$ETH MARKET ANALYSIS | Feb 16, 2026
Current Price: $1,963
📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME OUTLOOK:
Higher TFs (Monthly → 1H): Clear bearish structure
Lower TFs (30M, 15M, 5M): Signs of a short-term bullish reversal
🧠 MARKET DATA SNAPSHOT:
Weekly BrainWaves at -62, indicating extreme oversold conditions
Weekly exhaustion sits at 1%, the lowest reading in the last 100 candles
Bearish Three Black Crows on the weekly vs bullish Three White Soldiers on the daily
Buy-side delta turning positive on lower timeframes
📍 IMPORTANT LEVELS:
🔻 Support: $1,929 (PDL) → $1,897 (Fib 0.0)
🔺 Resistance: $1,964–$1,966 (D-VWAP zone) → $1,976–$1,984 (0.382 / EMA21) → $2,028 (W-VWAP)
💡 TRADE IDEAS:
1️⃣ Short setup on a bounce into $1,976–$2,028
🎯 Targets: $1,929 → $1,897 | R:R ~2.6–4.5:1
2️⃣ Long scalp near $1,925–$1,932 if liquidity sweep occurs
🎯 Targets: $1,964–$1,984 | R:R ~1.7:1
⚡ MARKET BIAS: Overall bearish, but a relief bounce is likely first
Weekly exhaustion at 1% suggests selling pressure is statistically stretched
🛑 Bias invalidation: A confirmed close above $1,998 (4H mid trendline)
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