LIVE一鸣的交易日记
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Cycle determines everything (understanding can make you rich)
In the past two days of the 818 bloodbath, some people were preparing for bargain hunting, and some were regretting it, but few people could deeply summarize and review the reasons for the correction. On the surface, it was because SpaceX sold BTC. If you only analyze At this level, there will never be an opportunity to catch the trend in this market; every sudden rise and fall will be accompanied by some events, but these events are only superficial phenomena. The underlying reason is determined by cycles. Everything has cycles. Encryption The same goes for markets;
The occurrence of events is unpredictable and cannot be predicted by ordinary people, but the cycle can be analyzed in advance. In the past half month, Yiming has brought up the turning point of the big pie monthly line more than once, the turning point of the big cycle. It is very powerful, but this cycle turning event is accompanied by SpaceX selling BTC. Even without this incident, other events will detonate; now that this turning point has been ignited, it will not end quickly in the short term, and it will not end quickly in the short term. It takes 3 months, which means that it will still be a bearish trend from now until the end of September. Only by mastering the principles of cycle transition can you improve your understanding and gain more confidence in holding positions. It has been undergoing the third wave of adjustment since it peaked in November 2021. When will it end (see the picture)? The end of this monthly level also means the end of the bear market adjustment and the starting point of the next bull market.
The occurrence of events is unpredictable and cannot be predicted by ordinary people, but the cycle can be analyzed in advance. In the past half month, Yiming has brought up the turning point of the big pie monthly line more than once, the turning point of the big cycle. It is very powerful, but this cycle turning event is accompanied by SpaceX selling BTC. Even without this incident, other events will detonate; now that this turning point has been ignited, it will not end quickly in the short term, and it will not end quickly in the short term. It takes 3 months, which means that it will still be a bearish trend from now until the end of September. Only by mastering the principles of cycle transition can you improve your understanding and gain more confidence in holding positions. It has been undergoing the third wave of adjustment since it peaked in November 2021. When will it end (see the picture)? The end of this monthly level also means the end of the bear market adjustment and the starting point of the next bull market.
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Turning point or inducement to buy
Simply looking at this K-line, it closed with a positive line, but this K-line alone is not enough to prove that it has turned to buy. Auntie 3213 is more critical here. As long as it does not stand at this position, it is still short.
For those who hold positions, it is now recommended to reduce short positions by 2/3, and keep an eye on the remaining positions at 3213. If there is no upward breakthrough, continue to hold until the position issued in the morning, and get out immediately if it breaks through.
For those who have not boarded the bus or got off the bus halfway, it is recommended not to touch the long and short positions here, there is no absolute certainty.
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETH🔥🔥🔥
Simply looking at this K-line, it closed with a positive line, but this K-line alone is not enough to prove that it has turned to buy. Auntie 3213 is more critical here. As long as it does not stand at this position, it is still short.
For those who hold positions, it is now recommended to reduce short positions by 2/3, and keep an eye on the remaining positions at 3213. If there is no upward breakthrough, continue to hold until the position issued in the morning, and get out immediately if it breaks through.
For those who have not boarded the bus or got off the bus halfway, it is recommended not to touch the long and short positions here, there is no absolute certainty.
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETH🔥🔥🔥
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There may be five consecutive negative lines in four hours
It is now 14:55 pm Beijing time
Big cake and concubine continue to hit new lows, a dangerous signal is coming
The four-hour current is the fourth consecutive negative line. If this K line cannot turn positive at 4 o'clock, it is very likely to continue to hit new lows after 4 o'clock in the afternoon. The fastest rebound signal may not appear until 8 o'clock in the evening, and it is possible.
Now there is only one hour left until 4 o'clock. Is there a high chance that this K line will turn positive?
