$BTC 413 tragedy is recorded in history!
As long as you don't blow up your account, you will win 90% of the people in the market!
More than 80% of the leveraged accounts have blown up
The remaining 20% ​​didn't blow up because they held on! They thought it would be fine if they could hold on!
This is just the beginning, the big ones haven't come yet and they've basically cut in half!
Information gap is very important, if you don't communicate much about this market, you will give it to the market!
Success is not based on luck, choice is greater than effort, and the circle determines fate!

I believe that many people are trapped in this wave of highs.

The trapped order is dead, but the trapped point is alive. The accurate method of unwinding needs to be solved according to the specific point and market conditions. This is exactly why you have read many unwinding posts but still can't unwind.

For some complicated orders, investors who cannot steadily get out of the trap with their own experience and skills can find Feng Kite. I will give a reasonable solution based on your position and actual situation!

There are countless investment opportunities in the investment market, but investors' time, energy and funds are limited. It is impossible to grasp all investment opportunities. This requires investors to make choices and selectively give up small investment opportunities in order to better grasp larger investment opportunities!

Why do many people miss out on opportunities in a bull market? (I)

When the price of a currency keeps rising, you think to yourself, if it dares to fall back, I will dare to buy!

When the price of a currency drops by 10%, you think to yourself that you will buy it when it drops by 30%;

When the price of a currency drops by 30%, you think to yourself that you will go all in when it drops by 50%;

When the price of a currency drops by 50%, bad news is flying everywhere, and you think that it has definitely not bottomed out and will continue to fall.

In short, the price in reality will never match the price in your mind.

Why do many people miss out on opportunities in a bull market (II)?

One day, the price of a currency suddenly rises by 50%, good news is flying everywhere, and the price completely breaks away from the bottom range. You find that no matter how much it falls, it will not fall back to the original point, and you hesitate whether to buy. While you are hesitating, the price continues to rise sharply. You finally can't wait any longer, and you mutter to yourself: "Damn it, go all in, just die!" The next day, you are trapped by 30%!

Then, you sell it as soon as you get your money back! The bull market continues...

Cherish your lows. You will see many truths. Time can save people who are willing to save themselves. No one's life is smooth sailing. The sufferings of the lows are to accumulate strength. Even if it is the light drawn from the cracks, you must hold it tightly and then have the courage to live towards the sun. My friends, I'll drink this cup of chicken soup first.

Several points to note in 2024
1. Being trapped may take several months, and missing out is a four-year cycle
2. Don’t be too greedy to escape the top~ want to rise more, and don’t be too greedy to buy the bottom~ want to be very low
3. The bottom characteristics of the adjustment and callback in the middle of the bull market may not be very obvious, and it may be a V-reversal at any time
4. It may be pulled back in two weeks after falling for two months
5. It is possible that this round will be earlier than expected

In the bull market speculation in the currency circle, we never look at whether there is value, but at emotions. The price increase of Bitcoin after halving is also based on emotions and expectations. For example, in this round of bull market, Bitcoin is expected to break through 100,000 US dollars. The recent volatility of Bitcoin is not for the top but for the next better impact of 100,000 US dollars. There is no need to worry if you are fully invested. If you want to make big money, you must have a long-term mindset.

Analysis of BTC and ETH market on April 18:
Today’s highlights
The current trend of BTC is fine as long as it does not completely fall below the 60,000 mark. If the bottom is tested this time and a rebound trend is shown, the market will slowly begin to reverse. The key points above are still concerned. The current short-term key points are in the 64,000-65,000 range, and the main barrier is in the 68,000-72,000 range. Only by breaking the 72,000 point key point can the market open up a larger space. Now we can only wait for the market to move out.

The trend of ETH is the key to driving the altcoin. It has been weakening from last year to now, and is also weaker than the big cake. So the altcoin has not fallen. The 3800 points have not been broken in the early stage. Now let's see when the turning point will come. The key point of 3400 points and the node position of 3600-3800 on the daily level. The two cakes have been in a weak state, which is not very friendly to the altcoin. As long as the two cakes become strong, the price of the altcoin can only rise by about 2 times. The altcoin can no longer fall. What we need to do now is to wait for the market to turn.

