of newcomers comes who buy the market on the highs and after that the market starts to decline 📉 Therefore, it is better to make purchases in alts now, and not when there is massive hype for this matter. Now Bitcoin's dominance continues to grow, and many alts have risen +100-200% from their bottom! Imagine what will happen to alts when Bitcoin's dominance begins to fall? The answer is obvious - the rapid growth of alts. In this blog I share my personal experience and how I control risks on client accounts. I talk about how not to fall into the trap of emotions and how to create a long-term strategy for increasing capital on this channel. There are a bunch of promising ideas ahead, subscribe 🚀#альтсезон #прогноз #новичкам #обучение #прогноз