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Weekly US Stock Bull Stock Review: SanDisk, NBIS, SMCI
This week, the three major US stock indexes moved in mixed fashion. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell cumulatively by 0.36%, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.53% and 0.42%, respectively. The technology growth style remained in the lead.
NEBIUS: Up nearly 36% this week A surge in AI computing demand has driven the company to accelerate its expansion. Q2 results beat expectations, and it raised its target for contracted power capacity to be signed by end of 2026 to 5GW. The company holds more than $40 billion in customer commitments. Management disclosed that near-term emergency compute contract prices have continued to rise, and that it deliberately retains some capacity for higher pricing later—indicating a solid seller-market position.
SanDisk: Up more than 26% this week Investor Day delivered positive signals. The company expects FY2028–30 revenue to grow in the high double digits. The company clarified concerns in the market, emphasizing that it will flexibly adjust bit supply volumes based on profitability and that the issue is not a lack of capacity. It also promised to return 100% of the remaining cash to shareholders after the investment, boosting market confidence.
Super Micro Computer: Up nearly 26% this week Both the earnings report and the outlook significantly exceeded expectations. In Q4, gross margin rebounded strongly to 17.5%, nearly doubling year over year. Next quarter’s revenue and EPS guidance midpoints are 25% and 43% above market expectations, respectively. Institutions believe its growth outlook is reasonable, and that its current valuation has already fallen back to commonly seen historical levels.
A common thread among this week’s bull stocks is earnings certainty—especially strong demand and pricing power in AI compute infrastructure (Nebius, SMCI) and storage (SanDisk). This directly translated into financial results that exceeded expectations and an optimistic outlook, becoming the core driving force behind the stock price surge.
The market has responded positively to companies with clear growth paths and the ability to improve profitability. $NBIS $SNDK $SMCI #全球股票基金净流入186.2亿美元 #美SEC取消加密规则制定会议
$SNDK $SKHY $MUU Global funds return to storage again
The “No. 1” A-share market cap leader, ChangXin Technology, kept rising intraday; its share price jumped more than 8%, and its market cap returned to 4 trillion yuan
Sandisk’s night trading continued to rise by nearly 3%; Micron Technology and SK hynix rose by more than 1%
$AKE 100x myth! Can you dare to get on this AKE train?
AKE (AKEDO) surged from a July low of $0.000174 to an August high of $0.01284—more than 70x in less than a month.
It’s now pulled back to around $0.00996, with a circulating market cap of about $178 million.
Why did it jump?
The project is centered on the concept of an “AI game creation engine.” Users can generate games with natural language. But the core driver behind the explosive rise isn’t fundamentals—it’s extreme concentration of holdings. The top 100 addresses hold as much as 98.82% of the circulating supply. With big whales using relatively small amounts of capital, they can pull off astonishing price moves.
Total supply is 100 billion tokens, with only 22.8 billion in circulation. Over 77.2 billion tokens are still locked/unreleased. Of that, 31.5% of the community tokens are released linearly over 48 months, which also means future sell-pressure keeps coming.
After the price hit $0.01284 on August 15, it dropped with a long upper wick. The “heaven-earth needle” pattern plus huge volume suggests a classic tactic: the main force pumps first and then distributes. MACD forms a dead cross at high levels, and RSI stays pinned around 77, deep in an overbought zone.
Trading advice:
Shorts: Around $0.00996 you can try shorting. Set stop-loss at $0.0110 and target $0.0075.
If it breaks below $0.0072, add to the position, targeting $0.0058.
Longs: Wait for a pullback to $0.0055–$0.0060 to stabilize before considering. Stop-loss at $0.0045, target $0.0090.
Never chase longs right now—98% of the float is in the hands of a small number of people. They’re pumping the price so that you’ll end up as the bag-holder. $AKE
$SNDK $SNXX $SNDKB Sandisk’s rebound rally is far beyond many people’s expectations Thanks to management for giving enough confidence Every long investor has made money Pulling this move gradually up to 2000 shouldn’t be a problem #标普500首破7800点创新高 #标普500财报超预期
(Chinese version below) Too many people try to over-interpret “what does it mean?”