No need to recharge, faith still needs to be recharged

❶ Once the trend is formed, it is not so easy to reverse. Now is the early stage of the bull market, not even the mid-term.

❷ The US 𝙀𝙏𝙁 and Hong Kong 𝙀𝙏𝙁 have passed, not just to make a little money in the circle.

❸ Many dealers have wallets starting with 𝟏𝟎 billion US dollars, and they are still buying.

❹ The exchange's 𝙐 coin recharge is also continuous.

❺ The chain is still continuing to issue 𝙐𝙎𝘿𝙏 and other stablecoins.

❻ The new coin listing plans of major exchanges in the next three months are full.

❼ The top five Bitcoin mining companies did not sell Bitcoin due to the halving.

❽ Many cottages can no longer fall.

❾ 𝙀𝙏𝙃 has not been very turbulent yet.

❶⓿ The current market liquidity of 𝘽𝙏𝘾 is relatively low, which means that institutions and dealers are not willing to hand over their chips.

❶❶ In the past, the bull market always came out a long time after the halving.

❶❷ The Fed hasn't cut interest rates yet, so why are you in such a hurry?

❶❸ With the expansion of blockchain digital currency, more and more countries no longer say that cryptocurrency is a scam. … The current situation is just a big chess game. Those who can understand it can get meat from the wolf's mouth, retreat before the government takes action, drink a mouthful of soup, earn a satisfactory profit, and then exit the game peacefully. In short, there is still a long way to go in the future.

Many people in the market are almost unable to bear it, which proves that the bottom is about to be established. Be patient, patience is what matters at this time. The bull market is not over yet, the altcoins have not exploded yet, and the fierce market has not yet begun.

Next, what events may have an impact on the price of coins?

Sports event hype: Top sports events such as the European Cup and the July Olympics usually start hyping about 2 months in advance. For example, SANTOS may be the focus, Porto is endorsed by Ronaldo, and AGK is endorsed by Messi. In this case, the layout may bring several times the return.

Ethereum Prague upgrade: The upcoming Ethereum Prague upgrade may bring shocks. It is recommended to lay out several currencies such as OP, IMX, ETHFI, SSV and PENDLE in advance, which may take you off.

Solana Annual Conference: Solana Annual Conference is scheduled to be held in September this year. This may drive the prices of currencies such as jup, pyth and BOME to soar.

GPT5 release news: In the middle of the year, news about the release of GPT5 will attract attention. On May 2, ocen, fet and agix may announce the details of the merger, and the popularity and narrative of RNDR and WLD may directly affect the market.

ETC production reduction: ETC will reduce production in June, which may trigger a round of hype. Based on past experience, ETC usually experiences a good round of gains before the reduction in production.

Many times, there is no extreme profit or absolute loss.
What needs to be mastered is a system of operation:
For example, when making a profit at a high level, sell it in batches. If there is a higher level after the high level, then there is still room for profit to rise.
Similarly, when being trapped at a low level, sell it in batches. If there is a lower level after the low level, then the degree of being trapped will not increase.
The pursuit of the extreme is inherently anti-human nature

When will there be another 100x coin?

100x coins are meaningless to most people. For 100x coins to be meaningful, three conditions must be met:

1. Buy a lot

2. Sell 100x

3. Cash out in time after clearing the warehouse

For example, buying a few hundred or a few thousand is not very meaningful. In fact, it is small money that can be held, but big money cannot be held.

People who really sell more than 100x have extremely good mentality. This is not just luck.

You bought 100,000, 20 times, 50 times, and there are very few people who don’t sell. Only one in 100,000 who really sells 100x;

This is the truth, and after buying, it can be turned into money, not be overwhelmed by victory, and decisively leave the market to play and enjoy life.

The mentality of this kind of people is to overcome the greed in human nature. Knowing that there is still money to be made later, but not touching the top, how many people can do not eat the last bite, too few.

#比特币减半

How can we overcome the mentality of not being able to hold on to the currency circle and truly "hold on"?

First, we must have a clear plan and goal for our investment. Before starting to buy spot goods, we must make it clear whether our capital turnover is sufficient and whether we can accept the callback psychologically. In this way, we can make decisions more calmly when facing price fluctuations.