A bit uncertain
If it turns positive, we will re-judge based on the pattern
#BTC #ETH
It is now 14:55 pm Beijing time
Big cake and concubine continue to hit new lows, a dangerous signal is coming
The four-hour current is the fourth consecutive negative line. If this K line cannot turn positive at 4 o'clock, it is very likely to continue to hit new lows after 4 o'clock in the afternoon. The fastest rebound signal may not appear until 8 o'clock in the evening, and it is possible.
Now there is only one hour left until 4 o'clock. Is there a high chance that this K line will turn positive?
A bit uncertain
If it turns positive, we will re-judge based on the pattern
#BTC #ETH
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Afternoon trading view
So far, there is no signal of long positions in Dabing and Yitai. Even if it is not falling as fast as in the morning, it does not mean that it will rise immediately. It is still possible to continue to fall.
However, you can't chase the short position at this position, because there is no defense line, and it is easy to hit the stop loss when entering the market. If you miss it, just wait for the next train.
#ETH #BTC
So far, there is no signal of long positions in Dabing and Yitai. Even if it is not falling as fast as in the morning, it does not mean that it will rise immediately. It is still possible to continue to fall.
However, you can't chase the short position at this position, because there is no defense line, and it is easy to hit the stop loss when entering the market. If you miss it, just wait for the next train.
#ETH #BTC
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Fully understand the support and resistance levels
90% of people only know the support and resistance levels on the surface of the text, and have not deeply understood the connotation and essence of them, so there will be a huge contrast in actual combat.
In a downward trend: the role of the support level is to reduce positions and stop profits, not to buy at the bottom. Buying at the bottom belongs to entering the market, and entering the market must meet two conditions at the same time, position and shape; so many people buy at the bottom in a downward trend, sometimes they can buy well, but most of them are not good at buying at the bottom. This is the reason. If you buy well, the shape at that time must be supportive, and if you buy poorly, the shape at that time must not be supportive.
In a downward trend: the resistance level is for entering the market, but different resistance levels have different opening positions and different probability of reaching.
The upward trend is the opposite.
#BTC #ETH
90% of people only know the support and resistance levels on the surface of the text, and have not deeply understood the connotation and essence of them, so there will be a huge contrast in actual combat.
In a downward trend: the role of the support level is to reduce positions and stop profits, not to buy at the bottom. Buying at the bottom belongs to entering the market, and entering the market must meet two conditions at the same time, position and shape; so many people buy at the bottom in a downward trend, sometimes they can buy well, but most of them are not good at buying at the bottom. This is the reason. If you buy well, the shape at that time must be supportive, and if you buy poorly, the shape at that time must not be supportive.
In a downward trend: the resistance level is for entering the market, but different resistance levels have different opening positions and different probability of reaching.
The upward trend is the opposite.
#BTC #ETH
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Where is the stop profit?
Many people are asking where is the support below?
Actually, I don’t want to answer this question. I don’t understand why some people like to go against the trend. They look for support when the market is correcting and look for pressure when the market is rising. What is the logic? Which faction’s thinking?
ETH: You can consider stop profit at 3106, but please note that it does not mean you should buy the bottom here, nor does it mean you should go short at 3200 now.
#BTC #ETH
Many people are asking where is the support below?
Actually, I don’t want to answer this question. I don’t understand why some people like to go against the trend. They look for support when the market is correcting and look for pressure when the market is rising. What is the logic? Which faction’s thinking?
ETH: You can consider stop profit at 3106, but please note that it does not mean you should buy the bottom here, nor does it mean you should go short at 3200 now.
#BTC #ETH
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Is the aunt opening the floodgates? ? ?
Just now, the lowest point was 3252, which is a key position today. Once it falls below, the floodgates will be opened directly downward.
Even if it rebounds here, it will only rise a little bit, so it is not suitable to buy the bottom long order here.
##ETH #BTC #BNB
Just now, the lowest point was 3252, which is a key position today. Once it falls below, the floodgates will be opened directly downward.
