The probability in Polymarket of “ETH’s remaining August time window reaching $1,900” has fallen to 7%, with a relative drop of about 43% over the past 24 hours. In the same market, the probability of “rising to $2,400” has increased to 42%, with an increase of about 40% over the past 24 hours.
Settlement for this market is based on the highest price of the 1-minute K-line of the Binance ETH/USDT spot pair. During the remaining portion of August in Eastern Time, if the highest price in any one minute is at or above the target price, then it is settled as Yes; prices from other trading pairs are not considered.
At present, ETH spot is around $2,251, up about 17.7% over the past 24 hours. The price level is clearly above $1,900, so the market’s pricing for a downside move reaching $1,900 appears too low, while the probability of testing $2,400 has been readjusted upward.
For market observation only and does not constitute investment advice.
#ETH #Polymarket #预测市场
Settlement for this market is based on the highest price of the 1-minute K-line of the Binance ETH/USDT spot pair. During the remaining portion of August in Eastern Time, if the highest price in any one minute is at or above the target price, then it is settled as Yes; prices from other trading pairs are not considered.
At present, ETH spot is around $2,251, up about 17.7% over the past 24 hours. The price level is clearly above $1,900, so the market’s pricing for a downside move reaching $1,900 appears too low, while the probability of testing $2,400 has been readjusted upward.
For market observation only and does not constitute investment advice.
#ETH #Polymarket #预测市场