Some thoughts on Tuen coins (I have a feeling you will save this article)👿👿
Bitcoin has been halved three times. After 12 years, the currency circle has also brought about three bull markets and three bull and bear cycles. Based on the data of the past three bull and bear cycles, we can summarize some rules and speculate on the future.
I have summarized the growth data of some coins and summarized a rule to share with you:
Every time a currency in the currency circle experiences a bull market, the appreciation rate from bear to bull will be reduced by an order of magnitude.
To put it simply, for a new coin, the first bull market is a thousand times the coin, the second bull market is a hundred times the coin, the third bull market is ten times the coin, the fourth bull market is a few times the coin, the fifth bull market and beyond are 1x coin;
This refers to value coins. Examples such as meme coins and Dogecoin do not conform to this rule.
Take the data of Bitcoin and Ethereum, the two largest coins by market capitalization, as an example.
1. Bitcoin
The first bull market: From 10,000 Bitcoins to buy 2 pizzas in 2010, to the highest price in the bull market in 2013, which was 8,000 yuan, Bitcoin increased hundreds of thousands of times, which can be said to be a thousand times the currency.
The second bull market: The lowest price in the bear market in 2015 was 1,000 yuan, and the highest price in the 2017 bull market was 130,000 yuan, an increase of 130 times, which is a hundred-fold coin.
The third bull market: The lowest price in the bear market in 2019 is 3,000 dollars, and the highest price in the 2021 bull market is 65,000 dollars. Everyone’s expectation is that the price is 100,000 dollars, which is 30 times, which can be regarded as ten times the currency;
By analogy,
The fourth bull market: from the bear market in 2023 to the bull market in 2025, how many times the increase will be;
The fifth bull market and beyond: the bear market from 2027 to the bull market in 2029, the increase is less than 1 times;
2. Ethereum
The first bull market: The ICO price in 2014 was 1.7 yuan. The highest price of the bull market in 2017 was nearly 10,000 yuan, an increase of 6,000 times, and it was a thousand-fold coin;
The second bull market: The lowest price in the bear market in 2019 is 80 dollars, and the highest price in the 2021 bull market is 4,400 dollars, an increase of 50 times. If Bitcoin rises to 100,000 dollars, then Ethereum can rise to at least 10,000 dollars. The increase is 120 times, which is a hundred times coin;
And so on:
The third bull market: the bear market in 2023 to the bull market in 2025 is a ten-fold coin, with an increase of dozens of times;
The fourth bull market: bear market from 2027 to bull market in 2029, how many times the increase is;
The fifth bull market and beyond: the bear market from 2031 to the bull market in 2033, the increase is less than 1 times;
Among the new coins in 2021, there are also several thousand-fold coins:
1. SOL: The seed round price in 2018 was $0.04, and the highest price in the bull market was $215, an increase of more than 5,000 times;
2. MATIC: The lowest price in 2019 was $0.003, and the highest price in the bull market was $2.7, an increase of 900 times;
By analogy, in the next bull market, their coins will be worth a hundred times at most;
The rise of coins follows this pattern. In the upcoming bear market in 2023, we can use this to assist in bargain-hunting investments;
1. Invest thousands of times in coins: If you risk tens of thousands of yuan, then this coin must be a new coin. It was born in 2022 when the bull turned to bear. It has never risen sharply. Just follow the trend and follow the trend. Only this type of coin is likely to appreciate thousands of times;
2. Invest in a hundred-fold coin: With an investment amount of hundreds of thousands, you can find it among the thousand-fold coins in the bull market of 2021, or among the mainstream value coins among the new coins released in 2021 (for example: hoarding UNI , rullops currency, dydx, etc.), the bear market will fall by more than 80%, and only this type of currency can appreciate hundreds of times;
3. Invest ten times the coins: With an investment amount of several million, you can just hoard Ethereum;
4. How many times your investment will make you win: With an investment amount of tens of millions or more, you can just hoard Bitcoins.
We establish our investment style based on our own capital volume and our goals, and can change our investment philosophy at any time.
If you want to counterattack, buying Bitcoin is definitely not possible. You can spend 80% of your funds to buy 100x coins and 20% to buy 1000x coins. Only then can you realize your dream.
If you are financially free, it is enough to buy 100x coins or 10x coins with a large amount of money. You can also try your luck with a small amount of money to buy 1000x coins.
As for Bitcoin, it is for people with at least 100 million US dollars in capital. If you don’t have that much money, you don’t need to care about Bitcoin. You won’t have a chance.
Buffett has an investment volume of hundreds of billions of dollars, which is beyond our comprehension. Poverty limits imagination. If he wants to invest in Bitcoin, he will have to wait until after the fifth bull market of Bitcoin, that is, in 2030. In the future, at his current age, there is probably no chance.
The following bull market is the time node. Which coins should be hoarded in the bear market:
If you hoard Bitcoin, it will increase several times;
If you hoard Ethereum, it will be ten times the currency, and it will increase dozens of times;
Stock up on various fi, which may be a hundred times the currency, and there is still room for appreciation of 100 times +;
As for thousand-fold coins, look for them among the new coins from 2022 to 2023.
(Original author: K-line leader)