乘风Sunshine
536 Posts
乘风Sunshine
返佣码：CFCF888 ｜X推特@KeShiqing57753｜专注研究大饼BTC ｜星河社区联合创始人
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1.7 Years
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静心1688
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🎉 Follow Like Reply Claim 🎁🎁🎁
#以太坊基金会主网推出zkAPI
#以太坊基金会主网推出zkAPI
帮帮Bonnie
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Accept flaws with gentleness, pursue ideals with resolve.
Accept flaws with gentleness, pursue ideals with resolve.
#比特币升至8.5万美元附近
Accept flaws with gentleness, pursue ideals with resolve.
#比特币升至8.5万美元附近
@钞机八蛋
is speaking[LIVE] 🎙️ Happy National Day, family and friends!
1.9k listens
晚风Vesper_1688
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🌅 Dawn Breaks the First Page, with Mountains and Seas in Your Heart 🍃
Fluctuations in the market rise and fall—this is normal. No need to let short-term swings stir your emotions 📊
Deepen your understanding, let it settle within, and keep your own rhythm steady ✨
All the quiet accumulations will eventually turn into the confidence to move forward 💛
The road is long—go forth calmly with like-minded companions who share the same frequency 🌟
#交易心理
#比特币升至8.5万美元附近
#1688家族family
Fluctuations in the market rise and fall—this is normal. No need to let short-term swings stir your emotions 📊
Deepen your understanding, let it settle within, and keep your own rhythm steady ✨
All the quiet accumulations will eventually turn into the confidence to move forward 💛
The road is long—go forth calmly with like-minded companions who share the same frequency 🌟
#交易心理
#比特币升至8.5万美元附近
#1688家族family
TradeMaster_PK
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BullishReceived USDT Rewards Gift 🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🎁🎁🎁🎁
1 follow me
2 like
3 repos
#Ether ETFs extend inflow streak today
#USStrikesTargetsNearHormuzAndJask
1 follow me
2 like
3 repos
#Ether ETFs extend inflow streak today
#USStrikesTargetsNearHormuzAndJask
Sherry长得帅不如跑的快1688
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🚨 BITCOIN JUST BROKE $86K.
But this time, the real catalyst may not be crypto.
It may be:
29,000.
U.S. payrolls added just 29K jobs,
far below the 90K expected.
Markets immediately repriced:
📉 October hike odds → ~15%
📉 U.S. 10Y yield → ~5.17%
🛢️ Brent → ~$99
₿ BTC → above $86K, +3% in 24H
The logic is simple:
WEAKER JOBS
↓
LESS FED PRESSURE
↓
LOWER YIELDS
↓
MORE ROOM FOR RISK ASSETS
And here’s the interesting part:
U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded
a ~$92.9M net outflow on Oct. 1.
So:
ETF FLOW WAS NEGATIVE.
BTC STILL BROKE $86K.
That raises the real question:
IS MACRO TAKING CONTROL OF BTC AGAIN?
If yields keep falling
and oil stays around or below $100,
one of Bitcoin’s biggest macro headwinds
may finally be easing.
Now I’m watching:
₿ BTC holding $86K
📈 The ~$87K area
📉 U.S. 10Y yields
🏦 October Fed expectations
💰 The next BTC ETF flow
👇 Your take?
MACRO RELIEF KEEPS PUSHING BTC 🟢
or
BTC PULLS BACK NEAR $87K 🔴?
#BTC #ETH #BNB
But this time, the real catalyst may not be crypto.
It may be:
29,000.
U.S. payrolls added just 29K jobs,
far below the 90K expected.
Markets immediately repriced:
📉 October hike odds → ~15%
📉 U.S. 10Y yield → ~5.17%
🛢️ Brent → ~$99
₿ BTC → above $86K, +3% in 24H
The logic is simple:
WEAKER JOBS
↓
LESS FED PRESSURE
↓
LOWER YIELDS
↓
MORE ROOM FOR RISK ASSETS
And here’s the interesting part:
U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded
a ~$92.9M net outflow on Oct. 1.
So:
ETF FLOW WAS NEGATIVE.
BTC STILL BROKE $86K.
That raises the real question:
IS MACRO TAKING CONTROL OF BTC AGAIN?
If yields keep falling
and oil stays around or below $100,
one of Bitcoin’s biggest macro headwinds
may finally be easing.
Now I’m watching:
₿ BTC holding $86K
📈 The ~$87K area
📉 U.S. 10Y yields
🏦 October Fed expectations
💰 The next BTC ETF flow
👇 Your take?
MACRO RELIEF KEEPS PUSHING BTC 🟢
or
BTC PULLS BACK NEAR $87K 🔴?
#BTC #ETH #BNB
拔剑心茫然
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Do all American technology companies not do loans? Does anyone know the truth?
Bilawal Ashiq
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🧧🧧Clam Repost Like Gift Sol pls 🧧🧧🎉🎉
$SOL
$SOL
慢就是快Mike8
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$BTC Interpretation of Non-Farm Payroll Data!!!