Second, we must learn to control our emotions. Greed and fear are weaknesses in human nature, but we can overcome them through continuous learning and practice. For example, we can set a reasonable stop-profit and stop-loss point. When the price reaches this point, we will resolutely sell or buy, and not be swayed by emotions.

Third, we must maintain enough patience and confidence. Speculating in currency is a long-term process, and we should not expect to get rich overnight. As long as we choose a potential project, continue to pay attention to and study market dynamics, believe in time and believe in ourselves.

Knowing that the currency will rise but not being able to hold it is mainly a psychological challenge. Only by overcoming these psychological obstacles can we truly "hold on" and make money. I hope that under this extreme market situation, you can keep your original intention and wait for the wind to come.

Before March, when the market was rising, everyone was anxious and said that there would be no black swan. Now the black swan has come, Israel and Iran are at war, and the market is sluggish. Everyone is getting more and more afraid.
So be calm when the market is rising, and also be calm when the market is falling. When the market falls to your predetermined target, buy in batches. ​​​

Don't be too bearish on altcoins, especially new ones. You should look for opportunities to buy.
Instead of being misled by those small essays full of conspiracy theories every time the market falls. You will never make money by speculating in coins this way.
Many altcoins were cut in half last week, and many fell to the level when they started last year. If you don't dare to short, then where is the benefit of continuing to short these altcoins? Even if Bitcoin has another round of decline and falls to more than 50,000, do you think the altcoins will continue to be cut in half?
So take the new ones as an example, cut in half again, 0.3 W, 2 dollars SAGA, 0.5 dollars ENA, and many other coins you are optimistic about, half off, do you know to buy the bottom even if your grandmother comes. So how likely do you think there will be such an opportunity to give you money.
Don't be a person whose emotions are easily dominated by others, use your brain, when the market rises, there are so many optimistic ones that you think every day, please give me another chance to buy, now you have a chance, don't you dare to buy? If you don't dare to take a large position, you can also choose to buy according to the timeline.
Unless you think the bull market is over, then you should exit the market before the halving.

#大盘走势

1. Long-Short Strategy (Bollinger Bands)
Bollinger Bands is a statistically based technical analysis indicator that determines the high and low prices by calculating the standard deviation of the price. In digital currency contract trading, investors can use the Bollinger Bands indicator to determine whether the price is high or low, so as to decide whether to go long or short. For example, when the price is near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands, investors can consider shorting, and vice versa, when the price is near the lower track of the Bollinger Bands, they can consider going long.
2. Trend Tracking Strategy (Moving Average)
Moving average is a commonly used technical analysis tool that can help investors identify the trend direction of prices. In digital currency contract trading, investors can use moving averages to capture the upward or downward trend of prices. For example, when a fast moving average (such as the 5-day moving average) breaks through a slow moving average (such as the 20-day moving average), it indicates that the price may be in an upward trend, and investors can choose to go long.
3. Rotation strategy (Relative Strength Index)
The relative strength index (RSI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of prices and can help investors determine the relative performance of various digital currencies. In digital currency contract trading, investors can choose to trade varieties with stronger trends by comparing the RSI values ​​of different digital currencies. For example, when the RSI value of a certain digital currency is high (greater than 70), it means that the market may be overheated, and investors can choose to short.
4. Range arbitrage strategy (exchange spread)
There are price differences between digital currency exchanges, and investors can use range arbitrage strategies to take advantage of these price differences to make profits. The specific operation method is to buy low-priced currencies on different exchanges, and then sell them on high-priced exchanges to obtain price difference income.
5. Stop-profit and stop-loss strategy (setting reasonable stop-loss and stop-profit points)
Reasonably setting stop-loss and stop-profit points is an important means to protect funds and stabilize returns. When investors trade digital currency contracts, they should set reasonable stop-profit and stop-loss points. When the price reaches the set point, stop profit or stop loss in time. This can protect investors' trading funds and avoid losses caused by excessive losses or greed.
Conclusion
Cryptocurrency contract trading has high risks, but also has high profit opportunities. Investors should understand the appropriate trading strategy and strictly implement stop-loss and take-profit strategies in trading. By using a variety of appropriate gameplay and strategies, the stability and profitability of digital currency contract trading can be improved.

