The recent emphasis on the potential last bull run in the cryptocurrency market may be confusing, so further explanation is needed on what this term means. This does not mean that the cryptocurrency market will cease to exist, or that there will be no more bull runs in the future. Instead, it means that the market may undergo a transformation, moving from the previous high volatility and rapid ups and downs to a more stable and mature stage. This process may be accompanied by more regulation, wider adoption, and more stable price performance, providing investors with more reliable opportunities. Therefore, there are still opportunities in the future of the cryptocurrency market, but they may be different from the market environment in the past.
First, we need to understand the symbols of a bull market and the definition of a bull market, and then we can discuss the circumstances of a bull market.
The bull market in 2020 was driven by the DeFi (decentralized finance) sector. It attracted more investors who had no knowledge of the cryptocurrency sector, because many hundreds, thousands, or even tens of thousands of times of gains emerged in this market, inspiring people's dreams of getting rich quickly. Especially in the current economic difficulties, this temptation has become more deadly.
However, whether it is a bull market or a bear market, there are very few people who can really make money. Successful examples are very limited because bull markets are usually reserved for those who are well prepared. You can't wait until the bull market comes or ends before chasing it. This is like shouting "bull market starts" when the market is rising, and then following the trend, or when a hot spot appears, you see the crypto assets in the field soaring, and enter the market without setting a stop loss. These are all investment behaviors called "leeks".
Many people also tend to be unable to control their emotions. When the market pulls back or falls, they sell their assets at the lowest point. This is a common phenomenon in the cryptocurrency market. Many people are not prepared before the bull market, and will only slowly realize it when the bull market comes, but will there still be a chance at that time?
The DeFi craze in 2020 has driven a bull run in the entire cryptocurrency market.
The NFT craze in 2021 drove the bull market tail.
By 2023, due to the collapse of the previous DeFi bubble and the collapse of the NFT market, the market has entered a bear market. Since then, various news events, such as the Luna incident and the Ethereum anchoring incident, have been used as a way to digest the bubble, which can also be understood as a way to cut leeks.
Many people believe that the cryptocurrency market has no real value. But what exactly is the value of Bitcoin and Ethereum? In reality, they don’t have much value in themselves, but rather the market’s ability to bring profits to investors is considered valuable. However, this market is often described as a “leek” market, where investors are tricked and the banker becomes the biggest winner. Many news and information sources, as well as financial instruments, are actually paid for by the leeks, but this is not always discussed openly because some things cannot be said openly.
At present, there are many people in the market discussing the launch of the bull market or the continuation of the bear market. First of all, we need to understand what can drive the bull market. Last year, some people believed that fan tokens might drive the bull market, but in the end it proved to be just a hot spot and did not drive the entire market as expected. This year, some people again believe that AI intelligence can drive the bull market, but this is also just a hot spot and has not really changed the market situation. The current market is in a downturn, and the hot spot is only temporary. It has not triggered a comprehensive market rotation, nor has it attracted large-scale entry of external retail investors. The launch of the bull market requires a new market story and the influx of new funds, which will cause the market to heat up quickly.
However, most people remain cautious, which has led to the market's malaise. To drive the bull market, we need a new story, such as Web3.0, but the actual implementation may take time. The current market is mainly driven by internal funds, rather than a large-scale influx of retail investors. Therefore, I think the current market can be seen as the rise of major assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum will exceed the market of most altcoins, but the real rise of 10,000 coins has not yet arrived. A bull market means that 10,000 coins take off at the same time, not just Bitcoin and Ethereum. Therefore, while the current market can be seen as part of a bull market, a broader rise is still to be seen. This depends on personal choice, whether you can seize the opportunity or prepare in advance, which also requires the right vision and choice.
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