#BinancePickAndWin England 🏴 vs 🇨🇩 DR Congo—Atalanta Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Head-to-Head Analysis
• England: Top of Group L (2 wins, 1 draw; 6 goals for, 2 against). Under Tuchel, the team has been unbeaten in 11 matches. Kane scored 3 goals in the group stage—now the all-time leading World Cup scorer in team history. Bellingham has 2 goals and 1 assist, currently in great form. In their last 10 competitive matches, they conceded only 4 goals, with a solid back line.
• DR Congo: Third in Group K (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; 4 goals for, 3 against). First-ever appearance in the knockout stage. They drew 1-1 with Portugal, then in the final round came back with a 3-1 win over Uzbekistan. Their setup is a deep 5-4-1 low block and counterattacks—using long balls to target Viesa/Bakambú.
• Strength Gap: England’s squad value is ~€1.3 billion, while DR Congo’s is ~€150 million. Betting odds lean heavily toward England: home win around 1.30, draw 5.0, away win 10+; bookmakers are strongly pricing England -1.5.
Estimated Lineups & Key Absences
England (4-2-3-1 / Tuchel)
Pickford / Spence, Konza, Gueye, Awley / Rice, Elliott Anderson / Saka, Bellingham, Rashford / Kane
• ❌ Reece James (hamstring; out for the season), Livramento (calf; left the squad), Quarassa (ankle doubtful) → at right-back, only Spence or Konza is available as cover; the right side is the biggest potential weak point.
• ✅ Rice returns to the starting XI after rest; Kane/Bellingham/Saka are all fit.
DR Congo (5-3-2 / Desabrel)
Enzau / Wan-Bissaka, Tuanze, Mombamba (C), Kapuadé, Masuaku / Sadiki, Mukau, Mutosami / Viesa, Bakambú
• Everyone available to play, no key injuries or suspensions
Match Result Outlook
DR Congo’s “iron bucket” defense will likely make it difficult for England to break them down. However, England’s advantages in squad value, depth, and set pieces are obvious. DR Congo’s defensive aerial weaknesses could be the key to England’s breakthrough. Main predictions: England to win 2-0 or 2-1 to advance. Watch out for the risk of England failing to score after prolonged pressure and then being hit by a counterattack that pushes the match into extra time (lower probability).
#mage