After the Non-Farm Payrolls came out, my biggest takeaway is that the Fed has even more compelling reasons to hold steady in October.
First, let’s look at a few key figures. Non-Farm Payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 84,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. In addition, revisions over the previous two months total a downward adjustment of 60,000. In the interest rate swap market, traders now price the probability of a rate hike in October at just 17%. Even more striking, the Kalshi prediction market prices a higher chance of holding rates steady in October at 85%.
The CME FedWatch data change is also very straightforward— the probability of keeping rates unchanged in October rose from about 76% the previous day to 86%.
In fact, before the Non-Farm Payrolls were released, Fed officials had already been signaling this. New York Fed President Williams said there is “no need for urgency” around the next rate hike, and Vice Chair Jefferson also noted that policymakers need more time to observe the data. Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian commented as well that this set of data will further reinforce the impact of recent Fed officials’ remarks, and market expectations for an October rate hike are cooling.
However, keep in mind: this Non-Farm report only makes rate hikes feel “less urgent,” but it does not mean a policy turn. Inflation is still the Fed’s top concern. While the probability of no move in October is high, how things play out in December will depend on subsequent inflation data.
After the Non-Farm Payrolls came out, my biggest takeaway is that the Fed has even more compelling reasons to hold steady in October.
First, let’s look at a few key figures. Non-Farm Payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 84,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. In addition, revisions over the previous two months total a downward adjustment of 60,000. In the interest rate swap market, traders now price the probability of a rate hike in October at just 17%. Even more striking, the Kalshi prediction market prices a higher chance of holding rates steady in October at 85%.
The CME FedWatch data change is also very straightforward— the probability of keeping rates unchanged in October rose from about 76% the previous day to 86%.
In fact, before the Non-Farm Payrolls were released, Fed officials had already been signaling this. New York Fed President Williams said there is “no need for urgency” around the next rate hike, and Vice Chair Jefferson also noted that policymakers need more time to observe the data. Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian commented as well that this set of data will further reinforce the impact of recent Fed officials’ remarks, and market expectations for an October rate hike are cooling.
However, keep in mind: this Non-Farm report only makes rate hikes feel “less urgent,” but it does not mean a policy turn. Inflation is still the Fed’s top concern. While the probability of no move in October is high, how things play out in December will depend on subsequent inflation data.
光明社区-亮总
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A rain makes the old street’s pavement gleam. Beneath the towering buildings, the most ordinary life in the city is quietly tucked away. The sound of rain dulls the noise, and pedestrians slow their pace. Life doesn’t have to be hurried all the time—at this damp, quiet street corner, feel the gentle warmth of everyday life.
幸运雨Rain
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🌅Saturday morning light, sink in and gather strength🍃
As market conditions shift and turn unpredictable, real confidence comes from the knowledge you accumulate day by day📊
Don’t chase fleeting hot trends, don’t blindly follow short-lived noise✨
Stay patient, work diligently in silence—time will reward those who persist💛
Together on the way, we move steadily toward the distance that’s ours🌟
#比特币资金费率升至10%未平仓合约回升
As market conditions shift and turn unpredictable, real confidence comes from the knowledge you accumulate day by day📊
Don’t chase fleeting hot trends, don’t blindly follow short-lived noise✨
Stay patient, work diligently in silence—time will reward those who persist💛
Together on the way, we move steadily toward the distance that’s ours🌟
#比特币资金费率升至10%未平仓合约回升
瑾怡Joy
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Follow her, more and more red envelopes 🧧🧧🧧 You can’t spend all the SOL 😘😘😘
灼见Cryptosighted
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Bitcoin Funding Rate Hits 10% as Open Interest Rebounds
🚨 Warning: Leverage is maxed out! BTC funding rate has surged to 10%, open interest has skyrocketed—big breakout/turning point countdown!
Many people only watch K-line charts for bullish or bearish moves, but they ignore the derivatives market that’s going off like an alarm.
At the moment, Bitcoin’s funding rate has already surged to an astonishing 10% (annualized). At the same time, open interest (OI) is showing a sharp, straight-line rebound. When these two figures are combined, it’s basically telling the entire market one thing: crazy off-exchange capital is going long at any cost with high leverage, and retail investors’ FOMO has reached its peak.
Many people only watch K-line charts for bullish or bearish moves, but they ignore the derivatives market that’s going off like an alarm.
At the moment, Bitcoin’s funding rate has already surged to an astonishing 10% (annualized). At the same time, open interest (OI) is showing a sharp, straight-line rebound. When these two figures are combined, it’s basically telling the entire market one thing: crazy off-exchange capital is going long at any cost with high leverage, and retail investors’ FOMO has reached its peak.
瑾怡Joy
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Follow her, more and more red envelopes 🧧🧧🧧 You can’t spend all the SOL 😘😘😘
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