Even if it rebounds here, it will only rise a little bit, so it is not suitable to buy the bottom long order here.
##ETH #BTC #BNB
LIVELIVE一鸣的交易日记
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本周波动大，短期该如何操作？
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There will be more volatility this week
There are two major events this week that affect the crypto market
1: On April 30 (Tuesday), the US court will try Zhao Changpeng.
2: Non-farm payrolls on the evening of May 3 (Friday)
For the trading market, there are opportunities only when there are large fluctuations, but for most people, this is also a high-risk moment because there is no reasonable risk control mechanism and it is very dangerous.
In Yiming's trading rules, there is no fear of any drastic fluctuations, because the maximum risk (retracement) of any transaction is within an acceptable range.
#BTC #ETH
There are two major events this week that affect the crypto market
1: On April 30 (Tuesday), the US court will try Zhao Changpeng.
2: Non-farm payrolls on the evening of May 3 (Friday)
For the trading market, there are opportunities only when there are large fluctuations, but for most people, this is also a high-risk moment because there is no reasonable risk control mechanism and it is very dangerous.
In Yiming's trading rules, there is no fear of any drastic fluctuations, because the maximum risk (retracement) of any transaction is within an acceptable range.
#BTC #ETH
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4.29 Morning News
Setting the tone: Rebound is just a process
Today, the main focus is on high-shorting. This week, the volatility will be relatively large. Stop loss should be set in advance, not waiting to be trapped.
BTC: The center of gravity moves down, and the resistance range of 63700~64000 has been formed above.
ETH: Although it has performed better than Bitcoin in the past two days, the weekly line is facing M7 suppression. Today, pay attention to the resistance range formed by 3290~3300 above.
Don't predict the trend, just follow the trend.
#ETH #BTC #BNB
Setting the tone: Rebound is just a process
Today, the main focus is on high-shorting. This week, the volatility will be relatively large. Stop loss should be set in advance, not waiting to be trapped.
BTC: The center of gravity moves down, and the resistance range of 63700~64000 has been formed above.
ETH: Although it has performed better than Bitcoin in the past two days, the weekly line is facing M7 suppression. Today, pay attention to the resistance range formed by 3290~3300 above.
Don't predict the trend, just follow the trend.
#ETH #BTC #BNB
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Evening market analysis
This morning's information emphasized the pressure of Ethereum at the 3375 position. When it reached this position at 3 pm, it retreated. In this process, Bitcoin also retreated at the same time.
The lowest price of Bitcoin so far is 63230.7. This position is still above the long-short boundary of the daily line, and the bulls still have hope.
However, it is still necessary to emphasize here that this is a rebound fishtail market, and the participation of long orders must be light. The daily line has recently seen a continuous alternation of yin and yang, and it may turn downward at any time.
This statement has been said more than once today, just to make everyone clear about the current market position. Knowing the position and knowing what to do when the price reaches it? Don't guess where the price can go? The market is not predicted, never predict the trend, just follow the trend. When the direction changes, just adjust it in time. If you are wrong, correct yourself, and don't try to change the market.
#BTC #ETH
This morning's information emphasized the pressure of Ethereum at the 3375 position. When it reached this position at 3 pm, it retreated. In this process, Bitcoin also retreated at the same time.
The lowest price of Bitcoin so far is 63230.7. This position is still above the long-short boundary of the daily line, and the bulls still have hope.
However, it is still necessary to emphasize here that this is a rebound fishtail market, and the participation of long orders must be light. The daily line has recently seen a continuous alternation of yin and yang, and it may turn downward at any time.
This statement has been said more than once today, just to make everyone clear about the current market position. Knowing the position and knowing what to do when the price reaches it? Don't guess where the price can go? The market is not predicted, never predict the trend, just follow the trend. When the direction changes, just adjust it in time. If you are wrong, correct yourself, and don't try to change the market.