I was testing Trust Wallet today. And saw too many meme coins in the wallet clustering the interface, to the point it was hard for me to find BNB, so I tried to burn some tokens. Even that caused many community discussions.
Then I realized that I will never be able to “clean out” meme coins on the address. The more I burn them, the more people will send meme coins to the address.
The natural transparency of the blockchain means any interaction with this address will be over-interpreted by the community.
I even thought of requesting the Trust Wallet team to implement an “Ignore Coin” feature to avoid the clutter, but that feature will not be needed by 99.99% of people.
Here is the plan: I will donate/send the BNB and 币安人生 (that was bought using BNB) tokens to Giggle Academy. Then I will stop using this address. It will effectively be a burn address.
Too many people try to over-interpret “what does it mean?"
I was testing @TrustWallet today. I found that there were too many meme coins in the wallet—so many that it was even hard for me to find BNB—so I tried to burn some tokens. Even this action triggered a lot of community discussions.
I realized that I will never be able to “clean out” the meme coins on this address. The more I burn, the more people will send meme coins to the address.
The transparency of the blockchain means that any actions involving this address will be over-interpreted by the community.
I even considered asking the Trust Wallet team to add a feature called “Ignore Coin” to avoid the clutter in the interface, but this feature is something that 99.99% of people won’t need at all.
So the plan is as follows: I will donate/send the BNB and the “币安人生” tokens (bought with BNB) to Giggle Academy. After that, I will stop using this address, turning it into a burn address.
Korean Stock Market Outlook Before the Open: Foreign Investors Sweep 80 Trillion Won in Four Days—What Will Samsung, SK Hynix, and KORU Do?
Friday’s Korean stock market trend can only be described as a “mad dog wave.” KOSPI closed just shy of crossing 7,000, but during the session it actually surged above that level. The key driver: foreign investors, seemingly like they have unlimited money, net bought more than 30 trillion won in a single day.
Let’s toss out the core numbers: from the 11th to the 14th of last week, foreign investors net bought a total of 80.7 trillion won of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, with Samsung at 33.1 trillion won and SK Hynix at 28.6 trillion won.
These two stocks account for 76.4% of foreign investors’ total net buying. Remember, from July to August 10, foreign investors net sold these two issues by 191.7 trillion won. From “fleeing the door” to疯狂补仓 (going on a furious cover), it only took one CPI release.
The U.S. July CPI came in as expected, easing concerns about further rate hikes. On top of that, demand for AI infrastructure was confirmed again—so these folks immediately turned around.
KOSPI rebounded more than 22% from its July 30 low and officially entered a technical bull market. But the pace at which hedge funds are rebuilding their positions is far behind the index’s rally.
If these professional momentum-chasers who missed the move are forced to cover, it could be another push higher. Samsung Electronics closed at 274,500 won on Friday, up 2.43%; SK Hynix closed at 1,643,000 won, up 3.26%. But SK Hynix peaked intraday at 1,697,000 won before pulling back.
SK Hynix’s 12-month forward PE is only 3.7x, while Samsung’s is 4.5x. This valuation reflects every piece of bad news—rate concerns, worries about AI investment, geopolitical risks, and a peak in the cycle. The market has already priced in all that pessimism.
Let’s rebut the “it rose too much so it should fall” argument. Last week, KOSPI surged 11.49% in its second week—number one globally. Once a trend forms, it’s not that easy to hit the brakes. Foreign ownership has already risen back to 39.59%, but it’s still only climbed a bit more than 3 percentage points from the annual low of 36.37%—there’s still room.
Monday trading suggestions: Samsung Electronics (005930): Foreign investors have net bought for 4 consecutive days; the trend hasn’t broken. Go long and wait for a pullback.
SK Hynix (000660): It spiked higher then fell back on Friday. Near-term pressure is at 1,697,000–1,700,000. Go long and wait for a pullback near 1,600,000. If it breaks below 1,550,000, stop loss.
