South Korea plunges 3.26% while the Hang Seng index rises 0.45%—BTC rebounds 1%—global divergence before the policy meeting

🌙 Uncle’s Night Talk | 9/14 (Monday)

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🪙 Crypto: BTC 77,500 (+1%), 24h range 76,388–78,374. ETH 2,510 (+1.3%). 76,000 support is holding; 78,500–79,000 is resistance. Before the policy meeting, the most likely scenario is range trading between 76,000–79,000.

🇨🇳 A-shares: Shanghai Index 3,885 (-0.07%); STAR Market 50 fell 1.62%, leading the decline. Turnover was 1.64 trillion yuan on a volume contraction, with more than 3,100 stocks down. 3,850 support; 3,900 resistance.

🇭🇰 Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index 24,918 (+0.45%) rose against the trend, while Hang Seng Tech was -0.06%. Pharma and autos led the gains, with southbound funds picking up. The range is 24,800–25,000.

🗾 Asia-Pacific: South Korea’s KOSPI plunged 3.26%, while Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.81%. Semiconductor heavyweight stocks faced pressure, and funds ran for cover ahead of the policy meeting.

🇺🇸 US stocks pre-market: AI technology stocks pulled back. After a technical rebound on Friday, the Dow was up +0.98%. Waiting for tomorrow’s policy meeting.

📅 Key this week: 9/17 early morning Fed decision (87% probability of a 25bp rate hike) + Powell press conference. Retail sales data at the night of 9/16 “terrifying numbers.”

⚡ Strategy: Before the policy meeting, don’t go heavy, don’t add leverage, and don’t chase prices. Let BTC hold the 76,000 range and wait for the direction.

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🌍 Watch global markets and follow the flow of capital.

🧠 Faster News. Better Decisions.

⚠️ Personal observation only, not investment advice.

#BTC #美联储 #加息预期