#BTC #ETH
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Afternoon market analysis
The past four-hour pie has been adjusted, and the retracement confirmed the four-hour 20-day moving average. It will soon move upward. There is a chance to see the pie of 66,000, but you can't be greedy and ant warehouse game.
The highest price of the concubine has reached 3340, which is very close to the 61.8% position (3375) above. Never take the last piece of meat on the plate.
Remind again: the current rise is just a rebound, which is prepared for the adjustment of the 5th wave. Trading is like playing chess. Not only must you see the road under your feet, but you must also see the obstacles and traps ahead.
#BTC #ETH
The past four-hour pie has been adjusted, and the retracement confirmed the four-hour 20-day moving average. It will soon move upward. There is a chance to see the pie of 66,000, but you can't be greedy and ant warehouse game.
The highest price of the concubine has reached 3340, which is very close to the 61.8% position (3375) above. Never take the last piece of meat on the plate.
Remind again: the current rise is just a rebound, which is prepared for the adjustment of the 5th wave. Trading is like playing chess. Not only must you see the road under your feet, but you must also see the obstacles and traps ahead.
#BTC #ETH
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The Republic Bank of M has gone bankrupt
The Republic Bank of M declared bankruptcy because it could not afford the high interest. This incident once again confirmed the old saying: If you are greedy for other people's high interest, you may eventually lose your principal.
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETHFI🔥🔥🔥
The Republic Bank of M declared bankruptcy because it could not afford the high interest. This incident once again confirmed the old saying: If you are greedy for other people's high interest, you may eventually lose your principal.
#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETHFI🔥🔥🔥
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Midday Interpretation
The trend in the past four hours of the morning was relatively smooth. Auntie was the first to stand on the six-month line of the four small stocks, and the big cake is expected to follow (66500 position).
The bullish rebound has not ended yet, but today we must pay attention to Auntie's 3375 position, which is more critical and will pause. It is the position for reducing holdings.
If you miss it, you will not chase it. Although it has risen, the space above is much smaller than the future 5-wave adjustment space below.
It is only suitable for reducing, not for chasing.
#BTC #ETH
The trend in the past four hours of the morning was relatively smooth. Auntie was the first to stand on the six-month line of the four small stocks, and the big cake is expected to follow (66500 position).
The bullish rebound has not ended yet, but today we must pay attention to Auntie's 3375 position, which is more critical and will pause. It is the position for reducing holdings.
If you miss it, you will not chase it. Although it has risen, the space above is much smaller than the future 5-wave adjustment space below.
It is only suitable for reducing, not for chasing.
#BTC #ETH
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Everything has a law
The Wealth of Nations reveals the law of human nature, which is self-interest. You cannot control others because you do not understand self-interest. If you think from the perspective of others and integrate your own interests into the interests of others, then others will involuntarily pay for you!
#token2049 #ETH #BTC #BNB
The Wealth of Nations reveals the law of human nature, which is self-interest. You cannot control others because you do not understand self-interest. If you think from the perspective of others and integrate your own interests into the interests of others, then others will involuntarily pay for you!
#token2049 #ETH #BTC #BNB
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A good trading system
A good trading system must be a closed-loop system
1: The criteria for judging trends are simple, clear and unambiguous
2: Determine the entry position and the criteria for judgment are fixed
3: Reasonable allocation of funds
4: Reasonable and logical stop loss
5: Reasonable and logical stop profit
6: Resolute execution
7: Review, summarize and improve
#ETH #BTC #BNB
A good trading system must be a closed-loop system
1: The criteria for judging trends are simple, clear and unambiguous
2: Determine the entry position and the criteria for judgment are fixed
3: Reasonable allocation of funds
4: Reasonable and logical stop loss
5: Reasonable and logical stop profit
6: Resolute execution
7: Review, summarize and improve
#ETH #BTC #BNB
LIVELIVE一鸣的交易日记
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大饼补涨？ 什么位置可以埋伏？
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