KORU (3x leveraged Korean ETF): A leveraged product with high volatility. Consider it after KOSPI holds above 7,000, with a stop set at the previous low. $KORU $SAMSUNG $SKHYNIX #美国拟迫各国在美中AI阵营选边 #标普500首破7800点创新高 #标普500财报超预期
Hang Seng Stock Market Opening Preview: Southbound Capital Stubbornly Targets AI—Zhipu and MINIMAX, and Tencent Is Doing This Too
I took a look at the data from the weekend recap, and the direction for Monday’s opening was actually quite clear.
First, here’s the data: last Thursday, southbound capital net sold Hong Kong stocks by 1.3 billion, but MINIMAX net bought 1.364 billion, Zhipu net bought 1.322 billion, and Tencent net bought 1.114 billion.
On the other side, Alibaba was net sold by 1.063 billion. The capital’s stance is very clear—go all in on AI and abandon traditional e-commerce.
MINIMAX has kicked off A-share tutoring and guidance to push for an “A+H” dual listing—this provides long-term logic support. Zhipu previously raised 31.4 billion via a rights issue at HK$15.88 to secure computing power. Although there’s selling pressure from the near-term unlock, the fact that southbound capital has net bought for 3 consecutive days is not something to take lightly.
Tencent faces resistance around HK$47.4, but capital has poured in a cumulative HK$7.4 billion over the past 3 days—someone is holding the position up at this level.
Some people will say, “Hong Kong stocks aren’t doing well; any rebound is just a bull trap.” But look at last Thursday’s intraday action: while the Hang Seng Index fell, gold stocks strengthened against the trend. Lingbao Gold rose more than 5%, showing that defensive and offensive capital are playing their own games—not a full-scale retreat.
Monday trading suggestions: MINIMAX (00100): Net bought for 7 consecutive days—capital is really pushing in. If it pulls back without breaking the 5-day moving average, you can try going long. If it breaks below the low of the prior day, cut losses.
Zhipu: Southbound capital has been buying continuously, but the rights-issue price at HK$15.88 is a psychological anchor. Near this level, you can consider nibbling. If it falls below the previous low, exit.
Tencent (00700): HK$47.4 is the short-term hurdle. If it can rise with volume and hold above it, chase. If it can’t break through, wait for a pullback near HK$46.6 to enter. Don’t chase gains and sell on losses blindly with a fixed mindset.
This leaderboard #1, $HEMI , got knocked down. I didn’t expect that the new-coin chip $CHIP would be steadily pulled back up. Things are unpredictable—things aren’t always what they seem. Riding waves, fake ones change; the #1 spot keeps rotating.
US stock market pre-opening outlook: Don’t just drool over SanDisk—will the big money change direction next week?
Don’t be lazy when doing your weekend review.
Last Friday, US stocks pulled back slightly, but the S&P 500’s weekly chart delivered a triple green streak—absolutely real. Intraday it also made a fresh high. This isn’t an ending; it’s capital rebalancing, changing gears.
First, some numbers: ahead of Friday’s session, the three storage giants kept acting up. SK hynix surged more than 6% at one point, Samsung followed for the ride, and it was all thanks to the investor day held by SanDisk.
This guy drew a big pie: for fiscal years 2028 to 2030, revenue growth of 15%–19% annually, a gross margin steady around 80%, and a promise to distribute excess cash to shareholders.
Foreign investors went on a buying spree that day, snapping up 300 billion KRW worth of Korean stocks—driving the KOSPI to nearly cross 7000 points. Online forums overseas blew up; the shorts basically got scared out by this “generous cash giver” kind of move.
But don’t just look at the surface excitement. The Friday US stock fund flows were actually pretty shrewd—money was withdrawn from earlier frenzy in optical communications (Coherent down 8%) and networking equipment (Cisco down 8.4%), then it turned around and rushed into storage and AI software.
Some will say consumption data is weak and the probability of a rate hike in September is still there—so tech stocks are doomed. But look at how the market moved. After making new highs, the S&P 500 dipped a bit—that’s a normal “profit-taking digestion” phase, not a panic-driven exit. As long as the AI capex spend thesis hasn’t been broken, the underlying support for the storage trade remains solid.
