#experiment
experiment
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📊 POSRATIO | 23 Aug 16:00 UTC
🧪 Live Experiment 🧪
📊 Pair: XPLUSDT
⏱️ Signal: topLongShortPositionRatio · 1h
📈 Direction: Long 🔺 — with the crowd
💵 Entry: 0.109980
🔴 SL: -1.00% → 0.108880
🎯 TP: +1.50% → 0.111630
⏳ Time limit: 55 minutes
---
🐋 The top 20% of margin accounts sit 4.15x long.
📏 Distance to threshold: 2.368
📈 Price +16.3% in 24h
📈 Open interest +11.1%
👉 The crowd is in profit and still buying.
💸 Funding +0.0050% — I pay to hold. Priced in.
👉 I used to fade this signal. Now I am testing the
opposite: ride with the crowd, fast target, tight stop,
55-minute clock. Every result posted, win or lose.
⚖️ Random-walk baseline: 40% win rate.
🎯 Fees put break-even at 43.7%.
🛡️ Max loss: $0.06 · 75x cross
#XPL #Experiment #PositionRatio #Futures
🔓 Inputs public: /futures/data/topLongShortPositionRatio
⚠️ Live experiment · not statistically proven · No Financial Advice!!! — W.S.
🧪 Live Experiment 🧪
📊 Pair: XPLUSDT
⏱️ Signal: topLongShortPositionRatio · 1h
📈 Direction: Long 🔺 — with the crowd
💵 Entry: 0.109980
🔴 SL: -1.00% → 0.108880
🎯 TP: +1.50% → 0.111630
⏳ Time limit: 55 minutes
---
🐋 The top 20% of margin accounts sit 4.15x long.
📏 Distance to threshold: 2.368
📈 Price +16.3% in 24h
📈 Open interest +11.1%
👉 The crowd is in profit and still buying.
💸 Funding +0.0050% — I pay to hold. Priced in.
👉 I used to fade this signal. Now I am testing the
opposite: ride with the crowd, fast target, tight stop,
55-minute clock. Every result posted, win or lose.
⚖️ Random-walk baseline: 40% win rate.
🎯 Fees put break-even at 43.7%.
🛡️ Max loss: $0.06 · 75x cross
#XPL #Experiment #PositionRatio #Futures
🔓 Inputs public: /futures/data/topLongShortPositionRatio
⚠️ Live experiment · not statistically proven · No Financial Advice!!! — W.S.
📊 POSRATIO | 23 Aug 12:00 UTC
🧪 Live Experiment 🧪
📊 Pair: PTBUSDT
⏱️ Signal: topLongShortPositionRatio · 1h
📈 Direction: Long 🔺 — with the crowd
💵 Entry: 0.000754
🔴 SL: -1.00% → 0.000747
🎯 TP: +1.50% → 0.000766
⏳ Time limit: 55 minutes
---
🐋 Crowd is 1.82x long — barely past my threshold.
📏 Distance to threshold: 0.044 (my filter needs 0.153)
👉 This is the band my filter rejects. Those signals
lose money as fades. The question is whether the
opposite direction makes money. One reserved slot,
running the test in public.
📉 Price -11.6% in 24h
📉 Open interest -2.7%
💸 Funding +0.0050% — I pay to hold. Priced in.
⚖️ Random-walk baseline: 40% win rate.
🎯 Fees put break-even at 43.7%. Result posted either way.
🛡️ Max loss: $0.06 · 20x cross
#PTB #Experiment #PositionRatio #Futures
🔓 Inputs public: /futures/data/topLongShortPositionRatio
⚠️ Live experiment · not statistically proven · No Financial Advice!!! — W.S.
🧪 Live Experiment 🧪
📊 Pair: PTBUSDT
⏱️ Signal: topLongShortPositionRatio · 1h
📈 Direction: Long 🔺 — with the crowd
💵 Entry: 0.000754
🔴 SL: -1.00% → 0.000747
🎯 TP: +1.50% → 0.000766
⏳ Time limit: 55 minutes
---
🐋 Crowd is 1.82x long — barely past my threshold.
📏 Distance to threshold: 0.044 (my filter needs 0.153)
👉 This is the band my filter rejects. Those signals
lose money as fades. The question is whether the
opposite direction makes money. One reserved slot,
running the test in public.
📉 Price -11.6% in 24h
📉 Open interest -2.7%
💸 Funding +0.0050% — I pay to hold. Priced in.
⚖️ Random-walk baseline: 40% win rate.
🎯 Fees put break-even at 43.7%. Result posted either way.
🛡️ Max loss: $0.06 · 20x cross
#PTB #Experiment #PositionRatio #Futures
🔓 Inputs public: /futures/data/topLongShortPositionRatio
⚠️ Live experiment · not statistically proven · No Financial Advice!!! — W.S.
ISKRA/ETH
Contract address:
0x832B75c15B0F1a1171D8DcBd9101635f4940d1dd
Pair address:
Dexscreener.
0x742c16cc15c0c62974e6ddc5045ed518f764dd75883123d9e67b3843ca0829ce
Can you share your opinion about what you think of this work and what could be improved.
Don’t forget that this is an experiment.
#cryptouniverseofficial #experiment
Contract address:
0x832B75c15B0F1a1171D8DcBd9101635f4940d1dd
Pair address:
Dexscreener.
0x742c16cc15c0c62974e6ddc5045ed518f764dd75883123d9e67b3843ca0829ce
Can you share your opinion about what you think of this work and what could be improved.
Don’t forget that this is an experiment.
#cryptouniverseofficial #experiment
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