#比特币减半

Tips for making money with perpetual contracts
1. Avoid full positions
Avoid gamblers. Full positions often lead to two extreme situations: one night in heaven and one night in hell. This not only cannot provide security conditions for our funds, but also cannot guarantee continuous profits.
2. The general trend of the market
Those who follow the trend will prosper, and those who go against the trend will perish. This principle is not only reflected in nature, but also in trading! The perpetual contract itself has a 1-125 times leverage. We should pay more attention to the trend in trading, so that we will get closer and closer to getting rich. Trend analysis prompts that ALPEX's service is still in place. The general trend will be given in the daily analysis of the market!
3. Specify stop-profit and stop-loss targets
The error rate of short-term transactions of perpetual contracts is often higher than that of medium and long-term transactions. At the same time, the time period of short-term transactions is short, and there are much fewer opportunities to correct errors. Therefore, when the trend of BTC does not match the expectations in hand, it is necessary to stop profit or stop loss in time, withdraw funds, and wait for the next opportunity to enter the market.
4. Be careful not to over-trade
Since BTC perpetual contracts are traded 24 hours a day, many investors have over-trading and cannot control themselves. They trade several times in a certain period of time every day, as if they are very good and do not want to miss any market trend. In the end, they get nothing.

#大盘走势

Choose a good coin and be a good person. As a leveraged trader, volatility can be magnified by leverage multiples. The primary consideration in the trading process is not volatility but certainty.

Most of the coin circle are short-term traders. When trading, it is difficult to have the opportunity to hold on to the ideal point to close the position. At the same time, they are not very proficient in position control, and they cannot rely on shocks to do T to pull the average price. Based on this situation, for most traders, a good opening price is more important than anything else.
Once there is a profit, take part of it first and put it in the bag for safety, and set a stop loss at the cost price for the other part. This is what I have always emphasized myself.
The way of trading is to accumulate a little and compound interest is king. If you are out of cost, you must not turn it back into a loss. If you make a profit, you must put part of it in the bag to prevent it from being in vain. In short: if you make a profit, go boldly, and the rest will be the original price loss.
Being able to see the trend and make a certain order profitable is strength, but how much this order can earn in the end depends on luck. So I suggest that you put the part of the reward you get by strength in the bag first, and the rest depends on whether the market gives face.
With the same principal, the stop loss of 200 USD with 5x leverage and the stop loss of 100 USD with 10x leverage will result in the same amount of loss when the stop loss is actually triggered.
If a single loss exceeds 30% of the total assets, the consequences are very serious and it will take a lot of effort to recover the capital. Therefore, when setting a stop loss, it is necessary to ensure that the single loss does not exceed 10% of the total position.

Recharge your faith
1: All the market makers have not started to sell
2: US ETF passed, Hong Kong ETF passed, not to make money from the insiders now,
3: Many market makers whose wallets I monitor have billions of dollars are still buying
4: Exchanges are constantly charging u
5: All exchanges have been fully scheduled for 456 new listings in three months
…
I can only say that now a big picture is being laid out, whoever can see it clearly, can take the chopsticks when there is meat in the wolf's mouth, withdraw before the government starts to cut, drink a mouthful of soup and earn the exit they want.

Yesterday at midnight, the structure of the consolidation from around 61600 went all the way to around 64350, rising by nearly 2800 points, and now it is back to around 64100. The morning idea is to step back and look up.

Patience and persistence are better than fierceness and enthusiasm. No matter how the market changes, only the original intention and hope will never change, and the goal can be finally achieved. Good morning, friends, kite morning ideas

Pie: Retracement 63300-63800. Long, focus on 64400-64900 above

Aunt: Retracement 3060-3040 long, focus on 3130-3160 above

At present, the entire cottage industry is much cleaner. Some prices have returned to the beginning of January and February or even last year, washing out the floating profits of the second stage. This also foreshadows the official end of the second stage and the opening of a new chapter, the third stage. Now it is time to cast a net again. If you still have positions, just go in boldly. You can choose whatever you want. There are cheap chips everywhere. The AI ​​sector, DEPIN sector, rwa sector, and BN’s new B sector that have been launched but not yet launched can all be checked out. At this stage, everyone feels miserable, but next month they will be laughing again, and even regret why they didn’t dare to increase their positions at that time!