How to play it specifically:
SNDK: Don’t chase the price pre-market. Wait for a pullback to the 5-day line (roughly the 1430–1450 range) before considering entry. JPMorgan just gave a $2250 price target—long-term logic is intact, but the short-term is indeed overbought.
SOXL: This thing is volatile. If it can open on Monday and hold above 149.8, you can take a light long position with a stop-loss below 143.8. If you want to short, wait until it breaks below 143.8 to confirm weakness—don’t blindly short during a fast drop; you’ll get slapped by an upside rebound.
RDDT: This is a sentiment-following stock. First, see whether there’s volume near 154. If there’s no volume, stay on the sidelines—don’t go play hero.
In short, next week’s main battlefield is still on the AI infrastructure chain, but internally there will be rotation between high and low points… #标普500财报超预期 #美国7月零售销售下降0.6% #闪迪涨7%因营收增长展望 $SNDK $SOXL $RDDT
$APR From a 192% surge to a 62% crash — an APR three-day zeroing-style collapse: who’s harvesting?
On August 12, the APriori team announced that it would repurchase about 5.3% of the total APR token supply from early investors. The price was violently pumped from $0.19 to $0.63, a 192% increase.
However, just three days later, APR saw a 62% daily drop, falling back to around $0.19 and almost wiping out the entire gain. Net outflows over 24 hours reached $10.14 million, with an extremely high turnover rate.
Who’s dumping?
The culprit is a structural trap of low circulating supply plus high locked staking. APR total supply is 1 billion tokens, with only 278 million in circulation (about 28%). The remaining 72% is still locked — meaning the market maker holds 722 million tokens that are not yet unlocked.
On July 23, 54.34 million tokens (22% of circulating supply) were just unlocked, and the next round is on October 23.
That 5.3% repurchase is nothing more than a fraction compared to the 722 million tokens waiting to be unlocked. What’s touted as “repurchase bullishness” is, in essence, helping early investors exit with low-cost holdings in a dignified way—while retail investors end up holding the bag.
After RSI surged into extreme overbought territory, it was rapidly smashed back, forming a classic “profit-taking after a news-driven spike.”
Continuous net outflows across 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute intervals mean short-term capital fully cashed out.
Rate hike bets see a major retreat! By September, the probability is down to just 28%. August CPI is the biggest variable
After U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.6% in July, traders have completely given up on expectations of a Fed rate hike this year. Most now expect no more than one hike by mid-2027, a sharp retreat from earlier, more aggressive bets.
According to the CME FedWatch, the probability of a September rate hike has plunged from 70% one month ago to 28.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged has risen to 71.4%. The probability for an October hike is around 40%, and by December the rate-hike odds have fallen sharply from the highs seen at the end of July.
What triggered the reversal in expectations was a series of weaker data—July nonfarm payrolls contracted, the year-over-year CPI of 3.4% met expectations, and the PPI month-over-month was flat.
Retail data was the final straw. But the key uncertainty lies in August CPI. Oil prices rebounded by about 10% over the past week. A South Korean investment securities firm warned that if oil prices remain at current levels, August CPI could rebound to 3.6%-3.7%. Evergrande Credit (Oriental?) also pointed out that the rebound in energy prices is the main upside risk.
The “tug-of-war” over inflation is far from over. The bond market still isn’t buying it: the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has risen to 4.70%.
After Fed Chair Waller abandoned forward guidance, data has had a much stronger impact on interest-rate expectations. If August CPI comes in hotter than expected, rate-hike expectations could quickly make a comeback.
Trading suggestions: Before September, you can bet on a “no rate hike” scenario—go long 2-year U.S. Treasuries. Use a stop-loss reference at yields breaking above 4.5%, with a target of 4.0%.
If August CPI comes in above expectations, short short-dated Treasuries. Use a stop-loss if yields fall below 4.0%, targeting 4.7%.
For gold, watch the $4,400 support level. If it breaks, stay on the sidelines. #交易员下调2027年中前美联储加息押注 $XAU $XAG $SNDK